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Virtus Bologna vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 87-76
27-11 17-15 23-25 20-25
Position#8
Record1-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game70.5
Virtus Bologna 🏆
vs
Alba Berlin
Position#18
Record0-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game85.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 3· PalaDozza
European cup2023
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Alba Berlin
04 Dec 2024
VIR88
ABE90
18 Oct 2023
VIR87
ABE76
14 Dec 2022
VIR85
ABE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
72-79
72
79
-7
62avg 80
A19/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
85-66
85
66
+19
84avg 80
H21/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
55-67
55
67
-12
48avg 80
A23/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
78-73
78
73
+5
70avg 80
A23/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#2
W
97-60
97
60
+37
105avg 80
H24/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Scafati
#14
W
81-75
81
75
+6
82avg 80
A01/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
79-82
79
82
-3
75avg 80
H05/10
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
115-84
115
84
+31
113avg 80
H08/10
Lega A
Monaco
#3
W
83-59
83
59
+24
83avg 80
A13/10
Euroleague
Trento
#6
W
90-75
90
75
+15
89avg 80
A15/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
13-16
17-17
18-20
23-27
26-16
18-16
18-7
9-21
20-17
5-10
21-19
14-12
20-20
25-21
19-20
27-10
21-25
28-8
21-17
25-15
23-21
13-19
20-20
23-15
19-22
23-21
14-24
33-22
25-17
23-28
34-17
23-15
25-18
22-15
13-11
25-17
16-23
28-19
21-16
155.5Avg total
83.5Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.070.5151.5+10.550%
Season at home (1)79.082.0161.0-3.00%
Season away (1)83.059.0142.0+24.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.572.0155.5+11.570%
Last 5 (5)89.675.0164.6+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.072.5147.5+2.550%
vs Similar (10)76.877.8154.6-1.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)93.479.0172.4+14.482%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#4
L
64-88
64
88
-24
58avg 82
H14/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
91-77
91
77
+14
94avg 82
A17/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
81-93
81
93
-12
74avg 82
H19/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
81-83
81
83
-2
81avg 82
A24/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
90-81
90
81
+9
96avg 82
A28/09
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
110-75
110
75
+35
113avg 82
H02/10
BBL
Bayern
#15
L
68-80
68
80
-12
56avg 82
A05/10
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
L
88-100
88
100
-12
78avg 82
A07/10
BBL
Baskonia
#9
L
86-91
86
91
-5
79avg 82
H12/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#11
W
96-71
96
71
+25
96avg 82
H15/10
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
27-23
10-16
10-30
21-20
18-27
29-14
23-16
27-20
19-33
23-22
12-18
22-26
29-24
16-18
14-15
21-17
23-22
26-19
20-23
30-14
29-26
30-18
21-17
17-19
27-17
7-25
17-19
27-20
25-29
16-19
20-32
21-25
26-26
14-25
25-15
23-17
28-17
25-17
20-20
169.4Avg total
85.5Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)77.085.5162.5-8.50%
Season at home (1)86.091.0177.0-5.00%
Season away (1)68.080.0148.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)85.583.9169.4+1.640%
Last 5 (5)89.683.4173.0+6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)78.285.5163.7-7.317%
vs Similar (4)85.082.5167.5+2.575%
vs Weaker (20)86.875.3162.1+11.585%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -2.3-2.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -2.3-2.3
Virtus BolognaAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A19/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H21/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A23/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A23/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#2
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H24/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Scafati
#14
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A01/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H05/10
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H08/10
Lega A
Monaco
#3
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A13/10
Euroleague
Trento
#6
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A15/10
Lega A
80.9Avg total
43.4Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.239.182.3+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.037.383.3+8.780%-
Last 30 away (15)40.440.981.3-0.540%-
Last 10 (10)43.437.580.9+5.980%-
Last 5 (5)47.437.084.4+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.534.572.0+3.050%-
vs Similar (10)38.738.176.8+0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)47.140.687.6+6.565%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H14/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A17/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H19/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A24/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A28/09
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H02/10
BBL
Bayern
#15
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A05/10
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A07/10
BBL
Baskonia
#9
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H12/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#11
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H15/10
German Cup
91.8Avg total
47.7Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.540.284.7+4.377%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.040.586.5+5.571%-
Last 30 away (16)43.240.083.2+3.281%-
Last 10 (10)47.744.191.8+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)50.642.092.6+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)43.541.885.3+1.767%-
vs Similar (4)44.241.085.2+3.2100%-
vs Weaker (20)44.939.684.5+5.275%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.319.9
58.0%
53.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.7
36.3%
36.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.113.6
75.1%
77.4%13.6
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.720.3
56.9%
53.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.3
35.4%
36.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.616.2
82.7%
77.4%16.2
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WWWLWWWLWL
Alba Berlin
WLLLWWLLWL
#8
League position
#18
+11.1
Net rating
+2.4
115.6
Offensive rating
112.5
104.5
Defensive rating
110.1
56.5%
Effective FG%
55.2%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
17.3%
Turnover %
21.5%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
35.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.3%
3-point %
35.4%
66.2%
Assist %
67.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.6 · 112.5Defence104.5 · 110.1Shooting56.5% · 55.2%3-point %36.3% · 35.4%Ball care17.3% · 21.5%Off. rebounds28.4% · 35.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Virtus Bologna wins
0
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
09/03/23Alba Berlin v Virtus Bologna74-96
14/12/22Virtus Bologna v Alba Berlin85-76
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23ATrento90-75
13/10/23AMonaco83-59
08/10/23HVarese115-84
05/10/23HZalgiris Kaunas79-82
01/10/23AScafati81-75
24/09/23HBrescia97-60
23/09/23AOlimpia Milano78-73
23/06/23AOlimpia Milano55-67
21/06/23HOlimpia Milano85-66
19/06/23AOlimpia Milano72-79
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23HBasketball Braunschweig96-71
12/10/23HBaskonia86-91
07/10/23AUlm88-100
05/10/23ABayern68-80
02/10/23HCrailsheim Merlins110-75
28/09/23AHeidelberg90-81
24/05/23AUlm81-83
19/05/23HUlm81-93
17/05/23AUlm91-77
14/05/23HUlm64-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game81.079.083.0
Allowed / game70.582.059.0
Point differential+10.5-3.0+24.0
Avg total151.5161.0142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game77.086.068.0
Allowed / game85.591.080.0
Point differential-8.5-5.0-12.0
Avg total162.5177.0148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Maccabi Tel Aviv110100%96.081.0+15.0
2 Real Madrid330100%91.778.7+13.0
3 Barcelona330100%86.775.0+11.7
4 Valencia220100%73.569.5+4.0
5 Fenerbahce32167%80.776.0+4.7
6 Bayern32167%75.771.3+4.3
7 Zalgiris Kaunas32167%80.082.0-2.0
8 Virtus Bologna21150%81.070.5+10.5
9 Olimpia Milano21150%73.569.0+4.5
10 Crvena zvezda31233%81.378.0+3.3
11 Partizan31233%84.083.3+0.7
12 Baskonia31233%78.780.3-1.7
13 Olympiacos31233%69.773.3-3.7
14 Panathinaikos31233%75.080.7-5.7
15 Monaco31233%68.776.3-7.7
16 Anadolu Efes31233%81.092.7-11.7
17 Alba Berlin2020%77.085.5-8.5
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne3030%73.090.3-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna2717232087
Alba Berlin1115252576
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