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Paulistano vs Vasco Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 70-76
16-15 12-16 23-23 19-22
Position#12
Record4-7
FormLWLWL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game73.7
vs
Vasco 🏆
Brazil
Position#7
Record6-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game69.9
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr
Other2024-25
Meetings · Paulistano v Vasco
11 Dec 2025
PAUL65
VASC69
04 Dec 2024
PAUL70
VASC76
11 Dec 2023
PAUL70
VASC76
28 Feb 2019
PAUL109
VASC65
03 Mar 2018
PAUL102
VASC59
03 Jan 2017
PAUL83
VASC86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vasco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#5
W
80-62
80
62
+18
76avg 69
H14/10
NBB
Franca
#2
L
90-100
90
100
-10
84avg 69
H24/10
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
79-83
79
83
-4
71avg 69
H28/10
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
84-86
84
86
-2
75avg 69
A30/10
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
88-70
88
70
+18
77avg 69
H02/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
69-75
69
75
-6
64avg 69
H05/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
75-62
75
62
+13
72avg 69
A08/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
49-66
49
66
-17
34avg 69
A11/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
86-69
86
69
+17
79avg 69
A14/11
NBB
Pato
#14
L
65-66
65
66
-1
52avg 69
A17/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-13
24-13
13-18
14-18
30-17
26-31
12-29
22-23
19-17
16-23
24-22
20-21
27-24
19-22
16-16
22-24
23-23
19-12
19-19
27-16
20-24
13-21
25-20
11-10
21-14
16-11
19-18
19-19
15-19
16-15
9-14
9-18
27-21
15-14
27-19
17-15
15-15
20-21
9-12
21-18
150.4Avg total
76.5Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.673.7149.4+1.936%
Season at home (5)81.278.0159.2+3.240%
Season away (6)71.070.2141.2+0.833%
Last 10 (10)76.573.9150.4+2.640%
Last 5 (5)68.867.6136.4+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.881.0153.8-8.20%
vs Similar ◀ (13)75.270.0145.2+5.254%
vs Weaker (11)79.065.4144.4+13.664%
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
W
68-59
68
59
+9
64avg 71
A15/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
65-66
65
66
-1
59avg 71
A17/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
62-65
62
65
-3
56avg 71
H21/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
70-68
70
68
+2
55avg 71
A01/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
81-72 OT
81
72
+9
75avg 71
A04/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
80-71
80
71
+9
76avg 71
H07/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
79-81
79
81
-2
75avg 71
H09/11
NBB
Pato
#14
W
84-76
84
76
+8
85avg 71
A12/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
66-68
66
68
-2
57avg 71
A15/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
90-84
90
84
+6
80avg 71
H17/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-13
14-18
13-15
22-13
12-12
16-16
14-20
23-18
10-10
16-17
14-11
22-27
14-18
13-16
26-22
17-12
16-18
21-17
16-15
12-15
19-18
19-13
26-24
16-16
22-18
17-26
23-23
17-14
22-13
20-12
25-29
17-22
11-21
19-9
20-18
16-20
27-21
17-17
16-24
30-22
145.5Avg total
74.5Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)72.369.9142.2+2.455%
Season at home (5)72.272.0144.2+0.240%
Season away (6)72.368.2140.5+4.267%
Last 10 (10)74.571.0145.5+3.560%
Last 5 (5)79.876.0155.8+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)58.576.0134.5-17.50%
vs Similar ◀ (18)76.474.2150.6+2.356%
vs Weaker (10)74.570.9145.4+3.670%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
PaulistanoVasco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#5
W
53-26
53
26
+27
H14/10
NBB
Franca
#2
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H24/10
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H28/10
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A30/10
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H02/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H05/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A08/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A11/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A14/11
NBB
Pato
#14
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A17/11
NBB
78.0Avg total
41.0Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.236.876.0+2.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.737.479.1+4.357%-
Last 30 away (16)37.136.273.2+0.938%-
Last 10 (10)41.037.078.0+4.050%-
Last 5 (5)35.635.070.6+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.343.379.7-7.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.136.275.3+2.846%-
