PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Monaco vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-75
18-16 29-24 20-16 19-19
Position#3
Record1-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game68.7
Allowed / game76.3
Monaco 🏆
vs
Position#18
Record0-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game86.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 4· Salle Gaston Medecin
European cup2023
Meetings · Monaco v Alba Berlin
06 Dec 2024
MCO100
ABE80
20 Oct 2023
MCO86
ABE75
16 Dec 2022
MCO92
ABE89
08 Apr 2022
MCO91
ABE74
29 Jan 2019
MCO61
ABE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monaco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Limoges
#10
W
72-59
72
59
+13
89avg 81
A16/09
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#14
W
104-68
104
68
+36
117avg 81
A24/09
LNB
Saint Quentin
#7
W
77-75
77
75
+2
83avg 81
H26/09
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
W
87-79
87
79
+8
80avg 81
A01/10
LNB
Dijon
#9
W
88-74
88
74
+14
110avg 81
H03/10
LNB
Valencia
#14
L
65-70
65
70
-5
54avg 81
A06/10
Euroleague
Cholet
#6
W
75-69
75
69
+6
85avg 81
A08/10
LNB
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
59-83
59
83
-24
39avg 81
H13/10
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#4
W
78-67
78
67
+11
91avg 81
H15/10
LNB
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
82-76
82
76
+6
84avg 81
A18/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
14-11
19-15
13-12
23-15
27-21
24-17
30-15
20-16
16-16
11-25
30-18
19-21
16-21
26-18
26-19
22-15
20-19
25-18
21-22
20-17
18-22
13-14
14-17
15-19
21-16
11-11
28-23
15-23
18-25
15-22
11-13
18-16
13-13
21-19
26-19
14-23
24-21
26-19
18-13
150.7Avg total
78.7Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)68.776.3145.0-7.733%
Season at home (1)59.083.0142.0-24.00%
Season away (2)73.573.0146.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)78.772.0150.7+6.780%
Last 5 (5)71.873.0144.8-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.076.0138.0-14.00%
vs Similar (8)80.078.8158.8+1.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)85.980.3166.2+5.676%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#4
W
91-77
91
77
+14
94avg 81
A17/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
81-93
81
93
-12
74avg 81
H19/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
81-83
81
83
-2
81avg 81
A24/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
90-81
90
81
+9
96avg 81
A28/09
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
110-75
110
75
+35
113avg 81
H02/10
BBL
Bayern
#15
L
68-80
68
80
-12
56avg 81
A05/10
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
L
88-100
88
100
-12
78avg 81
A07/10
BBL
Baskonia
#9
L
86-91
86
91
-5
79avg 81
H12/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#11
W
96-71
96
71
+25
96avg 81
H15/10
German Cup
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
76-87
76
87
-11
70avg 81
A18/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
18-27
29-14
23-16
27-20
19-33
23-22
12-18
22-26
29-24
16-18
14-15
21-17
23-22
26-19
20-23
30-14
29-26
30-18
21-17
17-19
27-17
7-25
17-19
27-20
25-29
16-19
20-32
21-25
26-26
14-25
25-15
23-17
28-17
25-17
20-20
11-27
15-17
25-23
25-20
170.5Avg total
86.7Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.786.0162.7-9.30%
Season at home (1)86.091.0177.0-5.00%
Season away (2)72.083.5155.5-11.50%
Last 10 (10)86.783.8170.5+2.940%
Last 5 (5)82.885.8168.6-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)77.985.7163.6-7.914%
vs Similar (4)85.082.5167.5+2.575%
vs Weaker (19)86.174.5160.6+11.584%
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
MonacoAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limoges
#10
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A16/09
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#14
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A24/09
LNB
Saint Quentin
#7
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H26/09
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A01/10
LNB
Dijon
#9
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H03/10
LNB
Valencia
#14
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A06/10
Euroleague
Cholet
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A08/10
LNB
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H13/10
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#4
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H15/10
LNB
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A18/10
Euroleague
75.0Avg total
37.9Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.182.0+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.839.982.7+2.959%-
