Minas vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 31 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 22:00

Final 82-90

18-20 30-19 15-26 19-25

Position#4

Record20-8

FormWWLWW

Points / game86.4

Allowed / game78.6

Minas

Pato 🏆

Position#12

Record7-22

FormLWLLL

Points / game76.3

Allowed / game84.9

NBB

Other2022-23

Meetings · Minas v Pato

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pato winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Uniao Corinthians

#13

82-78

A12/02

NBB

Cerrado

#17

99-70

+29

H15/02

NBB

Brasilia

#15

110-79

110

+31

H17/02

NBB

Flamengo

78-79

-1

A01/03

NBB

Libertadores

98-78

+20

H04/03

Champions League Americas

Libertadores

93-84

A09/03

Champions League Americas

Sao Paulo

87-76

+11

H14/03

NBB

Franca

90-94

-4

A21/03

NBB

Rio Claro

#16

97-79

+18

A23/03

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

88-86

H28/03

NBB

25-17

22-19

16-18

19-24

39-17

24-17

20-16

16-20

32-15

28-21

19-24

31-19

23-19

14-23

20-20

21-17

28-13

20-21

23-17

27-27

28-15

28-21

14-29

23-19

21-19

22-14

17-25

27-18

24-28

21-25

25-19

20-22

18-20

31-18

22-24

26-17

20-26

23-18

19-21

26-21

172.5Avg total

92.2Scored

80.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	86.4	78.6	165.0	+7.8	71%
Season at home (14)	86.8	74.5	161.3	+12.3	86%
Season away (14)	86.0	82.6	168.6	+3.4	57%
Last 10 (10)	92.2	80.3	172.5	+11.9	80%
Last 5 (5)	91.0	83.8	174.8	+7.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	84.0	86.5	170.5	-2.5	0%
vs Similar (5)	76.0	78.2	154.2	-2.2	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	90.7	76.4	167.1	+14.3	82%

This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pato

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Paulistano

75-87

-12

H17/01

NBB

Franca

82-88

-6

A31/01

NBB

Rio Claro

#16

93-100

100

-7

A02/02

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

88-80

H06/02

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

78-102

102

-24

A15/02

NBB

Cearense

#14

82-87

-5

H02/03

NBB

Unifacisa

82-71

+11

H04/03

NBB

Pinheiros

69-76

-7

A09/03

NBB

Bauru

55-74

-19

A11/03

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

66-68

-2

H22/03

NBB

20-18

20-24

21-28

14-17

15-25

25-20

18-24

24-19

22-23

21-26

26-28

24-23

24-11

22-18

20-16

22-35

24-24

23-25

12-36

19-17

26-27

13-23

18-21

25-16

22-16

19-12

16-25

25-18

19-23

11-15

16-15

23-23

24-19

11-16

13-23

7-16

14-18

20-19

18-9

14-22

160.3Avg total

77.0Scored

83.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	76.3	84.9	161.2	-8.7	24%
Season at home (14)	74.3	82.0	156.3	-7.7	29%
Season away (15)	78.1	87.7	165.8	-9.5	20%
Last 10 (10)	77.0	83.3	160.3	-6.3	20%
Last 5 (5)	70.8	75.2	146.0	-4.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	74.4	86.5	160.9	-12.1	10%
vs Similar (7)	77.0	78.9	155.9	-1.9	43%
vs Weaker (3)	88.0	89.3	177.3	-1.3	67%

