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Pavlodar vs Irbis Almaty Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 76-94
15-23 17-37 29-17 15-17
Position#8
Record3-11
FormLWWWL
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game81.9
vs
Position#1
Record7-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game63.4
KazakhstanNational League· Scysor No
Other2024-25
Meetings · Pavlodar v Irbis Almaty
22 Dec 2024
PAVL69
IRBI79
21 Dec 2024
PAVL76
IRBI94
27 Mar 2024
PAVL54
IRBI93
11 Mar 2024
PAVL74
IRBI106
10 Mar 2024
PAVL74
IRBI108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pavlodar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Irbis Almaty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPavlodar
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#5
L
65-80
65
80
-15
58avg 61
A01/11
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
66-80
66
80
-14
61avg 61
A02/11
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
57-66
57
66
-9
57avg 61
H05/11
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
56-98
56
98
-42
50avg 61
H06/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
66-89
66
89
-23
53avg 61
H01/12
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
62-71
62
71
-9
49avg 61
H02/12
National League
Aktobe
#7
W
93-72
93
72
+21
98avg 61
A08/12
National League
Aktobe
#7
W
67-63
67
63
+4
66avg 61
A09/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
86-69
86
69
+17
79avg 61
H16/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
62-70
62
70
-8
50avg 61
H17/12
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-30
18-14
19-17
10-19
16-18
16-20
20-26
14-16
11-13
14-18
13-20
19-15
9-23
15-25
15-31
17-19
15-20
19-22
18-30
14-17
14-23
10-13
18-10
20-25
15-14
28-13
25-19
25-26
8-19
16-23
24-14
19-7
14-16
22-13
25-21
25-19
7-22
21-15
17-15
17-18
143.8Avg total
68.0Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)68.881.9150.7-13.121%
Season at home (10)67.285.2152.4-18.010%
Season away (4)72.873.8146.5-1.050%
Last 10 (10)68.075.8143.8-7.830%
Last 5 (5)74.069.0143.0+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)69.989.2159.2-19.311%
vs Similar (2)78.586.0164.5-7.50%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Irbis Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Irbis AlmatyKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlmaty
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#2
W
84-71
84
71
+13
87avg 80
A19/05
National League
Aktobe
#7
L
78-81
78
81
-3
no box
A07/10
National League
Aktobe
#7
W
75-62
75
62
+13
74avg 80
A08/10
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
81-75
81
75
+6
79avg 80
A11/10
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
67-74
67
74
-7
60avg 80
A12/10
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
65-53
65
53
+12
55avg 80
H30/10
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
74-69
74
69
+5
69avg 80
H31/10
National League
Almaty
#4
W
83-60
83
60
+23
81avg 80
A06/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
87-39
87
39
+48
88avg 80
H10/12
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
88-58
88
58
+30
79avg 80
H11/12
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
21-21
19-20
18-13
19-32
12-19
27-18
20-12
18-16
20-20
17-11
20-15
31-22
14-22
16-21
20-10
14-30
23-9
12-18
18-17
18-15
16-8
18-11
13-19
10-16
14-13
17-21
33-19
23-18
21-13
21-17
18-12
30-11
16-8
16-13
25-7
23-15
18-14
26-16
21-13
142.4Avg total
78.2Scored
64.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.663.4141.0+14.178%
Season at home (4)78.554.8133.2+23.8100%
Season away (5)76.870.4147.2+6.460%
Last 10 (10)78.264.2142.4+14.080%
Last 5 (5)79.455.8135.2+23.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)84.770.2154.9+14.583%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -7.1-7.1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +6.9+6.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -7.1-7.1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +6.9+6.9
PavlodarIrbis Almaty
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A01/11
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A02/11
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H05/11
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
24-48
24
48
-24
H06/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H01/12
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H02/12
National League
Aktobe
#7
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A08/12
National League
Aktobe
#7
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A09/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H16/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H17/12
National League
68.0Avg total
30.6Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.945.579.4-11.510%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.547.280.7-13.66%-
Last 30 away (13)34.543.277.7-8.815%-
Last 10 (10)30.637.468.0-6.820%-
Last 5 (5)31.034.265.2-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)33.546.179.6-12.67%-
vs Similar (2)40.037.077.0+3.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Irbis Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Irbis AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#2
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A19/05
National League
Aktobe
#7
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A07/10
National League
Aktobe
#7
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A08/10
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A11/10
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A12/10
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H30/10
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
24-29
24
29
-5
H31/10
National League
Almaty
#4
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A06/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
46-19
46
19
+27
H10/12
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H11/12
National League
72.6Avg total
38.7Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.335.879.1+7.577%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.334.176.4+8.275%-
Last 30 away (14)44.437.882.2+6.679%-
Last 10 (10)38.733.972.6+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)37.826.264.0+11.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)43.335.879.1+7.577%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pavlodar wins
7
Irbis Almaty wins
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/24HKaspiy Aktau62-70
16/12/24HKaspiy Aktau86-69
09/12/24AAktobe67-63
08/12/24AAktobe93-72
02/12/24HAstana 262-71
01/12/24HAstana 266-89
06/11/24HAtyrau56-98
05/11/24HAtyrau57-66
02/11/24AAtyrau66-80
01/11/24AAtyrau65-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/24HAstana 288-58
10/12/24HAstana 287-39
06/11/24AAlmaty83-60
31/10/24HKaspiy Aktau74-69
30/10/24HKaspiy Aktau65-53
12/10/24AAtyrau67-74
11/10/24AAtyrau81-75
08/10/24AAktobe75-62
07/10/24AAktobe78-81
19/05/24AAtyrau84-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pavlodar
National League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL21%
HomeLLLWL10%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %21%10%50%
Points / game68.867.272.8
Allowed / game81.985.273.8
Point differential-13.1-18.0-1.0
Avg total150.7152.4146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%10%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Irbis Almaty
National League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %78%100%60%
Points / game77.678.576.8
Allowed / game63.454.870.4
Point differential+14.1+23.8+6.4
Avg total141.0133.2147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%75%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tobol Kostanay108280%88.177.7+10.4
2 Irbis Almaty97278%77.663.4+14.1
3 Atyrau1410471%82.774.8+7.9
4 Almaty117464%80.576.6+3.8
5 Kaspiy Aktau147750%73.673.5+0.1
6 Astana 21441029%71.680.5-8.9
7 Aktobe123925%78.184.5-6.4
8 Pavlodar1431121%68.881.9-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pavlodar1517291576
Irbis Almaty2337171794
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