Last 30 away (13)40.840.381.1+0.554%-
Last 10 (10)37.937.175.0+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)35.239.074.2-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.029.070.0+12.0100%-
vs Similar (8)39.838.278.0+1.562%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)42.841.384.1+1.552%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A17/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H19/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A24/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A28/09
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H02/10
BBL
Bayern
#15
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A05/10
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A07/10
BBL
Baskonia
#9
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H12/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#11
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H15/10
German Cup
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A18/10
Euroleague
90.2Avg total
45.9Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.740.183.8+3.673%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.739.885.5+5.869%-
Last 30 away (17)42.240.282.4+1.976%-
Last 10 (10)45.944.390.2+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)44.042.886.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)41.042.183.1-1.157%-
vs Similar (4)44.241.085.2+3.2100%-
vs Weaker (19)44.639.183.7+5.574%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.420.3
51.5%
53.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.4
34.1%
36.6%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.114.7
69.7%
77.4%14.7
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.7
57.5%
53.4%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.5
37.4%
36.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.615.8
80.6%
77.4%15.8
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monaco
WWLWLWWWWW
Alba Berlin
LWLLLWWLLW
#3
League position
#18
+9.0
Net rating
+3.6
111.2
Offensive rating
113.9
102.2
Defensive rating
110.3
51.4%
Effective FG%
56.9%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
17.7%
Turnover %
21.2%
37.7%
Off. rebound %
34.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.1%
3-point %
37.4%
56.3%
Assist %
65.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 113.9Defence102.2 · 110.3Shooting51.4% · 56.9%3-point %34.1% · 37.4%Ball care17.7% · 21.2%Off. rebounds37.7% · 34.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Monaco   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Monaco wins
3
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
01/02/23Alba Berlin v Monaco84-102
16/12/22Monaco v Alba Berlin92-89
08/04/22Monaco v Alba Berlin91-74
22/12/21Alba Berlin v Monaco92-84
29/01/19Monaco v Alba Berlin61-75
03/01/19Alba Berlin v Monaco83-74
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/23ACrvena zvezda82-76
15/10/23HJL Bourg78-67
13/10/23HVirtus Bologna59-83
08/10/23ACholet75-69
06/10/23AValencia65-70
03/10/23HDijon88-74
01/10/23ALyon-Villeurbanne87-79
26/09/23HSaint Quentin77-75
24/09/23AChalon/Saone104-68
16/09/23ALimoges72-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/23AVirtus Bologna76-87
15/10/23HBasketball Braunschweig96-71
12/10/23HBaskonia86-91
07/10/23AUlm88-100
05/10/23ABayern68-80
02/10/23HCrailsheim Merlins110-75
28/09/23AHeidelberg90-81
24/05/23AUlm81-83
19/05/23HUlm81-93
17/05/23AUlm91-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monaco
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game68.759.073.5
Allowed / game76.383.073.0
Point differential-7.7-24.0+0.5
Avg total145.0142.0146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.786.072.0
Allowed / game86.091.083.5
Point differential-9.3-5.0-11.5
Avg total162.7177.0155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid440100%90.876.8+14.0
2 Barcelona330100%86.775.0+11.7
3 Valencia330100%74.068.3+5.7
4 Fenerbahce43175%85.878.5+7.2
5 Zalgiris Kaunas43175%84.882.0+2.8
6 Virtus Bologna32167%83.072.3+10.7
7 Bayern32167%75.771.3+4.3
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv21150%81.078.0+3.0
9 Olympiacos42250%76.878.5-1.8
10 Crvena zvezda31233%81.378.0+3.3
11 Olimpia Milano31233%72.775.3-2.7
12 Panathinaikos31233%75.080.7-5.7
13 Monaco31233%68.776.3-7.7
14 Anadolu Efes31233%81.092.7-11.7
15 Partizan41325%86.587.0-0.5
16 Baskonia41325%79.585.0-5.5
17 Alba Berlin3030%76.786.0-9.3
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne4040%76.293.0-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Monaco1829201986
Alba Berlin1624161975
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.