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Penarol vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2016
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 91-86
27-18 21-22 24-25 19-21
Position#4
Record17-13
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game81.1
Penarol 🏆
Argentina
vs
Position#18
Record15-15
FormWLWWL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game79.9
ArgentinaLiga A
Other2015-16
Meetings · Penarol v Boca Juniors
10 Dec 2026
PENA v BOCA
upcoming
06 Nov 2025
PENA89
BOCA78
21 Mar 2025
PENA64
BOCA72
15 Oct 2023
PENA72
BOCA92
28 Apr 2023
PENA110
BOCA114
23 Nov 2022
PENA86
BOCA81
01 May 2022
PENA80
BOCA81
29 Apr 2022
PENA70
BOCA81
02 Feb 2022
PENA68
BOCA71
25 Sep 2021
PENA77
BOCA86
19 Jan 2021
PENA74
BOCA80
29 Apr 2020
PENA v BOCA
upcoming
08 Oct 2019
PENA85
BOCA65
21 Apr 2019
PENA82
BOCA63
10 Feb 2018
PENA79
BOCA71
27 Feb 2017
PENA89
BOCA71
29 Sep 2016
PENA90
BOCA65
29 Jan 2016
PENA91
BOCA86
01 Oct 2015
PENA86
BOCA80
15 Apr 2015
PENA67
BOCA75
05 Dec 2014
PENA66
BOCA86
10 May 2014
PENA81
BOCA67
08 May 2014
PENA81
BOCA79
15 Dec 2013
PENA78
BOCA71
22 Nov 2013
PENA91
BOCA81
18 Jan 2013
PENA97
BOCA78
13 Sep 2012
PENA58
BOCA70
20 Jan 2012
PENA81
BOCA69
13 Nov 2011
PENA93
BOCA88
07 Jan 2011
PENA68
BOCA73
03 Dec 2010
PENA120
BOCA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boca Juniors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lanus
#13
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A13/12
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#18
L
79-96
79
96
-17
A14/12
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#2
L
75-100
75
100
-25
A17/12
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#19
W
89-66
89
66
+23
H13/01
Liga A
La Union
#7
L
90-98
90
98
-8
H15/01
Liga A
Argentino
#16
W
95-74
95
74
+21
H17/01
Liga A
Estudiantes
#11
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A20/01
Liga A
Sionista
#20
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A22/01
Liga A
Libertad
#6
L
68-87
68
87
-19
A23/01
Liga A
Atenas
#14
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H28/01
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
22-25
15-18
24-25
19-20
21-19
23-24
16-33
19-16
17-27
23-28
16-29
16-14
22-15
31-11
20-26
27-26
23-17
14-32
26-23
30-15
27-11
17-22
21-26
15-17
30-23
18-25
18-20
26-16
21-13
22-18
13-26
17-27
27-11
10-20
14-29
24-18
23-13
20-27
16-19
166.8Avg total
82.3Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)81.381.1162.4+0.257%
Season at home (15)85.078.2163.2+6.880%
Season away (15)77.684.0161.6-6.433%
Last 10 (10)82.384.5166.8-2.240%
Last 5 (5)81.879.2161.0+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.588.5168.0-9.00%
vs Similar ◀ (26)81.480.7162.1+0.762%
vs Weaker (2)81.579.0160.5+2.550%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpico
#1
L
54-73
54
73
-19
A18/12
Liga A
Quimsa
#8
L
77-91
77
91
-14
A20/12
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#12
L
99-101 OT
99
101
-2
H08/01
Liga A
Olimpico
#1
L
85-88
85
88
-3
H12/01
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#5
W
96-77
96
77
+19
H14/01
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#19
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A18/01
Liga A
Atenas
#14
L
61-84
61
84
-23
A20/01
Liga A
Estudiantes
#11
W
70-61
70
61
+9
H22/01
Liga A
Quilmes
#17
W
80-77
80
77
+3
H24/01
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#5
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A28/01
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
17-24
16-19
6-15
14-28
22-18
26-22
15-23
18-19
18-17
21-24
29-26
16-9
23-27
25-26
21-26
32-17
21-13
24-22
19-25
19-12
15-12
22-19
12-16
14-23
12-18
21-20
14-23
9-8
17-17
20-24
24-12
17-19
19-20
24-20
20-18
21-17
11-26
20-19
20-22
155.7Avg total
76.2Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)79.879.9159.7-0.150%
Season at home (16)86.079.0165.0+7.062%
Season away (14)72.780.9153.6-8.136%
Last 10 (10)76.279.5155.7-3.340%
Last 5 (5)70.273.0143.2-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.485.9161.3-10.414%
vs Similar ◀ (23)81.178.0159.2+3.161%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -7.2-7.2Q4: -2.6-2.6
PenarolBoca Juniors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lanus
