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Mega Basket vs Partizan Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 23 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 88-86
21-11 19-18 29-32 19-25
Position#4
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game84.0
Mega Basket 🏆
vs
Partizan
Position#3
Record3-0
FormWWWLL
Points / game100.7
Allowed / game67.0
EuropeABA LeagueRound 4· Hala sportova Ranko
Domestic2023
Meetings · Mega Basket v Partizan
20 Dec 2026
MEG v PAR
upcoming
06 Jan 2025
MEG90
PAR100
27 May 2024
MEG92
PAR88
23 Oct 2023
MEG88
PAR86
05 Feb 2023
MEG78
PAR103
10 Apr 2022
MEG68
PAR97
05 Jun 2021
MEG82
PAR68
01 Jun 2021
MEG94
PAR86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Partizan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
KK Metalac
#8
W
88-77
88
77
+11
80avg 79
H10/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#4
W
92-78
92
78
+14
88avg 79
H17/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
77avg 79
A21/05
Super League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#7
W
96-64
96
64
+32
88avg 79
H25/05
Super League
KK Metalac
#8
W
90-78
90
78
+12
90avg 79
A27/05
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
72-75
72
75
-3
62avg 79
H04/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
70-96
70
96
-26
62avg 79
A07/06
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
87-89
87
89
-2
80avg 79
A30/09
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
89-90
89
90
-1
85avg 79
H06/10
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
83-73
83
73
+10
83avg 79
A16/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
26-19
32-20
11-22
25-26
21-18
28-20
18-14
21-23
26-17
16-24
19-23
19-8
31-20
22-23
24-13
25-28
29-14
24-9
12-27
21-19
19-14
14-17
18-25
16-25
18-18
17-29
19-24
21-31
21-31
25-20
20-7
25-24
32-28
20-23
12-15
19-21
17-13
19-20
28-19
165.6Avg total
84.9Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.384.0170.3+2.333%
Season at home (1)89.090.0179.0-1.00%
Season away (2)85.081.0166.0+4.050%
Last 10 (10)84.980.7165.6+4.250%
Last 5 (5)80.284.6164.8-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)77.488.9166.3-11.411%
vs Similar (10)87.785.9173.6+1.860%
vs Weaker (10)90.375.9166.2+14.490%
This opponent (Partizan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PartizanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPartizan
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
78-91
78
91
-13
74avg 83
A18/06
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
56-68
56
68
-12
no box
A20/06
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
W
96-85
96
85
+11
94avg 83
H22/06
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
W
110-78
110
78
+32
117avg 83
H02/10
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
81-96
81
96
-15
76avg 83
A05/10
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
96-56
96
56
+40
93avg 83
A08/10
ABA League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
88-62
88
62
+26
88avg 83
A12/10
Euroleague
Cibona
#12
W
96-67
96
67
+29
94avg 83
H14/10
ABA League
Barcelona
#5
L
83-92
83
92
-9
69avg 83
H17/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
94-98 OT
94
98
-4
87avg 83
A19/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
20-19
18-24
19-29
13-20
11-12
15-17
17-19
30-18
24-16
21-34
21-17
34-21
25-20
22-20
29-17
16-27
27-28
15-19
23-22
16-11
29-11
23-20
28-14
17-13
26-16
29-19
16-14
16-25
20-17
31-18
29-7
16-23
18-21
26-25
23-23
21-28
22-21
26-10
16-26
167.1Avg total
87.8Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)100.767.0167.7+33.7100%
Season at home (2)103.072.5175.5+30.5100%
Season away (1)96.056.0152.0+40.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.879.3167.1+8.550%
Last 5 (5)91.475.0166.4+16.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.098.0192.0-4.00%
vs Similar (14)85.585.4170.9+0.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)90.976.7167.7+14.287%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +3.3+3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +3.3+3.3
Mega BasketPartizan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Metalac
#8
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H10/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#4
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H17/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#4
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A21/05
Super League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#7
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H25/05
Super League
KK Metalac
#8
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A27/05
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H04/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A07/06
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
42-62
42
62
-20
A30/09
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H06/10
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A16/10
ABA League
86.4Avg total
