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Botafogo vs Vasco Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 68-66
21-11 9-19 18-20 20-16
Position#18
Record3-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game76.3
vs
Position#7
Record5-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game68.6
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Botafogo v Vasco
22 Oct 2025
BOTA85
VASC76
15 Nov 2024
BOTA68
VASC66
04 Nov 2023
BOTA62
VASC79
23 Feb 2019
BOTA79
VASC74
16 Feb 2018
BOTA87
VASC94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vasco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
W
81-70
81
70
+11
79avg 67
A12/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
72-70 OT
72
70
+2
60avg 67
A14/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
58-73
58
73
-15
46avg 67
H22/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
67-80
67
80
-13
58avg 67
H24/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
77-52
77
52
+25
74avg 67
A27/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
74-90
74
90
-16
64avg 67
A30/10
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
70-88
70
88
-18
51avg 67
A02/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
71-80
71
80
-9
61avg 67
H06/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
63-69
63
69
-6
58avg 67
H10/11
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
67-91
67
91
-24
58avg 67
A13/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-18
21-17
17-16
11-19
17-12
12-17
18-21
18-15
15-15
15-26
11-25
17-7
13-14
8-21
31-28
15-17
17-10
20-17
22-11
18-14
12-27
26-16
14-29
22-18
23-23
12-19
19-19
16-27
20-23
20-20
16-18
15-19
25-15
15-19
13-17
10-18
16-22
14-24
14-18
23-27
146.3Avg total
70.0Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)70.076.3146.3-6.330%
Season at home (4)64.875.5140.2-10.80%
Season away (6)73.576.8150.3-3.350%
Last 10 (10)70.076.3146.3-6.330%
Last 5 (5)69.083.6152.6-14.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)75.388.7163.9-13.417%
vs Similar (6)74.873.0147.8+1.833%
vs Weaker (1)108.0106.0214.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Vasco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Bauru
#5
L
73-76
73
76
-3
63avg 71
H14/05
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
50-59
50
59
-9
43avg 71
H12/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
68-59
68
59
+9
64avg 71
A15/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
65-66
65
66
-1
59avg 71
A17/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
62-65
62
65
-3
56avg 71
H21/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
70-68
70
68
+2
55avg 71
A01/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
81-72 OT
81
72
+9
75avg 71
A04/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
80-71
80
71
+9
76avg 71
H07/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
79-81
79
81
-2
75avg 71
H09/11
NBB
Pato
#14
W
84-76
84
76
+8
85avg 71
A12/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
11-16
26-24
16-20
14-11
8-14
12-20
16-14
19-13
14-18
13-15
22-13
12-12
16-16
14-20
23-18
10-10
16-17
14-11
22-27
14-18
13-16
26-22
17-12
16-18
21-17
16-15
12-15
19-18
19-13
26-24
16-16
22-18
17-26
23-23
17-14
22-13
20-12
25-29
17-22
140.5Avg total
71.2Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)71.068.6139.6+2.456%
Season at home (4)67.869.0136.8-1.225%
Season away (5)73.668.2141.8+5.480%
Last 10 (10)71.269.3140.5+1.950%
Last 5 (5)78.873.6152.4+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)58.576.0134.5-17.50%
vs Similar (17)75.673.6149.2+2.153%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)77.772.7150.4+5.080%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +0.7+0.7
BotafogoVasco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A12/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A14/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H22/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
21-35
21
35
-14
H24/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A27/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A30/10
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A02/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H06/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H10/11
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A13/11
NBB
72.8Avg total
35.3Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.643.481.0-5.933%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.443.281.6-4.836%-
Last 30 away (16)36.843.680.4-6.831%-
Last 10 (10)35.337.572.8-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)36.641.678.2-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)37.045.382.3-8.326%-
