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Pato vs Paulistano Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 17 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 23:00
Postponed
Position#16
Record4-21
FormWWLLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#11
Record11-14
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game83.1
BrazilNBBRound 20
Other2019-20
Meetings · Pato v Paulistano
21 Oct 2026
PATO74
PAUL80
06 Dec 2025
PATO67
PAUL59
17 Nov 2024
PATO66
PAUL65
09 Mar 2024
PATO83
PAUL73
18 Apr 2023
PATO82
PAUL70
17 Jan 2023
PATO75
PAUL87
30 Oct 2021
PATO55
PAUL68
02 Apr 2021
PATO49
PAUL87
17 Mar 2020
PATO v PAUL
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Paulistano win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#13
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A13/01
NBB
Minas
#4
L
76-86
76
86
-10
A15/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
86-106
86
106
-20
H03/02
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
71-86
71
86
-15
H05/02
NBB
Botafogo
#9
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H12/02
NBB
Cearense
#15
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H26/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#10
W
71-61
71
61
+10
H28/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#8
L
57-77
57
77
-20
A04/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#7
L
81-93
81
93
-12
A07/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
L
83-87
83
87
-4
A08/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
14-20
22-23
17-19
18-21
19-15
19-31
20-19
17-19
23-27
22-30
24-30
19-22
17-19
16-26
19-19
23-8
18-19
11-26
17-22
13-10
21-21
24-17
26-24
12-17
17-15
21-17
21-12
15-19
13-20
14-24
15-14
12-25
23-28
26-19
20-21
20-27
13-19
20-14
30-27
157.0Avg total
75.1Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)71.080.2151.2-9.216%
Season at home (12)71.279.7150.8-8.525%
Season away (13)70.880.7151.5-9.98%
Last 10 (10)75.181.9157.0-6.820%
Last 5 (5)75.278.0153.2-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)70.880.5151.3-9.818%
vs Similar (3)72.377.7150.0-5.30%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#9
W
73-72
73
72
+1
H16/01
NBB
Franca
#2
L
72-85
72
85
-13
H25/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A31/01
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
70-86
70
86
-16
H10/02
NBB
Minas
#4
W
71-66
71
66
+5
A13/02
NBB
Brasilia
#13
L
78-90
78
90
-12
A15/02
NBB
Bauru
#12
L
88-93
88
93
-5
H29/02
NBB
Mogi
#5
W
94-83
94
83
+11
A03/03
NBB
Cearense
#15
L
95-99 OT
95
99
-4
A06/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#10
L
90-101
90
101
-11
A09/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
19-21
24-23
15-13
12-22
18-21
16-20
26-22
26-16
17-13
20-24
11-22
20-24
12-19
13-22
25-21
14-16
24-13
17-19
16-18
24-23
17-20
21-22
16-25
27-20
23-28
21-19
17-26
24-10
28-17
13-19
29-37
14-18
14-21
25-14
28-28
14-22
24-21
29-22
23-36
165.5Avg total
80.5Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)81.783.1164.8-1.444%
Season at home (13)81.784.5166.2-2.838%
Season away (12)81.781.6163.2+0.150%
Last 10 (10)80.585.0165.5-4.530%
Last 5 (5)89.093.2182.2-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.781.2157.9-4.633%
vs Similar (12)85.184.8169.8+0.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)80.081.4161.4-1.433%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -4.2-4.2
PatoPaulistano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#13
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A13/01
NBB
Minas
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A15/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H03/02
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H05/02
NBB
Botafogo
#9
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H12/02
NBB
Cearense
#15
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H26/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#10
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H28/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#8
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A04/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#7
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A07/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A08/03
NBB
73.2Avg total
34.7Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)32.338.670.9-6.220%-
Last 30 at home (12)32.338.070.3-5.725%-
Last 30 away (13)32.339.171.4-6.815%-
Last 10 (10)34.738.573.2-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)31.840.272.0-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)32.539.071.5-6.523%-
vs Similar (3)31.035.366.3-4.30%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#9
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H16/01
NBB
Franca
#2
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H25/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A31/01
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H10/02
NBB
Minas
#4
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A13/02
NBB
Brasilia
#13
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A15/02
NBB
Bauru
#12
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H29/02
NBB
Mogi
#5
W
52-27
52
27
+25
A03/03
NBB
Cearense
#15
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A06/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#10
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A09/03
NBB
76.6Avg total
38.6Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.137.676.7+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.839.478.2-0.650%-
Last 30 away (14)39.435.474.9+4.050%-
Last 10 (10)38.638.076.6+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)41.840.081.8+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.038.075.0-1.044%-
vs Similar (12)41.237.078.2+4.258%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)38.337.976.2+0.444%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pato wins
0
Paulistano wins
DateGameScore
27/12/19Paulistano v Pato74-96
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/20APinheiros83-87
07/03/20ACorinthians Paulista81-93
04/03/20ARio Claro57-77
28/02/20HUnifacisa71-61
26/02/20HCearense84-72
12/02/20HBotafogo69-75
05/02/20HFlamengo71-86
03/02/20HSao Paulo86-106
15/01/20AMinas76-86
13/01/20ABrasilia73-76
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/20AUnifacisa90-101
06/03/20ACearense95-99 OT
03/03/20AMogi94-83
29/02/20HBauru88-93
15/02/20ABrasilia78-90
13/02/20AMinas71-66
10/02/20HFlamengo70-86
31/01/20ASao Paulo74-75
25/01/20HFranca72-85
16/01/20HBotafogo73-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2019-20
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL16%
HomeLLLWW25%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %16%25%8%
Points / game71.071.270.8
Allowed / game80.279.780.7
Point differential-9.2-8.5-9.9
Avg total151.2150.8151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Paulistano
NBB 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL44%
HomeLWLLL38%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %44%38%50%
Points / game81.781.781.7
Allowed / game83.184.581.6
Point differential-1.4-2.8+0.1
Avg total164.8166.2163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%15%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)50% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo2421388%85.077.1+7.9
2 Franca2520580%87.479.0+8.4
3 Sao Paulo2620677%88.581.6+6.9
4 Minas2617965%86.681.4+5.2
5 Mogi26161062%82.881.4+1.3
6 Pinheiros27151256%81.679.9+1.7
7 Corinthians Paulista26131350%82.378.9+3.4
8 Rio Claro26131350%84.486.7-2.2
9 Botafogo26131350%78.480.7-2.3
10 Unifacisa27131448%83.281.0+2.2
11 Paulistano25111444%81.783.1-1.4
12 Bauru26111542%80.281.0-0.8
13 Brasilia2681831%76.085.9-10.0
14 Sao Jose2772026%86.392.1-5.8
15 Cearense2652119%76.381.0-4.7
16 Pato2542116%71.080.2-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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