This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MinasPato

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	18.9	40.9	+3.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	17.8	39.3	+3.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	19.9	42.6	+2.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.8	18.9	44.7	+6.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.6	43.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.5	23.5	47.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.2	20.6	38.8	-2.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.6	17.8	40.5	+4.8	68%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	20.2	38.6	-1.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.7	17.8	36.5	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	22.3	40.4	-4.2	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	20.4	41.4	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	18.5	19.8	38.3	-1.3	40%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.3	21.0	38.3	-3.7	14%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.5	19.2	42.7	+4.2	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	18.9	41.8	+4.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.0	19.6	43.6	+4.4	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	19.7	43.0	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	19.2	44.2	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	24.0	41.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.2	16.8	37.0	+3.4	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	25.0	19.1	44.1	+6.0	77%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	21.5	40.4	-2.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.2	21.1	39.3	-2.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	21.9	41.4	-2.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.8	38.3	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	17.0	31.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	18.8	20.7	39.5	-1.9	40%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.4	20.9	39.3	-2.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.0	28.3	49.3	-7.3	0%	-

MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Uniao Corinthians

#13

47-36

+11

A12/02

NBB

Cerrado

#17

63-34

+29

H15/02

NBB

Brasilia

#15

60-36

+24

H17/02

NBB

Flamengo

37-42

-5

A01/03

NBB

Libertadores

48-34

+14

H04/03

Champions League Americas

Libertadores

56-36

+20

A09/03

Champions League Americas

Sao Paulo

43-33

+10

H14/03

NBB

Franca

45-53

-8

A21/03

NBB

Rio Claro

#16

49-38

+11

A23/03

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

43-44

-1

H28/03

NBB

87.7Avg total

49.1Scored

38.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.5	38.1	83.6	+7.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.4	36.7	81.1	+7.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	46.7	39.5	86.2	+7.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.1	38.6	87.7	+10.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.2	40.8	88.0	+6.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	41.0	47.5	88.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	38.4	37.4	75.8	+1.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	47.7	36.9	84.6	+10.8	73%	-

This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Paulistano

40-42

-2

H17/01

NBB

Franca

40-45

-5

A31/01

NBB

Rio Claro

#16

43-49

-6

A02/02

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

46-29

+17

H06/02

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

47-49

-2

A15/02

NBB

Cearense

#14

39-50

-11

H02/03

NBB

Unifacisa

41-28

+13

H04/03

NBB

Pinheiros

30-38

-8

A09/03

NBB

Bauru

35-35

A11/03

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

34-37

-3

H22/03

NBB

79.7Avg total

39.5Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	41.7	79.0	-4.4	17%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.9	38.9	75.8	-1.9	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.6	44.2	81.8	-6.6	6%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	40.2	79.7	-0.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	37.6	73.4	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	37.2	40.5	77.8	-3.2	20%	-
vs Similar (7)	35.7	41.9	77.6	-6.1	14%	-
vs Weaker (3)	41.0	49.3	90.3	-8.3	0%	-

This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.6	40.2	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.6	17.6	39.2	+4.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	21.7	41.3	-2.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	21.3	40.8	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	23.6	43.0	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	19.5	42.0	+3.0	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.8	21.8	40.6	-3.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	20.9	18.8	39.7	+2.0	55%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	21.3	39.8	-2.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.1	21.1	39.3	-3.0	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	21.4	40.2	-2.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	22.5	40.3	-4.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	18.6	34.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	17.4	23.4	40.8	-6.0	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.0	16.1	35.1	+2.9	57%	-
vs Weaker (3)	24.7	19.3	44.0	+5.3	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	20.6	42.3	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	21.3	43.7	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	19.9	40.8	+0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	20.4	44.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	19.4	43.8	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.2	20.7	42.9	+1.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	21.5	41.8	-1.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	22.0	41.2	-2.8	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.3	21.0	42.3	+0.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.6	40.3	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	19.4	21.8	41.2	-2.4	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	22.3	20.9	43.1	+1.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.3	20.7	43.0	+1.7	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	40.2	82.5	+2.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.1	38.9	82.9	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.5	41.6	82.1	-1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	41.7	84.8	+1.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	43.0	86.8	+0.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	43.0	39.0	82.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar (5)	37.6	40.8	78.4	-3.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	43.0	39.5	82.5	+3.5	68%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	42.8	81.6	-3.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.4	43.1	80.5	-5.8	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.1	42.4	82.6	-2.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	43.1	80.6	-5.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	37.6	72.6	-2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	36.8	45.2	82.0	-8.5	20%	-
vs Similar (7)	41.3	37.0	78.3	+4.3	71%	-
vs Weaker (3)	47.0	40.0	87.0	+7.0	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Minas wins

