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Parnu vs BK Ogre Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 57-92
17-19 11-23 10-23 19-27
Position#11
Record11-12
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game82.3
vs
BK Ogre 🏆
Position#5
Record14-9
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game77.5
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Parnu Spordihall
Other2024
Meetings · Parnu v BK Ogre
13 Dec 2026
PAR v BK O
upcoming
07 Jan 2026
PAR85
BK O71
26 Feb 2025
PAR57
BK O92
09 Mar 2024
PAR73
BK O82
15 Oct 2022
PAR85
BK O71
22 Dec 2021
PAR83
BK O78
18 Jan 2019
PAR79
BK O86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BK Ogre winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Keila Coolbet
#12
L
72-87
72
87
-15
58avg 69
H21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
98-68
98
68
+30
96avg 69
A28/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
80-70
80
70
+10
71avg 69
A05/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
98-96
98
96
+2
90avg 69
A10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
87-90
87
90
-3
77avg 69
H14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
77-74
77
74
+3
64avg 69
H17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
97-80
97
80
+17
93avg 69
A22/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
91-82
91
82
+9
98avg 69
H25/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
W
100-90
100
90
+10
92avg 69
H01/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
L
76-113
76
113
-37
65avg 69
A08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
17-18
27-23
13-30
29-21
24-11
17-19
28-17
16-28
20-15
21-16
23-11
23-30
27-22
19-22
29-22
23-27
26-25
24-15
14-23
19-20
19-25
22-16
17-13
14-20
26-16
26-22
31-22
27-6
29-27
16-25
19-24
20-23
21-26
30-17
29-24
15-24
15-30
17-28
29-31
172.6Avg total
87.6Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)82.382.3164.6-0.148%
Season at home (12)77.880.6158.3-2.842%
Season away (11)87.284.3171.5+2.955%
Last 10 (10)87.685.0172.6+2.670%
Last 5 (5)88.287.8176.0+0.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)75.984.8160.7-8.921%
vs Similar (2)85.572.5158.0+13.0100%
vs Weaker (9)83.777.6161.2+6.167%
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOgre
Date
Competition
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
85-82
85
82
+3
82avg 76
H29/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
59-81
59
81
-22
52avg 76
H04/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
99-91
99
91
+8
95avg 76
H08/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#5
L
72-75
72
75
-3
67avg 76
A11/01
Latvian Cup
BK Liepaja
#5
L
69-78
69
78
-9
54avg 76
H18/01
Latvian Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
80-87
80
87
-7
69avg 76
A20/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
W
76-72
76
72
+4
70avg 76
H22/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
97-65
97
65
+32
99avg 76
A01/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
79-86
79
86
-7
71avg 76
H08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
87-67
87
67
+20
82avg 76
H12/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
18-21
18-26
23-18
13-19
10-18
14-28
22-16
19-19
30-22
24-26
26-24
15-14
23-33
13-12
21-16
17-18
19-23
12-12
21-25
14-16
27-19
13-28
26-24
25-20
17-21
19-15
15-16
32-15
22-13
26-15
17-22
18-21
23-28
13-18
25-19
23-18
26-8
26-23
12-18
158.7Avg total
80.3Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)81.077.5158.5+3.661%
Season at home (12)81.077.8158.8+3.267%
Season away (11)81.177.2158.3+3.955%
Last 10 (10)80.378.4158.7+1.950%
Last 5 (5)83.875.4159.2+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.383.5154.8-12.217%
vs Similar (8)82.875.0157.8+7.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)82.378.7161.0+3.753%
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.0+1.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.0+1.0
ParnuBK Ogre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keila Coolbet
#12
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A28/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A05/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A22/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
56-33
56
33
+23
H25/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H01/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
85.5Avg total
42.5Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.241.578.7-4.323%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.539.976.5-3.420%-
Last 30 away (15)37.943.181.0-5.327%-
Last 10 (10)42.543.085.5-0.530%-
Last 5 (5)41.043.484.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)35.444.179.5-8.611%-
vs Similar (2)40.541.582.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker (9)40.236.276.4+4.044%-