vs Similar (6)37.835.773.5+2.250%-
vs Weaker (1)48.047.095.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#5
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H14/05
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
22-25
22
25
-3
H12/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A15/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A17/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H21/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A01/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A04/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H07/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H09/11
NBB
Pato
#14
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A12/11
NBB
63.5Avg total
32.3Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.836.372.1-0.440%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.434.871.1+1.644%-
Last 30 away (14)35.238.073.2-2.836%-
Last 10 (10)32.331.263.5+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)36.633.870.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.039.570.5-8.50%-
vs Similar (17)36.435.171.4+1.347%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)36.636.973.5-0.340%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 68.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.817.7
44.5%
50.9%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.9
31.1%
33.0%23.7
🏀 Free throws15.39.7
63.4%
72.7%9.7
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 70.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.513.5
47.4%
50.9%27.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.98.9
27.9%
33.0%26.7
🏀 Free throws23.116.7
72.3%
72.7%16.7
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
LLLLLWLLWW
Vasco
WLWWWLLWLL
#18
League position
#7
-9.4
Net rating
+2.6
93.7
Offensive rating
97.4
103.1
Defensive rating
94.8
45.3%
Effective FG%
44.5%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
43.7%
18.2%
Turnover %
18.5%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.38
31.1%
3-point %
27.9%
64.1%
Assist %
75.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.7 · 97.4Defence103.1 · 94.8Shooting45.3% · 44.5%3-point %31.1% · 27.9%Ball care18.2% · 18.5%Off. rebounds29.2% · 29.1%Free throws0.23 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Botafogo   ■ Vasco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Botafogo wins
4
Vasco wins
DateGameScore
09/02/24Vasco v Botafogo98-86
04/11/23Botafogo v Vasco62-79
23/02/19Botafogo v Vasco79-74
01/12/18Vasco v Botafogo79-97
16/02/18Botafogo v Vasco87-94
19/12/17Vasco v Botafogo72-68
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/24AFlamengo67-91
10/11/24HCaxias do Sul63-69
06/11/24HUniao Corinthians71-80
02/11/24APaulistano70-88
30/10/24AUnifacisa74-90
27/10/24ACearense77-52
24/10/24HPinheiros67-80
22/10/24HCorinthians Paulista58-73
14/10/24AMogi72-70 OT
12/10/24ASao Jose81-70
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/24APato84-76
09/11/24HUniao Corinthians79-81
07/11/24HCaxias do Sul80-71
04/11/24AUnifacisa81-72 OT
01/11/24ACearense70-68
21/10/24HPinheiros62-65
17/10/24AMogi65-66
15/10/24ASao Jose68-59
12/10/24HFlamengo50-59
14/05/24HBauru73-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL30%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %30%0%50%
Points / game70.064.873.5
Allowed / game76.375.576.8
Point differential-6.3-10.8-3.3
Avg total146.3140.2150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %10%0%17%
Vasco
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW56%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%25%80%
Points / game71.067.873.6
Allowed / game68.669.068.2
Point differential+2.4-1.2+5.4
Avg total139.6136.8141.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %11%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas109190%83.069.2+13.8
2 Flamengo119282%80.966.5+14.4
3 Brasilia107370%81.879.1+2.7
4 Sao Paulo107370%78.476.6+1.8
5 Bauru96367%79.679.6+0.0
6 Uniao Corinthians85362%78.679.2-0.6
7 Franca106460%80.378.4+1.9
8 Vasco95456%71.068.6+2.4
9 Pinheiros105550%72.174.0-1.9
10 Corinthians Paulista94544%81.681.0+0.6
11 Paulistano104640%76.774.5+2.2
12 Caxias do Sul83538%71.676.4-4.8
13 Pato93633%78.679.8-1.2
14 Sao Jose103730%71.576.4-4.9
15 Botafogo103730%70.076.3-6.3
16 Mogi103730%70.680.3-9.7
17 Unifacisa92722%75.480.0-4.6
18 Cearense102820%66.374.9-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Botafogo219182068
Vasco1119201666
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