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Real Madrid vs Paris Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 105-104
23-28 30-25 21-27 31-24
Position#8
Record18-14
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game81.9
vs
Position#9
Record18-14
FormWWLWW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game85.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 33· Movistar Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Real Madrid v Paris
04 Feb 2027
MAD v PRS
upcoming
18 Dec 2025
MAD95
PRS90
15 Apr 2025
MAD73
PRS81
03 Apr 2025
MAD105
PRS104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#8
W
69-54
69
54
+15
61avg 82
A02/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#3
L
70-85
70
85
-15
66avg 82
A06/03
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
W
80-75
80
75
+5
66avg 82
H09/03
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
80-67
80
67
+13
78avg 82
A13/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
W
83-78
83
78
+5
71avg 82
H16/03
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
81-70
81
70
+11
80avg 82
H20/03
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
W
107-105
107
105
+2
102avg 82
A23/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
96-89
96
89
+7
96avg 82
H25/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
78-72
78
72
+6
75avg 82
A28/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#15
W
88-70
88
70
+18
88avg 82
H30/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-9
19-9
17-22
21-14
13-24
20-16
20-23
17-22
23-28
14-15
21-16
22-16
30-17
20-16
18-21
12-13
21-20
18-20
17-13
27-25
32-10
20-24
16-19
13-17
25-21
21-27
22-30
39-27
31-16
23-25
24-22
18-26
22-9
20-18
13-18
23-27
22-17
12-17
29-18
25-18
159.7Avg total
83.2Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)84.381.9166.2+2.456%
Season at home (16)89.984.9174.8+5.075%
Season away (16)78.778.9157.6-0.238%
Last 10 (10)83.276.5159.7+6.790%
Last 5 (5)90.081.2171.2+8.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.682.4164.0-0.850%
vs Weaker (17)88.178.1166.2+9.9100%
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#1
L
83-87
83
87
-4
73avg 88
H03/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
79-91
79
91
-12
67avg 88
H05/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#2
L
63-94
63
94
-31
66avg 88
A09/03
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
81-83
81
83
-2
72avg 88
A13/03
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#15
W
99-91
99
91
+8
92avg 88
H15/03
French Cup
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
92-79
92
79
+13
83avg 88
H18/03
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#12
W
87-79
87
79
+8
96avg 88
A21/03
LNB
Fenerbahce
#1
L
100-101
100
101
-1
98avg 88
A25/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
W
101-98
101
98
+3
100avg 88
A28/03
Euroleague
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
W
109-66
109
66
+43
130avg 88
H30/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
19-21
15-26
23-24
22-24
17-20
14-27
26-20
19-23
19-21
13-22
12-28
22-14
25-17
14-29
20-23
32-24
19-22
25-13
23-32
22-18
26-19
28-30
16-12
17-17
18-24
26-20
26-18
24-17
27-27
33-27
16-30
33-23
23-25
30-21
15-29
26-13
30-14
29-22
24-17
176.3Avg total
89.4Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)86.485.7172.1+0.756%
Season at home (16)82.882.6165.4+0.262%
Season away (16)89.988.8178.8+1.150%
Last 10 (10)89.486.9176.3+2.550%
Last 5 (5)97.884.6182.4+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.090.0163.0-17.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)86.689.3175.9-2.740%
vs Weaker (13)94.280.7174.8+13.592%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.0+6.0Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -3.2-3.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.0+6.0Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -3.2-3.2
Real MadridParis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#8
W
31-18
31
18
+13
A02/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#3
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A06/03
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H09/03
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A13/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H16/03
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H20/03
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A23/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H25/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A28/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#15
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H30/03
ACB
77.6Avg total
41.8Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.079.5+3.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.339.582.8+3.953%-
Last 30 away (15)39.736.676.3+3.153%-