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H29/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
23-37
23
37
-14
H04/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H08/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#5
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A11/01
Latvian Cup
BK Liepaja
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H18/01
Latvian Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A20/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H22/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
54-28
54
28
+26
A01/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H12/02
Latvia-Estonian League
80.0Avg total
41.7Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.639.081.6+3.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.338.580.8+3.960%-
Last 30 away (15)42.839.582.3+3.360%-
Last 10 (10)41.738.380.0+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)45.435.881.2+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.341.076.3-5.750%-
vs Similar (8)43.537.080.5+6.562%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.539.783.3+3.860%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.1
52.2%
51.9%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.7
35.7%
32.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws23.917.6
73.6%
70.6%17.6
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BK Ogretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Ogre: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.217.7
48.9%
51.9%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.5
37.9%
32.3%31.5
🏀 Free throws21.415.3
71.5%
70.6%15.3
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Parnu
LWWWWLWWWL
BK Ogre
WLWWLLLWLW
#11
League position
#5
+3.4
Net rating
+8.9
110.5
Offensive rating
109.7
107.1
Defensive rating
100.8
52.7%
Effective FG%
52.3%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
46.6%
15.5%
Turnover %
18.1%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.7%
3-point %
37.9%
60.4%
Assist %
62.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.5 · 109.7Defence107.1 · 100.8Shooting52.7% · 52.3%3-point %35.7% · 37.9%Ball care15.5% · 18.1%Off. rebounds28.2% · 32.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Parnu   ■ BK Ogre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Parnu wins
6
BK Ogre wins
DateGameScore
17/11/24BK Ogre v Parnu76-87
09/03/24Parnu v BK Ogre73-82
20/12/23BK Ogre v Parnu93-72
12/03/23BK Ogre v Parnu81-68
15/10/22Parnu v BK Ogre85-71
10/04/22BK Ogre v Parnu77-84
16/02/22BK Ogre v Parnu74-71
22/12/21Parnu v BK Ogre83-78
08/04/21BK Ogre v Parnu77-68
18/01/19Parnu v BK Ogre79-86
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25ARapla76-113
01/02/25HVentspils100-90
25/01/25HKeila KK91-82
22/01/25ALatvijas Universitate97-80
17/01/25HTal Tech77-74
14/01/25HTartu Ulikool87-90
10/01/25AKeila Coolbet98-96
05/01/25AViimsi80-70
28/12/24AKeila KK98-68
21/12/24HKeila Coolbet72-87
BK Ogrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/25HValmiera Glass Via87-67
08/02/25HTartu Ulikool79-86
01/02/25ALatvijas Universitate97-65
22/01/25HRigas Zelli76-72
20/01/25ABC Kalev/Cramo80-87
18/01/25HBK Liepaja69-78
11/01/25ABK Liepaja72-75
08/01/25HKeila KK99-91
04/01/25HVEF Riga59-81
29/12/24HKeila Coolbet85-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL48%
HomeLLWWW42%
AwayWWWWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %48%42%55%
Points / game82.377.887.2
Allowed / game82.380.684.3
Point differential-0.1-2.8+2.9
Avg total164.6158.3171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%17%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %4%0%9%
BK Ogre
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW61%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLWWLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %61%67%55%
Points / game81.081.081.1
Allowed / game77.577.877.2
Point differential+3.6+3.2+3.9
Avg total158.5158.8158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%42%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga2119290%82.566.8+15.8
2 BC Kalev/Cramo2218482%87.473.3+14.1
3 Rigas Zelli2418675%82.769.5+13.2
4 Tartu Ulikool2315865%82.380.8+1.5
5 Valmiera Glass Via2415962%82.576.2+6.4
6 BK Ogre2314961%81.077.5+3.6
7 Ventspils23121152%89.385.4+3.9
8 BK Liepaja24121250%82.382.0+0.3
9 Rapla23111248%82.782.7-0.0
10 Parnu23111248%82.382.3-0.1
11 Tal Tech23101343%79.683.7-4.2
12 Keila Coolbet2271532%77.684.8-7.1
13 Viimsi2351822%71.085.2-14.2
14 Keila KK2231914%73.290.1-16.9
15 Latvijas Universitate242228%69.484.9-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Parnu1711101957
BK Ogre1923232792
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