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Penarol vs Defensor Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 88-80
20-25 23-20 20-18 25-17
Position#1
Record19-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game73.8
Penarol 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#7
Record12-11
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game85.3
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Palacio Penarol
Other2025-26
Meetings · Penarol v Defensor
05 Nov 2026
PENA v DEFE
upcoming
26 May 2026
PENA93
DEFE81
19 May 2026
PENA101
DEFE51
12 Mar 2026
PENA88
DEFE80
20 Nov 2025
PENA85
DEFE72
24 Apr 2025
PENA78
DEFE84
16 Apr 2025
PENA76
DEFE95
07 Apr 2025
PENA76
DEFE71
13 Mar 2025
PENA80
DEFE74
19 Dec 2024
PENA70
DEFE64
27 May 2024
PENA103
DEFE66
21 May 2024
PENA76
DEFE80
13 May 2024
PENA89
DEFE74
21 Mar 2024
PENA69
DEFE72
20 Jan 2024
PENA81
DEFE64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Defensor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Union Atletica
#6
W
88-80
88
80
+8
88avg 83
H18/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
77-58
77
58
+19
83avg 83
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
79-69
79
69
+10
71avg 83
H14/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
107-74
107
74
+33
114avg 83
H20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
80-91
80
91
-11
68avg 83
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
95-76
95
76
+19
98avg 83
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
84-81
84
81
+3
82avg 83
A04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
98-76
98
76
+22
94avg 83
H09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
100-83
100
83
+17
100avg 83
A19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
80-86
80
86
-6
68avg 83
A10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
27-16
21-25
20-14
19-16
20-10
19-11
19-21
17-18
23-12
19-19
20-20
27-15
25-18
24-24
31-17
20-25
21-21
19-20
20-25
26-15
28-15
17-19
24-27
24-24
24-18
22-13
14-26
31-19
18-22
19-15
30-20
23-28
23-21
28-19
26-15
20-22
19-30
25-14
16-20
166.2Avg total
88.8Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)87.573.8161.3+13.783%
Season at home (11)92.175.0167.1+17.1100%
Season away (12)83.372.7156.0+10.767%
Last 10 (10)88.877.4166.2+11.480%
Last 5 (5)91.480.4171.8+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)82.073.0155.0+9.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)86.576.0162.5+10.576%
This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DefensorUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDefensor
Date
Competition
Goes
#10
L
92-99
92
99
-7
87avg 75
A12/01
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
77-87
77
87
-10
no box
H16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
76-85
76
85
-9
68avg 75
A20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
76-90
76
90
-14
63avg 75
A25/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
90-84
90
84
+6
75avg 75
A29/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
81-84
81
84
-3
65avg 75
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
91-77
91
77
+14
74avg 75
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
82-73
82
73
+9
74avg 75
H12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
98-92
98
92
+6
95avg 75
H19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
87-90
87
90
-3
75avg 75
H09/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
27-27
15-24
26-25
22-27
20-25
20-12
15-23
25-27
13-22
28-18
10-18
27-21
17-18
18-27
14-24
27-19
24-25
18-18
21-22
24-24
18-24
13-22
26-14
28-23
23-20
23-13
17-21
38-24
15-14
16-18
13-17
35-29
23-27
22-17
18-19
16-33
22-17
27-25
22-15
171.1Avg total
85.0Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)86.585.3171.7+1.252%
Season at home (12)91.385.6176.9+5.867%
Season away (11)81.284.9166.1-3.736%
Last 10 (10)85.086.1171.1-1.140%
Last 5 (5)87.883.2171.0+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)81.284.6165.8-3.546%
vs Similar (11)85.885.5171.3+0.445%
vs Weaker (6)95.886.2182.0+9.783%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.6-1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.6-1.6
PenarolDefensor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Union Atletica
#6
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H18/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H14/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A10/03
Liga Uruguaya
84.5Avg total
45.5Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.338.582.8+5.867%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.237.681.8+6.675%-
Last 30 away (14)44.439.684.1+4.857%-
Last 10 (10)45.539.084.5+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)47.242.890.0+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)31.029.060.0+2.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)44.838.983.6+5.966%-
This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DefensorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Goes
#10
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A12/01
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A25/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A29/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H09/03
Liga Uruguaya
93.7Avg total
46.8Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.745.490.0-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.145.993.0+1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)42.344.887.1-2.547%-
Last 10 (10)46.846.993.7-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)48.447.095.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)42.544.186.5-1.638%-
vs Similar (11)43.646.590.1-2.836%-
vs Weaker (6)51.346.297.5+5.2100%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.623.1
55.5%
53.3%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.8
37.7%
33.3%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.513.2
64.4%
70.9%13.2
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Defensortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Defensor: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.122.2
54.0%
53.3%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.5
31.5%
33.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.913.6
68.3%
70.9%13.6
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Penarol
LWWWWLWWWW
Defensor
LWWWLWLLLL
#1
League position
#7
+13.0
Net rating
-0.9
99.8
Offensive rating
95.4
86.8
Defensive rating
96.3
55.9%
Effective FG%
51.3%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
16.6%
Turnover %
14.8%
38.2%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.7%
3-point %
31.5%
64.7%
Assist %
52.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.8 · 95.4Defence86.8 · 96.3Shooting55.9% · 51.3%3-point %37.7% · 31.5%Ball care16.6% · 14.8%Off. rebounds38.2% · 27.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Penarol   ■ Defensor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Penarol wins
3
Defensor wins
DateGameScore
04/02/26Defensor v Penarol81-84
21/11/25Penarol v Defensor85-72
25/04/25Penarol v Defensor78-84
21/04/25Defensor v Penarol96-93 OT
17/04/25Penarol v Defensor76-95
13/04/25Defensor v Penarol73-78
08/04/25Penarol v Defensor76-71
13/03/25Penarol v Defensor80-74
01/03/25Defensor v Penarol84-85
20/12/24Penarol v Defensor70-64
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/26AAguada80-86
19/02/26AUrunday100-83
09/02/26HBigua98-76
04/02/26ADefensor84-81
30/01/26HGoes95-76
27/01/26AAguada80-91
20/01/26HWelcome107-74
14/01/26HHebraica y Macabi79-69
10/01/26ACordon77-58
18/12/25HUnion Atletica88-80
Defensorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/26HHebraica y Macabi87-90
19/02/26HAguada98-92
12/02/26HNacional82-73
09/02/26AWelcome91-77
04/02/26HPenarol81-84
29/01/26ACordon90-84
25/01/26AAguada76-90
20/01/26AMalvin76-85
16/01/26HUnion Atletica77-87
12/01/26AGoes92-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game87.592.183.3
Allowed / game73.875.072.7
Point differential+13.7+17.1+10.7
Avg total161.3167.1156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+74%91%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Defensor
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL52%
HomeLLWWL67%
AwayLLLWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %52%67%36%
Points / game86.591.381.2
Allowed / game85.385.684.9
Point differential+1.2+5.8-3.7
Avg total171.7176.9166.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%42%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol2319483%87.573.8+13.7
2 Aguada2316770%91.786.3+5.4
3 Malvin2315865%82.180.7+1.5
4 Nacional2214864%92.383.1+9.2
5 Hebraica y Macabi2415962%84.482.3+2.1
6 Bigua24131154%88.187.8+0.3
7 Defensor23121152%86.585.3+1.2
8 Union Atletica24121250%83.282.9+0.4
9 Urunday2391439%88.586.2+2.3
10 Goes2371630%82.289.0-6.8
11 Cordon2442017%80.994.4-13.5
12 Welcome2442017%80.995.2-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol2023202588
Defensor2520181780
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