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Parnu vs Rigas Zelli Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 76-83
20-30 24-18 18-19 14-16
Position#9
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#4
Record0-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game90.0
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Parnu Spordihall
Other2025
Meetings · Parnu v Rigas Zelli
10 Feb 2027
PAR v RZE
upcoming
08 Oct 2025
PAR76
RZE83
18 Dec 2024
PAR51
RZE87
02 Mar 2024
PAR69
RZE64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rigas Zelli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
78-103
78
103
-25
62avg 69
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
L
84-98
84
98
-14
74avg 69
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
79-102
79
102
-23
64avg 69
A15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#4
L
66-87
66
87
-21
53avg 69
A16/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#4
W
82-75
82
75
+7
74avg 69
H19/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#4
L
69-100
69
100
-31
54avg 69
A23/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#4
W
92-82
92
82
+10
86avg 69
H26/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#4
L
69-95
69
95
-26
55avg 69
A29/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Brno
#28
L
75-83
75
83
-8
51avg 69
A24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Brno
#28
L
69-81
69
81
-12
61avg 69
H01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
23-20
15-27
19-29
23-27
11-24
25-29
25-18
17-27
20-25
25-18
17-32
14-23
19-22
21-22
12-20
16-25
24-20
18-14
24-16
23-23
16-21
12-20
18-36
13-19
33-23
24-21
22-19
17-23
16-25
19-26
17-21
8-16
16-25
26-20
25-22
19-19
19-20
13-23
18-19
166.9Avg total
76.3Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.390.6166.9-14.320%
Last 5 (5)74.888.2163.0-13.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)78.191.1169.1-13.021%
vs Similar (4)78.877.2156.0+1.550%
vs Weaker (7)87.180.4167.6+6.771%
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZelli
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#7
W
90-80
90
80
+10
82avg 79
H15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#2
L
95-97
95
97
-2
86avg 79
H29/04
LBL
Ventspils
#2
L
83-97
83
97
-14
73avg 79
A02/05
LBL
Ventspils
#2
L
84-94
84
94
-10
77avg 79
H05/05
LBL
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
83-97
83
97
-14
72avg 79
H14/05
LBL
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
85-79
85
79
+6
79avg 79
A17/05
LBL
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
83-62
83
62
+21
73avg 79
H20/05
LBL
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
109-68
109
68
+41
107avg 79
A24/05
LBL
Dziki Warszawa
#2
W
93-91
93
91
+2
87avg 79
A29/09
ENBL
Ventspils
#6
L
81-90
81
90
-9
67avg 79
H04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
14-25
23-11
32-18
27-23
23-25
18-28
27-21
23-21
28-32
18-23
14-21
20-32
23-18
21-23
20-21
14-23
30-20
15-27
24-27
21-8
23-17
14-29
27-25
18-20
25-11
15-20
25-11
28-16
24-23
28-21
29-8
17-21
29-32
29-19
18-19
17-24
21-29
22-22
21-15
174.1Avg total
88.6Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)81.090.0171.0-9.00%
Season at home (1)81.090.0171.0-9.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)88.685.5174.1+3.150%
Last 5 (5)90.278.0168.2+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.080.3155.3-5.333%
vs Similar (6)78.786.2164.8-7.517%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)87.069.0156.0+17.985%
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.8-5.8Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +5.1+5.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.8-5.8Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +5.1+5.1
ParnuRigas Zelli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#4
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A16/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#4
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H19/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A23/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#4
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H26/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#4
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A29/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Brno
#28
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Brno
#28
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
82.2Avg total
36.8Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.243.781.9-5.523%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.442.379.7-4.921%-
Last 30 away (16)38.944.983.8-6.025%-
Last 10 (10)36.845.482.2-8.610%-
Last 5 (5)36.042.878.8-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)37.346.483.7-9.116%-
vs Similar (4)35.840.876.5-5.025%-
vs Weaker (7)42.037.979.9+4.143%-
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#7
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#2
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H29/04
LBL
Ventspils
#2
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A02/05
LBL
Ventspils
#2
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H05/05
LBL
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H14/05
LBL
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
44-25
44
25
+19
A17/05
LBL
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H20/05
LBL
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A24/05
LBL
Dziki Warszawa
#2
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A29/09
ENBL
Ventspils
#6
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
89.2Avg total
44.6Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.937.880.7+5.163%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.639.182.7+4.469%-
Last 30 away (14)42.136.378.4+5.957%-
Last 10 (10)44.644.689.2+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)44.640.284.8+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.745.082.7-7.30%-
vs Similar (6)42.844.587.3-1.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.934.778.6+9.280%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.9
51.8%
53.1%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.97.8
28.0%
32.4%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.614.6
67.6%
69.8%14.6
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rigas Zellitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rigas Zelli: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.922.0
56.6%
53.1%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.9
33.2%
32.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws21.613.8
63.9%
69.8%13.8
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Parnu
LLLWLWLLLL
Rigas Zelli
LWWWWLLLLW
#9
League position
#4
-18.8
Net rating
+9.6
98.7
Offensive rating
111.1
117.5
Defensive rating
101.5
47.5%
Effective FG%
53.8%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
16.9%
Turnover %
18.4%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
35.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.33
28.0%
3-point %
33.2%
57.7%
Assist %
65.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence98.7 · 111.1Defence117.5 · 101.5Shooting47.5% · 53.8%3-point %28.0% · 33.2%Ball care16.9% · 18.4%Off. rebounds25.8% · 35.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Parnu   ■ Rigas Zelli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Parnu wins
3
Rigas Zelli wins
DateGameScore
18/12/24Parnu v Rigas Zelli51-87
09/11/24Rigas Zelli v Parnu89-76
02/03/24Parnu v Rigas Zelli69-64
25/11/23Rigas Zelli v Parnu85-81
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/25HBrno69-81
24/09/25ABrno75-83
29/04/25ARapla69-95
26/04/25HRapla92-82
23/04/25ARapla69-100
19/04/25HRapla82-75
16/04/25ARapla66-87
15/03/25AValmiera Glass Via79-102
11/03/25ABK Liepaja84-98
08/03/25ABC Kalev/Cramo78-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25HVentspils81-90
29/09/25ADziki Warszawa93-91
24/05/25AValmiera Glass Via109-68
20/05/25HValmiera Glass Via83-62
17/05/25AValmiera Glass Via85-79
14/05/25HValmiera Glass Via83-97
05/05/25HVentspils84-94
02/05/25AVentspils83-97
29/04/25HVentspils95-97
15/03/25HBK Liepaja90-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Rigas Zelli
Latvia-Estonian League 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game81.081.0-
Allowed / game90.090.0-
Point differential-9.0-9.0-
Avg total171.0171.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga220100%108.083.0+25.0
2 Valmiera Glass Via220100%88.574.0+14.5
3 Tartu Ulikool220100%84.575.5+9.0
4 Ventspils110100%90.081.0+9.0
5 BK Liepaja110100%91.088.0+3.0
6 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%84.081.0+3.0
7 Keila Coolbet1010%88.091.0-3.0
8 Tal Tech1010%83.091.0-8.0
9 Rigas Zelli1010%81.090.0-9.0
10 BK Ogre2020%78.590.0-11.5
11 Viimsi1010%82.0100.0-18.0
12 Keila KK2020%78.5105.5-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Parnu2024181476
Rigas Zelli3018191683
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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