Pato wins

Date	Game	Score
21/12/22	Pato v Minas	74-88
06/02/22	Pato v Minas	70-101
05/11/21	Minas v Pato	79-67
14/02/21	Pato v Minas	67-83
12/11/20	Minas v Pato	76-54
15/01/20	Minas v Pato	86-76
24/10/19	Pato v Minas	62-80

Minaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/03/23	H	Corinthians Paulista	88-86
23/03/23	A	Rio Claro	97-79
21/03/23	A	Franca	90-94
14/03/23	H	Sao Paulo	87-76
09/03/23	A	Libertadores	93-84
04/03/23	H	Libertadores	98-78
01/03/23	A	Flamengo	78-79
17/02/23	H	Brasilia	110-79
15/02/23	H	Cerrado	99-70
12/02/23	A	Uniao Corinthians	82-78

Patolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/03/23	H	Uniao Corinthians	66-68
11/03/23	A	Bauru	55-74
09/03/23	A	Pinheiros	69-76
04/03/23	H	Unifacisa	82-71
02/03/23	H	Cearense	82-87
15/02/23	A	Corinthians Paulista	78-102
06/02/23	H	Caxias do Sul	88-80
02/02/23	A	Rio Claro	93-100
31/01/23	A	Franca	82-88
17/01/23	H	Paulistano	75-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	71%
Home	WWWWW	86%
Away	LWLLW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	71%	86%	57%
Points / game	86.4	86.8	86.0
Allowed / game	78.6	74.5	82.6
Point differential	+7.8	+12.3	+3.4
Avg total	165.0	161.3	168.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	39%	36%	43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	75% (4)	33% (3)
Overtime %	7%	7%	7%

Pato

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	24%
Home	LWLWL	29%
Away	LLLLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	14	15
Win %	24%	29%	20%
Points / game	76.3	74.3	78.1
Allowed / game	84.9	82.0	87.7
Point differential	-8.7	-7.7	-9.5
Avg total	161.2	156.3	165.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	14%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	33% (3)	100% (1)
Overtime %	3%	0%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Franca	28	28	0	100%	90.2	77.8	+12.4
2	Flamengo	28	25	3	89%	84.8	69.0	+15.9
3	Sao Paulo	29	21	8	72%	86.8	79.5	+7.3
4	Minas	28	20	8	71%	86.4	78.6	+7.8
5	Paulistano	28	19	9	68%	77.0	72.5	+4.5
6	Pinheiros	30	18	12	60%	80.6	78.0	+2.6
7	Bauru	30	17	13	57%	77.6	71.5	+6.1
8	Corinthians Paulista	29	15	14	52%	81.2	79.7	+1.4
9	Sao Jose	30	14	16	47%	81.1	82.2	-1.2
10	Unifacisa	30	14	16	47%	77.4	79.7	-2.3
11	Caxias do Sul	28	11	17	39%	73.4	75.6	-2.3
12	Uniao Corinthians	28	9	19	32%	78.9	82.2	-3.3
13	Cearense	29	8	21	28%	73.2	83.8	-10.6
14	Brasilia	28	7	21	25%	78.8	86.8	-8.0
15	Pato	29	7	22	24%	76.3	84.9	-8.7
16	Rio Claro	30	7	23	23%	76.5	87.9	-11.4
17	Cerrado	28	5	23	18%	82.6	92.1	-9.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Minas	18	30	15	19	82
Pato	20	19	26	25	90

← all games of the day

Minas vs Pato Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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