45.1Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.543.185.6-0.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.042.285.2+0.869%-
Last 30 away (14)41.944.186.0-2.143%-
Last 10 (10)45.141.386.4+3.880%-
Last 5 (5)41.844.886.6-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.847.786.4-8.911%-
vs Similar (10)42.044.386.3-2.360%-
vs Weaker (10)46.238.384.5+7.990%-
This opponent (Partizan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PartizanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A18/06
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A20/06
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H22/06
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H02/10
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A05/10
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
45-22
45
22
+23
A08/10
ABA League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A12/10
Euroleague
Cibona
#12
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H14/10
ABA League
Barcelona
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H17/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A19/10
Euroleague
80.8Avg total
42.2Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.139.184.2+5.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.539.986.4+6.560%-
Last 30 away (15)43.738.382.0+5.367%-
Last 10 (10)42.238.680.8+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)40.237.277.4+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.049.092.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (14)45.140.485.5+4.664%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)45.237.382.5+7.967%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.421.9
57.0%
54.3%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.7
31.7%
34.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws23.417.0
72.6%
73.8%17.0
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Partizantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Partizan: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.122.0
60.9%
54.3%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.88.1
37.2%
34.1%24.3
🏀 Free throws23.218.3
78.9%
73.8%18.3
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Basket
WLLLLWWLWW
Partizan
LLWWWLWWLL
#4
League position
#3
+4.6
Net rating
+10.7
109.3
Offensive rating
117.8
104.7
Defensive rating
107.0
53.3%
Effective FG%
59.0%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
18.5%
Turnover %
17.1%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.40
31.7%
3-point %
37.2%
66.6%
Assist %
57.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 117.8Defence104.7 · 107.0Shooting53.3% · 59.0%3-point %31.7% · 37.2%Ball care18.5% · 17.1%Off. rebounds30.2% · 28.8%Free throws0.37 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Mega Basket   ■ Partizan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Mega Basket wins
5
Partizan wins
DateGameScore
05/02/23Mega Basket v Partizan78-103
30/10/22Partizan v Mega Basket86-76
10/04/22Mega Basket v Partizan68-97
20/01/22Partizan v Mega Basket90-93
05/06/21Mega Basket v Partizan82-68
03/06/21Partizan v Mega Basket81-77
01/06/21Mega Basket v Partizan94-86
26/09/19Partizan v Mega Basket86-73
Mega Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/23AFMP Beograd83-73
06/10/23HBorac Mozzart89-90
30/09/23ACedevita Olimpija87-89
07/06/23AFMP Beograd70-96
04/06/23HFMP Beograd72-75
27/05/23AKK Metalac90-78
25/05/23HVojvodina Novi Sad96-64
21/05/23ABorac Mozzart82-87
17/05/23HBorac Mozzart92-78
10/05/23HKK Metalac88-77
Partizanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/23AOlympiacos94-98 OT
17/10/23HBarcelona83-92
14/10/23HCibona96-67
12/10/23ALyon-Villeurbanne88-62
08/10/23AKK Krka Novo mesto96-56
05/10/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv81-96
02/10/23HMornar Bar110-78
22/06/23HCrvena zvezda96-85
20/06/23ACrvena zvezda56-68
18/06/23ACrvena zvezda78-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Basket
ABA League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game86.389.085.0
Allowed / game84.090.081.0
Point differential+2.3-1.0+4.0
Avg total170.3179.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Partizan
ABA League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game100.7103.096.0
Allowed / game67.072.556.0
Point differential+33.7+30.5+40.0
Avg total167.7175.5152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan330100%100.767.0+33.7
2 Crvena zvezda440100%87.868.2+19.5
3 Buducnost440100%91.272.0+19.2
4 Studentski Centar43175%85.079.2+5.8
5 Igokea43175%83.081.2+1.8
6 Zadar42250%82.080.8+1.2
7 Borac Mozzart42250%81.084.0-3.0
8 Cedevita Olimpija42250%77.283.0-5.8
9 Mega Basket31233%86.384.0+2.3
10 FMP Beograd41325%83.888.5-4.8
11 Split41325%76.282.2-6.0
12 KK Krka Novo mesto41325%74.890.8-16.0
13 Cibona4040%80.092.0-12.0
14 Mornar Bar4040%68.895.8-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Basket2119291988
Partizan1118322586
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