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Paulistano vs Vasco Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 11 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 70-76
20-20 17-18 24-20 9-18
Position#7
Record9-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game69.8
Paulistano
Brazil
vs
Vasco 🏆
Brazil
Position#4
Record9-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game68.0
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr
Other2023-24
Meetings · Paulistano v Vasco
11 Dec 2025
PAUL65
VASC69
04 Dec 2024
PAUL70
VASC76
11 Dec 2023
PAUL70
VASC76
28 Feb 2019
PAUL109
VASC65
03 Mar 2018
PAUL102
VASC59
03 Jan 2017
PAUL83
VASC86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vasco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Cearense
#8
W
80-73
80
73
+7
79avg 64
H04/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
67-55
67
55
+12
58avg 64
H06/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
72-68
72
68
+4
65avg 64
A09/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
79-71
79
71
+8
72avg 64
A17/11
NBB
Pato
#12
W
79-68
79
68
+11
72avg 64
H22/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
71-86
71
86
-15
58avg 64
H25/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
63-51
63
51
+12
52avg 64
A28/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
81-65
81
65
+16
76avg 64
A30/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
72-77
72
77
-5
56avg 64
H05/12
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
85-77
85
77
+8
78avg 64
H07/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
26-16
16-15
18-19
11-16
18-14
23-13
15-12
21-12
22-22
20-18
9-16
20-20
20-13
22-21
17-17
23-17
24-15
25-13
7-23
9-24
21-19
21-17
20-26
18-11
8-8
20-14
17-18
22-15
19-15
16-22
24-13
19-23
17-22
22-18
14-14
16-9
26-21
23-19
20-28
144.0Avg total
74.9Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)72.469.8142.2+2.669%
Season at home (7)75.069.7144.7+5.371%
Season away (6)69.369.8139.2-0.567%
Last 10 (10)74.969.1144.0+5.880%
Last 5 (5)74.471.2145.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.883.8149.5-18.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.773.3150.0+3.358%
vs Weaker (14)82.168.2150.3+13.993%
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
68-63
68
63
+5
72avg 70
A01/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
79-62
79
62
+17
74avg 70
A04/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
65-68 OT
65
68
-3
no box
H10/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
74-71
74
71
+3
73avg 70
H15/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
79-54
79
54
+25
83avg 70
H19/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
95-79
95
79
+16
94avg 70
A25/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
71-83
71
83
-12
59avg 70
A27/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
67-58
67
58
+9
66avg 70
H02/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
64-77
64
77
-13
56avg 70
H04/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
75-70
75
70
+5
75avg 70
A09/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-9
21-19
27-19
5-16
17-14
19-19
24-16
19-13
16-15
15-16
18-13
7-12
22-18
17-16
15-14
20-23
12-14
19-12
28-12
20-16
29-18
18-17
23-28
25-16
15-20
17-21
19-24
20-18
15-16
15-9
13-17
24-16
15-19
11-26
21-15
17-17
24-20
22-9
15-21
14-20
142.2Avg total
73.7Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)72.568.0140.5+4.569%
Season at home (7)68.666.0134.6+2.657%
Season away (6)77.070.3147.3+6.783%
Last 10 (10)73.768.5142.2+5.270%
Last 5 (5)74.473.4147.8+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)72.586.3158.8-13.80%
vs Similar ◀ (4)76.273.0149.2+3.275%
vs Weaker (7)77.165.1142.3+12.0100%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +0.4+0.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +0.4+0.4
PaulistanoVasco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#8
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H04/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H06/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A09/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A17/11
NBB
Pato
#12
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H22/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H25/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
26-19
26
19
+7
A28/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A30/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H05/12
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H07/12
NBB
71.5Avg total
38.0Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.135.473.5+2.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.133.873.9+6.362%-
