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Vasco vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 01 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 78-66
14-19 24-12 20-16 20-19
Position#7
Record16-13
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game76.0
Vasco 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#12
Record13-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game77.1
BrazilNBB· Sao Januario Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Vasco v Paulistano
01 Apr 2026
VASC69
PAUL96
01 Apr 2025
VASC78
PAUL66
28 Mar 2024
VASC73
PAUL70
28 Jan 2024
VASC62
PAUL76
02 Nov 2018
VASC60
PAUL76
23 Dec 2017
VASC71
PAUL77
24 Mar 2017
VASC67
PAUL82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vasco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paulistano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
W
76-74
76
74
+2
82avg 71
H14/01
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
75-74
75
74
+1
68avg 71
H18/01
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
73-92
73
92
-19
63avg 71
A26/01
Super 8
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
82-88
82
88
-6
76avg 71
A04/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
71-84
71
84
-13
65avg 71
A06/02
NBB
Pato
#14
W
98-86
98
86
+12
104avg 71
H14/02
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
104-82
104
82
+22
114avg 71
H28/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
88-78
88
78
+10
90avg 71
H08/03
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
80-66
80
66
+14
77avg 71
H13/03
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 71
A27/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
16-18
20-23
16-12
21-18
18-14
17-23
19-19
24-29
17-14
20-20
12-29
18-26
16-11
27-24
21-27
26-23
10-13
20-26
15-22
18-19
29-24
29-21
22-22
20-20
27-25
24-21
33-16
23-15
18-16
31-17
16-30
18-20
23-13
19-19
20-14
19-16
22-16
15-29
22-23
163.3Avg total
82.5Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)77.276.0153.1+1.255%
Season at home (16)78.874.9153.7+3.962%
Season away (13)75.277.3152.5-2.246%
Last 10 (10)82.580.8163.3+1.760%
Last 5 (5)89.679.2168.8+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.573.8143.2-4.225%
vs Similar ◀ (17)78.777.9156.6+0.859%
vs Weaker (8)77.872.9150.6+4.962%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
W
86-84 OT
86
84
+2
79avg 71
A18/01
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
85-73
85
73
+12
85avg 71
A20/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
69-61
69
61
+8
42avg 71
A05/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
65-74
65
74
-9
55avg 71
A11/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
93-78
93
78
+15
95avg 71
H13/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
75-77
75
77
-2
63avg 71
H27/02
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
84-87
84
87
-3
74avg 71
H06/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
95-99 OT
95
99
-4
82avg 71
A15/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
78-83
78
83
-5
72avg 71
A17/03
NBB
Pato
#14
L
77-94
77
94
-17
69avg 71
H26/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
18-21
22-20
17-14
21-18
29-12
22-26
13-17
16-13
15-19
20-15
18-14
22-17
12-13
12-19
19-25
28-13
25-27
28-20
12-18
19-13
16-26
9-17
31-21
12-25
20-23
26-10
26-29
17-18
20-22
20-18
20-19
16-20
27-20
18-23
17-20
14-26
23-20
20-23
20-25
161.7Avg total
80.7Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)78.877.1155.8+1.745%
Season at home (15)79.777.8157.5+1.947%
Season away (14)77.776.3154.0+1.443%
Last 10 (10)80.781.0161.7-0.340%
Last 5 (5)81.888.0169.8-6.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)81.287.8169.0-6.620%
vs Similar ◀ (18)78.374.8153.2+3.550%
vs Weaker (7)77.375.6152.9+1.743%
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -0.9-0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -0.9-0.9
VascoPaulistano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H14/01
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H18/01
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A26/01
Super 8
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A04/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A06/02
NBB
Pato
#14
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H14/02
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H28/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H08/03
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H13/03
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A27/03
NBB
77.8Avg total
40.7Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.035.671.6+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.935.472.2+1.562%-
Last 30 away (14)35.135.970.9-0.836%-
Last 10 (10)40.737.177.8+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)43.436.880.2+6.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.033.065.0-1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)36.936.673.6+0.353%-
