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Paulistano vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 91-77
24-24 23-24 23-18 21-11
Position#7
Record19-12
FormLWWLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Position#19
Record6-26
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game87.5
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr
Other2025-26
Meetings · Paulistano v Cearense
19 Mar 2026
PAUL91
CEAR77
06 Mar 2025
PAUL84
CEAR87
04 Nov 2023
PAUL80
CEAR73
06 Feb 2023
PAUL80
CEAR78
10 Mar 2022
PAUL94
CEAR88
05 Jan 2021
PAUL78
CEAR73
22 Nov 2019
PAUL76
CEAR78
08 Apr 2019
PAUL74
CEAR84
22 Oct 2018
PAUL72
CEAR60
22 Apr 2018
PAUL79
CEAR68
20 Apr 2018
PAUL93
CEAR89
09 Dec 2017
PAUL96
CEAR84
18 Apr 2017
PAUL76
CEAR72
11 Apr 2017
PAUL81
CEAR85
09 Apr 2017
PAUL83
CEAR75
30 Mar 2017
PAUL79
CEAR67
11 Nov 2015
PAUL108
CEAR101
01 Apr 2015
PAUL86
CEAR78
07 Dec 2013
PAUL94
CEAR79
23 Apr 2013
PAUL89
CEAR85
16 Apr 2013
PAUL95
CEAR74
21 Mar 2013
PAUL79
CEAR86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
no box
H19/01
NBB
Franca
#1
W
91-89
91
89
+2
78avg 71
A03/02
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
86-73
86
73
+13
87avg 71
H07/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
74-63
74
63
+11
68avg 71
A11/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
73-80
73
80
-7
64avg 71
A13/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
68-80
68
80
-12
53avg 71
A19/02
NBB
Minas
#3
W
104-83
104
83
+21
94avg 71
H22/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
109-102 OT
109
102
+7
94avg 71
H06/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
88-89
88
89
-1
75avg 71
H10/03
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
100-87
100
87
+13
88avg 71
H17/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
25-14
18-21
13-21
25-27
18-18
22-26
26-18
18-19
20-18
25-20
23-16
17-21
22-11
18-14
17-17
22-20
13-18
20-19
18-23
11-26
25-15
14-20
18-19
29-17
30-24
31-19
14-23
27-28
25-15
15-27
23-20
26-27
14-23
19-23
29-16
32-23
23-25
26-18
19-21
170.3Avg total
87.6Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)82.878.5161.2+4.361%
Season at home (17)85.776.4162.1+9.476%
Season away (14)79.281.0160.2-1.843%
Last 10 (10)87.682.7170.3+4.970%
Last 5 (5)93.888.2182.0+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.879.6157.4-1.840%
vs Similar (11)81.882.4164.2-0.564%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)86.576.4162.9+10.164%
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
66-71
66
71
-5
55avg 66
H20/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
82-97
82
97
-15
70avg 66
A04/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
76-96
76
96
-20
71avg 66
A07/02
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
76-88
76
88
-12
66avg 66
A09/02
NBB
Pato
#17
W
64-59
64
59
+5
52avg 66
H18/02
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
70-107
70
107
-37
56avg 66
A05/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
70avg 66
A07/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
49-81
49
81
-32
33avg 66
H11/03
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
72-93
72
93
-21
54avg 66
H13/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
89-90 OT
89
90
-1
76avg 66
A17/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
18-14
22-19
11-15
28-25
13-25
22-25
19-22
19-26
18-16
18-28
21-26
20-27
12-19
20-22
24-20
21-16
14-24
10-8
19-11
14-32
21-25
20-25
15-25
20-21
28-12
11-27
18-23
14-24
4-15
23-21
8-21
20-27
11-20
26-21
15-25
16-18
16-17
23-19
21-22
158.6Avg total
72.1Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)76.287.5163.6-11.319%
Season at home (17)74.985.0159.9-10.124%
Season away (15)77.690.3167.9-12.713%
Last 10 (10)72.186.5158.6-14.410%
Last 5 (5)71.490.8162.2-19.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)74.490.3164.7-16.04%
vs Similar (6)80.078.8158.8+1.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -3.9-3.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -3.9-3.9
PaulistanoCearense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H19/01
NBB
Franca
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A03/02
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H07/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A11/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A13/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A19/02
NBB
Minas
#3
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H22/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H06/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H10/03
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H17/03
NBB
84.3Avg total
43.8Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.339.281.5+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.138.181.2+5.069%-
Last 30 away (14)41.440.481.7+1.043%-
Last 10 (10)43.840.584.3+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)48.444.693.0+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.440.078.4-1.620%-