Last 30 away (14)35.837.373.1-1.536%-
Last 10 (10)38.033.571.5+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)35.033.468.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.845.277.0-13.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.236.374.5+1.833%-
vs Weaker (14)39.931.971.7+8.079%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A01/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A04/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H10/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H15/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H19/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A25/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A27/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H02/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
26-45
26
45
-19
H04/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A09/12
NBB
68.1Avg total
35.4Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.838.675.4-1.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.539.473.9-4.944%-
Last 30 away (14)39.537.677.1+1.950%-
Last 10 (10)35.432.768.1+2.770%-
Last 5 (5)36.235.071.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)35.742.277.9-6.526%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)39.031.870.8+7.275%-
vs Weaker (7)38.732.771.4+6.086%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.719.8
48.6%
51.8%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.3
31.1%
33.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws18.313.0
71.0%
72.6%13.0
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.116.1
48.6%
51.8%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.4
35.7%
33.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws18.413.0
70.7%
72.6%13.0
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paulistano
WLWWLWWWWW
Vasco
WLWLWWWLWW
#7
League position
#4
+9.0
Net rating
+8.1
104.2
Offensive rating
99.2
95.2
Defensive rating
91.1
47.9%
Effective FG%
50.8%
46.3%
Opp. effective FG%
43.5%
18.4%
Turnover %
23.1%
35.9%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.1%
3-point %
35.7%
55.0%
Assist %
78.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 99.2Defence95.2 · 91.1Shooting47.9% · 50.8%3-point %31.1% · 35.7%Ball care18.4% · 23.1%Off. rebounds35.9% · 31.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Paulistano   ■ Vasco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Paulistano wins
1
Vasco wins
DateGameScore
28/02/19Paulistano v Vasco109-65
03/11/18Vasco v Paulistano60-76
03/03/18Paulistano v Vasco102-59
23/12/17Vasco v Paulistano71-77
24/03/17Vasco v Paulistano67-82
03/01/17Paulistano v Vasco83-86
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/23HBotafogo85-77
05/12/23HFlamengo72-77
30/11/23ACaxias do Sul81-65
28/11/23AUniao Corinthians63-51
25/11/23HMinas71-86
22/11/23HPato79-68
17/11/23ACorinthians Paulista79-71
09/11/23APinheiros72-68
06/11/23HUnifacisa67-55
04/11/23HCearense80-73
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23ASao Paulo75-70
04/12/23HFranca64-77
02/12/23HBauru67-58
27/11/23ASao Jose71-83
25/11/23AMogi95-79
19/11/23HBrasilia79-54
15/11/23HCerrado74-71
10/11/23HFlamengo65-68 OT
04/11/23ABotafogo79-62
01/11/23ACaxias do Sul68-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW69%
HomeWWLLW71%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%71%67%
Points / game72.475.069.3
Allowed / game69.869.769.8
Point differential+2.6+5.3-0.5
Avg total142.2144.7139.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%43%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vasco
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW69%
HomeLWWWL57%
AwayWWWLW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%57%83%
Points / game72.568.677.0
Allowed / game68.066.070.3
Point differential+4.5+2.6+6.7
Avg total140.5134.6147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%14%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1210283%83.072.3+10.7
2 Minas1210283%82.974.0+8.9
3 Franca1310377%87.075.5+11.5
4 Vasco139469%72.568.0+4.5
5 Paulistano139469%72.469.8+2.6
6 Sao Jose128467%81.472.7+8.8
7 Unifacisa128467%78.074.0+4.0
8 Cearense128467%77.374.2+3.1
9 Bauru147750%77.475.7+1.6
10 Sao Paulo146843%77.180.3-3.1
11 Pato135838%74.177.4-3.3
12 Uniao Corinthians135838%72.579.8-7.4
13 Caxias do Sul135838%71.779.5-7.8
14 Corinthians Paulista114736%78.079.5-1.5
15 Pinheiros114736%77.179.5-2.4
16 Cerrado134931%72.672.8-0.2
17 Botafogo1541127%76.483.3-6.9
18 Brasilia1331023%71.885.0-13.2
19 Mogi1321115%73.379.8-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paulistano201724970
Vasco2018201876
← all games of the day
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