vs Weaker (11)41.033.874.8+7.264%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A15/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A17/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H21/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A01/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A04/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H07/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H09/11
NBB
Pato
#14
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A12/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A15/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H17/11
NBB
66.7Avg total
34.4Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.735.471.2+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.633.470.0+3.253%-
Last 30 away (15)34.937.572.3-2.633%-
Last 10 (10)34.432.366.7+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.633.672.2+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.039.570.5-8.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)36.835.272.0+1.650%-
vs Weaker (10)34.835.069.8-0.240%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.017.4
49.7%
50.9%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.0
36.9%
33.0%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.613.7
73.7%
72.7%13.7
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.714.4
50.2%
50.9%28.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.49.2
28.4%
33.0%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.917.1
74.7%
72.7%17.1
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paulistano
LWLWLWLLLW
Vasco
WLWLWWWLLW
#12
League position
#7
+3.4
Net rating
+4.2
106.4
Offensive rating
100.7
103.0
Defensive rating
96.5
52.0%
Effective FG%
46.2%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
43.8%
19.9%
Turnover %
18.0%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.37
36.9%
3-point %
28.4%
56.1%
Assist %
70.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 100.7Defence103.0 · 96.5Shooting52.0% · 46.2%3-point %36.9% · 28.4%Ball care19.9% · 18.0%Off. rebounds30.9% · 29.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Paulistano   ■ Vasco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Paulistano wins
3
Vasco wins
DateGameScore
28/03/24Vasco v Paulistano73-70
28/01/24Vasco v Paulistano62-76
11/12/23Paulistano v Vasco70-76
28/02/19Paulistano v Vasco109-65
03/11/18Vasco v Paulistano60-76
03/03/18Paulistano v Vasco102-59
23/12/17Vasco v Paulistano71-77
24/03/17Vasco v Paulistano67-82
03/01/17Paulistano v Vasco83-86
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24APato65-66
14/11/24AUnifacisa86-69
11/11/24ACearense49-66
08/11/24ASao Jose75-62
05/11/24HCorinthians Paulista69-75
02/11/24HBotafogo88-70
30/10/24ASao Paulo84-86
28/10/24HBauru79-83
24/10/24HFranca90-100
14/10/24HPinheiros80-62
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24HCorinthians Paulista90-84
15/11/24ABotafogo66-68
12/11/24APato84-76
09/11/24HUniao Corinthians79-81
07/11/24HCaxias do Sul80-71
04/11/24AUnifacisa81-72 OT
01/11/24ACearense70-68
21/10/24HPinheiros62-65
17/10/24AMogi65-66
15/10/24ASao Jose68-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL36%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%40%33%
Points / game75.681.271.0
Allowed / game73.778.070.2
Point differential+1.9+3.2+0.8
Avg total149.4159.2141.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vasco
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW55%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayLWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%40%67%
Points / game72.372.272.3
Allowed / game69.972.068.2
Point differential+2.4+0.2+4.2
Avg total142.2144.2140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %9%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1312192%83.468.3+15.1
2 Flamengo1411379%82.770.1+12.6
3 Bauru129375%78.176.2+1.9
4 Brasilia118373%81.578.8+2.6
5 Sao Paulo117464%78.977.6+1.3
6 Pinheiros127558%73.671.8+1.8
7 Vasco116555%72.369.9+2.4
8 Uniao Corinthians116555%79.381.1-1.8
9 Franca137654%79.578.0+1.5
10 Sao Jose136746%75.776.2-0.5
11 Pato125742%81.280.9+0.2
12 Paulistano114736%75.673.7+1.9
13 Corinthians Paulista124833%80.482.6-2.2
14 Unifacisa124833%74.978.5-3.6
15 Botafogo134931%70.378.6-8.3
16 Mogi134931%70.479.4-9.0
17 Caxias do Sul123925%69.576.8-7.3
18 Cearense1221017%67.177.2-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paulistano1612231970
Vasco1516232276
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