Last 10 (10)41.835.877.6+6.050%-
Last 5 (5)45.636.882.4+8.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.338.377.7+1.042%-
vs Weaker (17)42.938.381.2+4.659%-
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#1
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H03/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H05/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A09/03
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A13/03
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#15
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H15/03
French Cup
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H18/03
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#12
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A21/03
LNB
Fenerbahce
#1
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A25/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A28/03
Euroleague
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
W
56-27
56
27
+29
H30/03
LNB
86.5Avg total
46.6Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.042.888.8+3.253%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.142.387.4+2.850%-
Last 30 away (12)47.343.490.8+3.958%-
Last 10 (10)46.639.986.5+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)49.239.488.6+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)31.048.079.0-17.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)45.642.788.3+2.953%-
vs Weaker (13)47.442.890.2+4.554%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.920.8
56.4%
54.5%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.77.9
29.6%
36.2%23.7
🏀 Free throws21.616.9
78.2%
78.0%16.9
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.9
55.1%
54.5%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.8
39.7%
36.2%32.4
🏀 Free throws18.214.2
78.0%
78.0%14.2
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWWLW
Paris
WWLWWWLLLL
#8
League position
#9
+8.4
Net rating
+3.4
109.8
Offensive rating
120.9
101.4
Defensive rating
117.4
51.3%
Effective FG%
57.0%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
18.5%
Turnover %
15.5%
35.1%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.28
29.6%
3-point %
39.7%
58.5%
Assist %
58.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.8 · 120.9Defence101.4 · 117.4Shooting51.3% · 57.0%3-point %29.6% · 39.7%Ball care18.5% · 15.5%Off. rebounds35.1% · 32.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Paris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Real Madrid wins
0
Paris wins
DateGameScore
17/12/24Paris v Real Madrid85-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/25HBilbao88-70
28/03/25ACrvena zvezda78-72
25/03/25HOlimpia Milano96-89
23/03/25AUnicaja107-105
20/03/25HLyon-Villeurbanne81-70
16/03/25HBaskonia83-78
13/03/25AVirtus Bologna80-67
09/03/25HMurcia80-75
06/03/25APanathinaikos70-85
02/03/25AGran Canaria69-54
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/25HGravelines-Dunkerque109-66
28/03/25APanathinaikos101-98
25/03/25AFenerbahce100-101
21/03/25AStrasbourg87-79
18/03/25HOlimpia Milano92-79
15/03/25HJL Bourg99-91
13/03/25AZalgiris Kaunas81-83
09/03/25AMonaco63-94
05/03/25HMonaco79-91
03/03/25HFenerbahce83-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW56%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLLLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %56%75%38%
Points / game84.389.978.7
Allowed / game81.984.978.9
Point differential+2.4+5.0-0.2
Avg total166.2174.8157.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%38%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)100% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Paris
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW56%
HomeLWLLW62%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %56%62%50%
Points / game86.482.889.9
Allowed / game85.782.688.8
Point differential+0.7+0.2+1.1
Avg total172.1165.4178.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)75% (8)17% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos32221069%86.181.2+4.9
2 Fenerbahce33221167%83.081.3+1.7
3 Panathinaikos33211264%87.783.2+4.5
4 Monaco33201361%86.483.1+3.4
5 Barcelona33191458%88.084.3+3.7
6 Bayern33191458%87.587.7-0.2
7 Anadolu Efes32181456%86.482.0+4.5
8 Real Madrid32181456%84.381.9+2.4
9 Crvena zvezda32181456%81.779.7+2.0
10 Paris32181456%86.485.7+0.7
11 Olimpia Milano32161650%85.186.5-1.4
12 Partizan33161748%81.579.8+1.8
13 Zalgiris Kaunas33151845%77.478.7-1.3
14 Baskonia32131941%81.583.0-1.6
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne32131941%81.284.6-3.4
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv33112233%85.789.5-3.8
17 Virtus Bologna3282425%78.683.9-5.3
18 Alba Berlin3252716%78.891.6-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid23302131105
Paris28252724104
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