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Bigua vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 18 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 69-86
15-26 25-14 17-27 12-19
Position#5
Record5-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game86.3
vs
Penarol 🏆
Uruguay
Position#1
Record6-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game73.5
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Arena Bigua
Other2025-26
Meetings · Bigua v Penarol
17 Nov 2025
BIGU69
PENA86
14 Feb 2025
BIGU72
PENA83
04 Jan 2024
BIGU81
PENA87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bigua winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BiguaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBigua
Date
Competition
Aguada
#2
L
82-99
82
99
-17
62avg 75
A11/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
87-90
87
90
-3
83avg 75
H10/10
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
89-82
89
82
+7
81avg 75
A14/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
91-90
91
90
+1
85avg 75
H17/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
84-74
84
74
+10
74avg 75
H22/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
79-88
79
88
-9
62avg 75
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
93-110
93
110
-17
84avg 75
H03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
89-90
89
90
-1
no box
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
84-78
84
78
+6
74avg 75
H11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
84-75
84
75
+9
76avg 75
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
16-22
21-30
21-24
23-17
18-29
25-22
21-22
16-18
26-22
24-20
23-22
27-26
30-16
16-25
18-23
17-17
20-26
24-15
23-16
17-21
21-26
15-20
26-21
23-34
24-27
24-26
22-23
24-19
19-26
23-26
23-19
25-15
17-17
17-26
25-20
26-14
16-28
31-25
11-8
173.8Avg total
86.2Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)86.786.3173.0+0.356%
Season at home (5)87.888.4176.2-0.660%
Season away (4)85.283.8169.0+1.550%
Last 10 (10)86.287.6173.8-1.450%
Last 5 (5)85.888.2174.0-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)83.594.2177.8-10.80%
vs Similar (8)83.083.2166.2-0.238%
vs Weaker (14)90.382.1172.4+8.271%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Defensor
#5
L
93-96 OT
93
96
-3
87avg 81
A21/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
70avg 81
H25/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
87-62
87
62
+25
82avg 81
A14/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
89-79
89
79
+10
81avg 81
H17/10
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
90-59
90
59
+31
95avg 81
A20/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
102-83
102
83
+19
101avg 81
H23/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
38avg 81
A29/10
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
102-80
102
80
+22
108avg 81
A03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
103-89
103
89
+14
100avg 81
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
81-88
81
88
-7
73avg 81
A12/11
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
21-23
17-14
15-18
17-27
23-17
21-19
17-21
17-13
26-17
20-15
24-17
22-25
21-20
26-22
20-12
22-20
26-16
18-15
24-8
30-9
24-24
29-24
19-26
26-21
18-27
–
–
37-23
19-18
28-15
18-24
20-21
29-24
25-26
29-18
20-19
26-16
18-21
17-32
163.7Avg total
86.9Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.273.5160.8+13.875%
Season at home (3)98.083.7181.7+14.3100%
Season away (5)80.867.4148.2+13.460%
Last 10 (10)86.976.8163.7+10.160%
Last 5 (5)86.477.6164.0+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.589.5168.0-11.00%
vs Similar (4)77.076.2153.2+0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)87.276.6163.8+10.779%
This opponent (Bigua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
BiguaPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BiguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A11/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H10/10
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A14/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H17/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H22/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
47-61
47
61
-14
H03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
87.2Avg total
42.9Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.743.987.6-0.233%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.445.190.4+0.331%-
Last 30 away (14)41.942.684.4-0.736%-
Last 10 (10)42.944.387.2-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)42.445.487.8-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)43.648.892.4-5.112%-
vs Similar (8)41.542.584.0-1.025%-
vs Weaker (14)45.141.987.0+3.150%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Defensor
#5
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A21/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H25/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A14/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H17/10
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A20/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H23/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A29/10
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A12/11
Liga Uruguaya
86.6Avg total
46.6Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.138.582.5+5.667%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.439.180.5+2.353%-
Last 30 away (15)46.737.884.5+8.980%-
Last 10 (10)46.640.086.6+6.660%-
Last 5 (5)49.840.490.2+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.545.086.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (4)34.037.071.0-3.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)46.038.284.1+7.875%-
This opponent (Bigua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Biguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bigua: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.824.3
53.1%
53.3%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.4
31.7%
33.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.812.0
67.4%
70.9%12.0
They take 72.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.819.5
59.5%
53.3%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.5
35.9%
33.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.514.9
72.7%
70.9%14.9
They take 56.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bigua
WWLLLWWWLL
Penarol
LWWLWWWWLL
#5
League position
#1
-1.9
Net rating
+15.6
107.7
Offensive rating
114.6
109.6
Defensive rating
99.0
51.0%
Effective FG%
57.1%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
14.5%
Turnover %
16.5%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.36
31.7%
3-point %
35.9%
54.4%
Assist %
67.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.7 · 114.6Defence109.6 · 99.0Shooting51.0% · 57.1%3-point %31.7% · 35.9%Ball care14.5% · 16.5%Off. rebounds29.0% · 30.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Bigua   ■ Penarol
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bigua wins
4
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
14/02/25Bigua v Penarol72-83
06/12/24Penarol v Bigua76-73
04/01/24Bigua v Penarol81-87
08/11/23Penarol v Bigua92-90 OT
Bigualast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/25ACordon84-75
11/11/25HUnion Atletica84-78
07/11/25AMalvin89-90
03/11/25HNacional93-110
28/10/25AUrunday79-88
22/10/25HHebraica y Macabi84-74
17/10/25HDefensor91-90
14/10/25AGoes89-82
10/10/25HAguada87-90
11/04/25AAguada82-99
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25AGoes81-88
08/11/25HAguada103-89
03/11/25AWelcome102-80
29/10/25AHebraica y Macabi44-48
23/10/25HCordon102-83
20/10/25AUnion Atletica90-59
17/10/25HMalvin89-79
14/10/25ANacional87-62
25/04/25HDefensor78-84
21/04/25ADefensor93-96 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bigua
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW56%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%60%50%
Points / game86.787.885.2
Allowed / game86.388.483.8
Point differential+0.3-0.6+1.5
Avg total173.0176.2169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %75%100%60%
Points / game87.298.080.8
Allowed / game73.583.767.4
Point differential+13.8+14.3+13.4
Avg total160.8181.7148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional97278%91.282.6+8.7
2 Malvin97278%85.082.8+2.2
3 Penarol86275%87.273.5+13.8
4 Hebraica y Macabi96367%79.677.4+2.1
5 Defensor85362%87.086.0+1.0
6 Aguada95456%95.490.3+5.1
7 Bigua95456%86.786.3+0.3
8 Urunday94544%90.187.8+2.3
9 Union Atletica93633%80.784.0-3.3
10 Goes93633%83.087.1-4.1
11 Cordon92722%84.291.7-7.4
12 Welcome9090%81.0100.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bigua1525171269
Penarol2614271986
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