vs Weaker (8)35.533.869.2+1.850%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A18/01
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
50-30
50
30
+20
A20/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A05/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A11/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H13/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H27/02
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H06/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A15/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A17/03
NBB
Pato
#14
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H26/03
NBB
77.8Avg total
39.0Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.638.177.7+1.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.038.977.9+0.138%-
Last 30 away (14)40.237.277.4+3.050%-
Last 10 (10)39.038.877.8+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)36.842.679.4-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.444.086.4-1.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)39.936.976.8+3.144%-
vs Weaker (7)36.637.073.6-0.443%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.018.3
59.0%
50.9%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.1
36.1%
33.0%27.3
🏀 Free throws24.318.0
74.1%
72.7%18.0
They take 56.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.220.2
49.0%
50.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.1
33.2%
33.0%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.715.0
76.1%
72.7%15.0
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vasco
LWWWWLLLWW
Paulistano
LLLLLWLWWW
#7
League position
#12
+2.6
Net rating
-0.9
110.0
Offensive rating
104.5
107.5
Defensive rating
105.4
56.9%
Effective FG%
49.3%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
20.3%
Turnover %
20.2%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
34.3%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.1%
3-point %
33.2%
73.4%
Assist %
61.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 104.5Defence107.5 · 105.4Shooting56.9% · 49.3%3-point %36.1% · 33.2%Ball care20.3% · 20.2%Off. rebounds24.4% · 34.3%Free throws0.43 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Vasco   ■ Paulistano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Vasco wins
6
Paulistano wins
DateGameScore
04/12/24Paulistano v Vasco70-76
28/03/24Vasco v Paulistano73-70
28/01/24Vasco v Paulistano62-76
11/12/23Paulistano v Vasco70-76
28/02/19Paulistano v Vasco109-65
03/11/18Vasco v Paulistano60-76
03/03/18Paulistano v Vasco102-59
23/12/17Vasco v Paulistano71-77
24/03/17Vasco v Paulistano67-82
03/01/17Paulistano v Vasco83-86
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/25AFlamengo78-84
13/03/25HBotafogo80-66
08/03/25HSao Paulo88-78
28/02/25HMogi104-82
14/02/25HPato98-86
06/02/25AUniao Corinthians71-84
04/02/25ACaxias do Sul82-88
26/01/25AFlamengo73-92
18/01/25HCearense75-74
14/01/25HUnifacisa76-74
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/25HPato77-94
17/03/25AUniao Corinthians78-83
15/03/25ACaxias do Sul95-99 OT
06/03/25HCearense84-87
27/02/25HUnifacisa75-77
13/02/25HSao Jose93-78
11/02/25ACorinthians Paulista65-74
05/02/25APinheiros69-61
20/01/25ABauru85-73
18/01/25AFranca86-84 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vasco
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL55%
HomeWWWWW62%
AwayLLLLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %55%62%46%
Points / game77.278.875.2
Allowed / game76.074.977.3
Point differential+1.2+3.9-2.2
Avg total153.1153.7152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%8%
Paulistano
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL45%
HomeWWLLL47%
AwayWWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %45%47%43%
Points / game78.879.777.7
Allowed / game77.177.876.3
Point differential+1.7+1.9+1.4
Avg total155.8157.5154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%40%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won18% (11)25% (4)14% (7)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2925486%82.971.5+11.4
2 Flamengo2922776%84.075.1+8.9
3 Franca2920969%84.876.9+7.9
4 Brasilia30191163%81.879.9+2.0
5 Uniao Corinthians28161257%79.379.3+0.0
6 Bauru30171357%78.278.6-0.4
7 Vasco29161355%77.276.0+1.2
8 Pinheiros30161453%76.675.5+1.1
9 Unifacisa30151550%75.575.2+0.3
10 Sao Jose30151550%78.378.4-0.0
11 Corinthians Paulista30141647%80.479.2+1.2
12 Paulistano29131645%78.877.1+1.7
13 Pato30121840%82.283.9-1.6
14 Sao Paulo30111937%75.579.1-3.6
15 Caxias do Sul30102033%73.780.7-7.1
16 Mogi3092130%73.881.4-7.7
17 Botafogo2982128%73.481.3-7.9
18 Cearense3082227%71.978.5-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vasco1424202078
Paulistano1912161966
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