vs Similar (11)42.739.582.2+3.355%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.438.682.0+4.771%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H20/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A04/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A07/02
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A09/02
NBB
Pato
#17
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H18/02
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
35-57
35
57
-22
A05/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A07/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
18-39
18
39
-21
H11/03
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H13/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A17/03
NBB
76.8Avg total
34.2Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.544.582.0-7.023%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.843.680.4-6.924%-
Last 30 away (13)38.545.684.1-7.223%-
Last 10 (10)34.242.676.8-8.410%-
Last 5 (5)32.842.275.0-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)37.145.782.8-8.517%-
vs Similar (6)39.039.878.8-0.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.3
51.6%
52.2%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.711.4
37.1%
32.5%34.2
🏀 Free throws20.314.6
71.9%
72.8%14.6
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 70.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.417.9
46.6%
52.2%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.86.6
26.6%
32.5%19.8
🏀 Free throws21.715.1
69.6%
72.8%15.1
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paulistano
WLWWLLWWWW
Cearense
LLLLLWLLLL
#7
League position
#19
+4.6
Net rating
-16.5
100.4
Offensive rating
80.0
95.8
Defensive rating
96.5
53.5%
Effective FG%
44.0%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
12.8%
Turnover %
17.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.1%
3-point %
26.6%
49.2%
Assist %
62.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 80.0Defence95.8 · 96.5Shooting53.5% · 44.0%3-point %37.1% · 26.6%Ball care12.8% · 17.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Paulistano   ■ Cearense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Paulistano wins
3
Cearense wins
DateGameScore
15/12/25Cearense v Paulistano77-100
06/03/25Paulistano v Cearense84-87
11/11/24Cearense v Paulistano66-49
10/02/24Cearense v Paulistano51-64
04/11/23Paulistano v Cearense80-73
06/02/23Paulistano v Cearense80-78
02/11/22Cearense v Paulistano55-78
10/03/22Paulistano v Cearense94-88 OT
09/12/21Cearense v Paulistano72-69 OT
13/04/21Cearense v Paulistano92-97 OT
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/26HRio Claro100-87
10/03/26HCruzeiro88-89
06/03/26HUnifacisa109-102 OT
22/02/26HMinas104-83
19/02/26APinheiros68-80
13/02/26ACaxias do Sul73-80
11/02/26AUniao Corinthians74-63
07/02/26HOsasco86-73
03/02/26AFranca91-89
19/01/26HBrasilia83-81 OT
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/26AOsasco89-90 OT
13/03/26HRio Claro72-93
11/03/26HBrasilia49-81
07/03/26APinheiros77-83
05/03/26ABauru70-107
18/02/26HPato64-59
09/02/26AMogi76-88
07/02/26ACorinthians Paulista76-96
04/02/26ASao Jose82-97
20/01/26HUnifacisa66-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW61%
HomeWWWLW76%
AwayWWWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %61%76%43%
Points / game82.885.779.2
Allowed / game78.576.481.0
Point differential+4.3+9.4-1.8
Avg total161.2162.1160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%41%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)43% (7)67% (3)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Cearense
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL19%
HomeWLWLL24%
AwayLLLLL13%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %19%24%13%
Points / game76.274.977.6
Allowed / game87.585.090.3
Point differential-11.3-10.1-12.7
Avg total163.6159.9167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%6%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)40% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pinheiros3226681%86.074.4+11.6
2 Franca2923679%89.275.4+13.8
3 Flamengo2923679%86.777.6+9.1
4 Minas3023777%86.982.0+4.9
5 Corinthians Paulista3022873%84.778.1+6.5
6 Brasilia3122971%81.471.6+9.7
7 Paulistano31191261%82.878.5+4.3
8 Bauru32191359%81.078.5+2.5
9 Sao Jose32191359%82.380.2+2.2
10 Mogi31171455%75.870.1+5.7
11 Unifacisa30161453%80.479.4+0.9
12 Uniao Corinthians30161453%79.581.2-1.7
13 Caxias do Sul32141844%73.076.9-3.9
14 Cruzeiro31112035%79.885.7-5.9
15 Rio Claro32102231%78.386.6-8.3
16 Pato3172423%73.479.8-6.4
17 Botafogo3172423%72.583.1-10.6
18 Cearense3262619%76.287.5-11.3
19 Vasco3252716%70.279.3-9.1
20 Osasco3252716%76.287.7-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paulistano2423232191
Cearense2424181177
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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