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Penarol vs Urunday Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 85-58
15-21 28-14 22-10 20-13
Position#1
Record8-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game72.9
Penarol 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#9
Record5-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game93.4
Allowed / game86.7
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Palacio Penarol
Other2025-26
Meetings · Penarol v Urunday
11 May 2026
PENA87
URUN64
05 May 2026
PENA89
URUN67
04 Dec 2025
PENA85
URUN58
02 Dec 2024
PENA94
URUN67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Urunday winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Nacional
#2
W
87-62
87
62
+25
82avg 81
A14/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
89-79
89
79
+10
81avg 81
H17/10
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
90-59
90
59
+31
95avg 81
A20/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
102-83
102
83
+19
101avg 81
H23/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
38avg 81
A29/10
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
102-80
102
80
+22
108avg 81
A03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
103-89
103
89
+14
100avg 81
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
81-88
81
88
-7
73avg 81
A12/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
86-69
86
69
+17
84avg 81
A18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
85-72
85
72
+13
83avg 81
H21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
26-17
20-15
24-17
22-25
21-20
26-22
20-12
22-20
26-16
18-15
24-8
30-9
24-24
29-24
19-26
26-21
18-27
–
–
37-23
19-18
28-15
18-24
20-21
29-24
25-26
29-18
20-19
26-16
18-21
17-32
26-15
14-25
27-17
19-12
22-27
21-20
20-18
22-7
159.8Avg total
86.9Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.972.9159.8+14.080%
Season at home (4)94.880.8175.5+14.0100%
Season away (6)81.767.7149.3+14.067%
Last 10 (10)86.972.9159.8+14.080%
Last 5 (5)91.479.6171.0+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.589.5168.0-11.00%
vs Similar (4)77.076.2153.2+0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)86.076.7162.6+9.379%
This opponent (Urunday) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UrundayUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUrunday
Date
Competition
Welcome
#12
W
113-73
113
73
+40
107avg 78
H09/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
105-118
105
118
-13
96avg 78
A13/10
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
97-74
97
74
+23
96avg 78
H18/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
92-97
92
97
-5
86avg 78
A20/10
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
88-79
88
79
+9
86avg 78
H28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
75-92
75
92
-17
63avg 78
H03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
70-104
70
104
-34
56avg 78
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
70-76
70
76
-6
60avg 78
H11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
101-77
101
77
+24
96avg 78
A15/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
123-77
123
77
+46
129avg 78
H20/11
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
29-27
31-13
26-11
22-24
22-35
27-27
34-32
25-19
19-17
31-16
22-22
17-27
33-23
21-20
21-27
21-17
26-21
20-15
21-26
23-15
20-29
11-21
21-27
21-25
23-27
13-26
13-26
22-15
16-13
15-23
17-25
28-19
24-14
27-14
22-30
28-9
26-26
35-31
34-11
180.1Avg total
93.4Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)93.486.7180.1+6.750%
Season at home (6)94.378.5172.8+15.867%
Season away (4)92.099.0191.0-7.025%
Last 10 (10)93.486.7180.1+6.750%
Last 5 (5)87.885.2173.0+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)82.989.6172.5-6.742%
vs Similar (11)82.087.5169.5-5.527%
vs Weaker (7)85.769.4155.1+16.371%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
PenarolUrunday
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nacional
#2
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A14/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H17/10
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A20/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H23/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A29/10
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A12/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H21/11
Liga Uruguaya
86.6Avg total
46.6Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.339.382.6+4.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.539.681.1+1.950%-
Last 30 away (14)45.338.984.2+6.471%-
Last 10 (10)46.640.086.6+6.660%-
Last 5 (5)46.841.688.4+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.545.086.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (4)34.037.071.0-3.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)45.039.284.2+5.867%-
This opponent (Urunday) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UrundayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Welcome
#12
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H09/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
44-59
44
59
-15
A13/10
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H18/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A20/10
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A15/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H20/11
Liga Uruguaya
89.6Avg total
47.2Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.744.687.3-1.938%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.242.384.5-0.144%-
Last 30 away (13)43.347.590.8-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)47.242.489.6+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)46.238.484.6+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)41.248.089.2-6.817%-
vs Similar (11)41.644.085.6-2.436%-
vs Weaker (6)47.539.086.5+8.583%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.720.6
61.1%
53.3%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.6
37.4%
33.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.512.6
68.1%
70.9%12.6
They take 56.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Urundaytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urunday: 92.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.022.5
54.9%
53.3%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.410.9
34.7%
33.3%32.7
🏀 Free throws24.314.9
61.3%
70.9%14.9
They take 72.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Penarol
WWLWWLWWWW
Urunday
WWLLLWLWLW
#1
League position
#9
+22.3
Net rating
+8.8
118.8
Offensive rating
117.7
96.5
Defensive rating
108.9
59.1%
Effective FG%
53.7%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
16.5%
Turnover %
15.4%
35.4%
Off. rebound %
39.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.4%
3-point %
34.7%
63.7%
Assist %
67.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence118.8 · 117.7Defence96.5 · 108.9Shooting59.1% · 53.7%3-point %37.4% · 34.7%Ball care16.5% · 15.4%Off. rebounds35.4% · 39.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Penarol   ■ Urunday
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Penarol wins
0
Urunday wins
DateGameScore
03/02/25Urunday v Penarol80-83
02/12/24Penarol v Urunday94-67
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/25HDefensor85-72
18/11/25ABigua86-69
12/11/25AGoes81-88
08/11/25HAguada103-89
03/11/25AWelcome102-80
29/10/25AHebraica y Macabi44-48
23/10/25HCordon102-83
20/10/25AUnion Atletica90-59
17/10/25HMalvin89-79
14/10/25ANacional87-62
Urundaylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/25HCordon123-77
15/11/25AUnion Atletica101-77
11/11/25HMalvin70-76
07/11/25ANacional70-104
03/11/25HHebraica y Macabi75-92
28/10/25HBigua88-79
20/10/25ADefensor92-97
18/10/25HGoes97-74
13/10/25AAguada105-118
09/10/25HWelcome113-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game86.994.881.7
Allowed / game72.980.867.7
Point differential+14.0+14.0+14.0
Avg total159.8175.5149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Urunday
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%67%25%
Points / game93.494.392.0
Allowed / game86.778.599.0
Point differential+6.7+15.8-7.0
Avg total180.1172.8191.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional119282%92.582.3+10.3
2 Penarol108280%86.972.9+14.0
3 Hebraica y Macabi107370%77.774.9+2.8
4 Malvin107370%81.780.6+1.1
5 Aguada106460%95.288.9+6.3
6 Defensor95456%85.385.9-0.6
7 Urunday105550%93.486.7+6.7
8 Bigua105550%84.986.3-1.4
9 Union Atletica103730%79.884.4-4.6
10 Goes103730%82.387.7-5.4
11 Cordon112918%84.196.1-12.0
12 Welcome9090%81.0100.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol1528222085
Urunday2114101358
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