PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Pato vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 74-80
10-13 18-20 13-30 33-17
Position#16
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Pato
Brazil
vs
Paulistano 🏆
Brazil
Position#6
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2026-27
Meetings · Pato v Paulistano
21 Oct 2026
PATO74
PAUL80
06 Dec 2025
PATO67
PAUL59
17 Nov 2024
PATO66
PAUL65
09 Mar 2024
PATO83
PAUL73
18 Apr 2023
PATO82
PAUL70
17 Jan 2023
PATO75
PAUL87
30 Oct 2021
PATO55
PAUL68
02 Apr 2021
PATO49
PAUL87
17 Mar 2020
PATO v PAUL
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paulistano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
79-89
79
89
-10
67avg 62
H07/03
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
72-80
72
80
-8
63avg 62
H13/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
72-81
72
81
-9
64avg 62
H18/03
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
70-94
70
94
-24
57avg 62
A24/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
58-67
58
67
-9
52avg 62
H02/04
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
70-78
70
78
-8
62avg 62
H06/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
64-100
64
100
-36
58avg 62
A09/04
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
68-77
68
77
-9
69avg 62
A11/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
55-88
55
88
-33
50avg 62
A16/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
71-92
71
92
-21
58avg 62
A18/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
18-17
19-26
23-25
13-26
22-19
17-19
20-16
15-13
19-17
24-28
14-23
16-20
18-21
21-29
15-24
13-16
13-14
20-20
12-17
17-13
21-16
20-20
12-29
16-30
12-23
11-23
25-24
19-14
20-21
14-23
15-19
12-25
16-19
16-27
11-17
15-24
18-27
18-28
20-13
152.5Avg total
67.9Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)67.984.6152.5-16.70%
Last 5 (5)65.687.0152.6-21.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)69.082.4151.3-13.410%
vs Similar (9)79.978.4158.3+1.444%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
84-80
84
80
+4
64avg 74
A09/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
70-84
70
84
-14
53avg 74
A15/04
NBB
Pato
#17
W
92-71
92
71
+21
93avg 74
H18/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
80-77
80
77
+3
66avg 74
H21/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
95-80
95
80
+15
105avg 74
A24/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
75-88
75
88
-13
66avg 74
A26/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
71-62
71
62
+9
67avg 74
H29/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
92-101 OT
92
101
-9
77avg 74
A04/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
68-76
68
76
-8
54avg 74
H07/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
74-84
74
84
-10
59avg 74
H09/05
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
14-22
26-21
22-21
16-18
19-21
19-24
16-21
24-15
27-18
28-18
13-20
21-13
16-8
25-28
18-28
31-17
20-22
25-15
19-26
14-24
17-29
26-16
18-19
15-16
20-16
20-18
16-12
23-16
24-26
22-24
20-23
24-20
14-16
24-28
6-12
23-18
12-24
18-18
21-24
160.4Avg total
80.1Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.180.3160.4-0.250%
Last 5 (5)76.082.2158.2-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.785.7164.3-7.017%
vs Similar (14)84.181.5165.6+2.671%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)88.675.8164.4+12.880%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -6.3-6.3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -3.7-3.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -6.3-6.3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -3.7-3.7
PatoPaulistano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H07/03
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H13/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H18/03
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A24/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H02/04
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H06/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A09/04
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A11/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A16/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A18/04
NBB
72.8Avg total
33.2Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.339.876.2-3.540%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.836.974.6+0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)34.743.277.9-8.529%-
Last 10 (10)33.239.672.8-6.430%-
Last 5 (5)33.242.475.6-9.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)33.941.375.1-7.419%-
vs Similar (9)42.136.478.6+5.789%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A09/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A15/04
NBB
Pato
#17
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H18/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
37-21
37
21
+16
H21/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A24/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A26/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H29/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A04/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H07/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H09/05
NBB
77.1Avg total
39.6Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.138.981.1+3.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.537.881.3+5.771%-
Last 30 away (16)40.939.980.9+1.044%-
Last 10 (10)39.637.577.1+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)37.241.078.2-3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.241.381.5-1.233%-
vs Similar (14)41.838.280.0+3.657%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)43.838.582.3+5.370%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 67.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.0 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.716.9
50.1%
49.9%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.28.3
25.0%
31.7%24.9
🏀 Free throws14.09.2
65.7%
71.2%9.2
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.0 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.317.9
48.0%
49.9%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.9
36.3%
31.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws16.111.0
68.3%
71.2%11.0
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
LLLLLLLLLL
Paulistano
LLLWLWWWLW
#16
League position
#6
-18.6
Net rating
+3.1
75.8
Offensive rating
92.4
94.5
Defensive rating
89.3
43.9%
Effective FG%
50.9%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
19.5%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.24
25.0%
3-point %
36.3%
63.9%
Assist %
55.2%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence75.8 · 92.4Defence94.5 · 89.3Shooting43.9% · 50.9%3-point %25.0% · 36.3%Ball care19.5% · 15.2%Free throws0.21 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)0% · 50%
■ Pato   ■ Paulistano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Pato wins
5
Paulistano wins
DateGameScore
18/04/26Paulistano v Pato92-71
06/12/25Pato v Paulistano67-59
26/03/25Paulistano v Pato77-94
17/11/24Pato v Paulistano66-65
09/03/24Pato v Paulistano83-73
22/11/23Paulistano v Pato79-68
23/04/23Paulistano v Pato92-78
21/04/23Paulistano v Pato90-57
18/04/23Pato v Paulistano82-70
17/01/23Pato v Paulistano75-87
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/26APaulistano71-92
16/04/26APinheiros55-88
11/04/26AOsasco68-77
09/04/26AFranca64-100
06/04/26HRio Claro70-78
02/04/26HBrasilia58-67
24/03/26ABauru70-94
18/03/26HSao Jose72-81
13/03/26HMogi72-80
07/03/26HCorinthians Paulista79-89
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/26HPinheiros74-84
07/05/26HPinheiros68-76
04/05/26APinheiros92-101 OT
29/04/26HBauru71-62
26/04/26ABauru75-88
24/04/26ABauru95-80
21/04/26HBauru80-77
18/04/26HPato92-71
15/04/26AMogi70-84
09/04/26ACorinthians Paulista84-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Paulistano
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca110100%90.059.0+31.0
2 Unifacisa220100%88.567.5+21.0
3 Minas110100%78.066.0+12.0
4 Mogi110100%84.073.0+11.0
5 Uniao Corinthians110100%83.074.0+9.0
6 Bauru110100%82.081.0+1.0
7 Flamengo21150%81.076.5+4.5
8 Cruzeiro21150%73.072.0+1.0
9 Osasco21150%81.582.5-1.0
10 Botafogo1010%71.081.0-10.0
11 Corinthians Paulista1010%73.084.0-11.0
12 Caxias do Sul2020%63.575.0-11.5
13 Pinheiros1010%65.081.0-16.0
14 Cearense1010%69.093.0-24.0
15 Sao Jose1010%59.090.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato1018133374
Paulistano1320301780
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.