#13
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A13/12
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#18
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A14/12
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#2
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A17/12
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#19
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H13/01
Liga A
La Union
#7
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H15/01
Liga A
Argentino
#16
W
57-26
57
26
+31
H17/01
Liga A
Estudiantes
#11
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A20/01
Liga A
Sionista
#20
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A22/01
Liga A
Libertad
#6
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A23/01
Liga A
Atenas
#14
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H28/01
Liga A
81.0Avg total
44.6Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.138.879.9+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.837.680.4+5.260%-
Last 30 away (15)39.540.079.5-0.560%-
Last 10 (10)44.636.481.0+8.280%-
Last 5 (5)48.032.880.8+15.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.051.585.5-17.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (26)41.338.279.5+3.262%-
vs Weaker (2)46.034.580.5+11.5100%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpico
#1
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A18/12
Liga A
Quimsa
#8
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A20/12
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#12
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H08/01
Liga A
Olimpico
#1
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H12/01
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#5
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H14/01
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#19
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A18/01
Liga A
Atenas
#14
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A20/01
Liga A
Estudiantes
#11
W
26-25
26
25
+1
H22/01
Liga A
Quilmes
#17
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H24/01
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#5
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A28/01
Liga A
70.9Avg total
35.0Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.338.674.9-2.337%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.438.477.8+0.944%-
Last 30 away (14)32.938.871.6-5.929%-
Last 10 (10)35.035.970.9-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)30.834.465.2-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.642.077.6-6.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)36.637.674.1-1.039%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Penarol wins
5
Boca Juniors wins
DateGameScore
14/12/15Boca Juniors v Penarol96-79
29/10/15Boca Juniors v Penarol90-62
02/10/15Penarol v Boca Juniors86-80 OT
15/04/15Penarol v Boca Juniors67-75
06/01/15Boca Juniors v Penarol80-69
06/12/14Penarol v Boca Juniors66-86
19/10/14Boca Juniors v Penarol81-83 OT
13/05/14Boca Juniors v Penarol73-83
11/05/14Penarol v Boca Juniors81-67
09/05/14Penarol v Boca Juniors81-79
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/16HAtenas83-77
23/01/16ALibertad68-87
22/01/16ASionista82-73
20/01/16AEstudiantes81-85
17/01/16HArgentino95-74
15/01/16HLa Union90-98
13/01/16HInstituto de Cordoba89-66
17/12/15ASan Lorenzo75-100
14/12/15ABoca Juniors79-96
13/12/15ALanus81-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/16AWeber Bahia72-84
24/01/16HQuilmes80-77
22/01/16HEstudiantes70-61
20/01/16AAtenas61-84
18/01/16AInstituto de Cordoba68-59
14/01/16HWeber Bahia96-77
12/01/16HOlimpico85-88
08/01/16HObras Sanitarias99-101 OT
20/12/15AQuimsa77-91
18/12/15AOlimpico54-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga A 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW57%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %57%80%33%
Points / game81.385.077.6
Allowed / game81.178.284.0
Point differential+0.2+6.8-6.4
Avg total162.4163.2161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%40%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %7%13%0%
Boca Juniors
Liga A 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeLLWWW62%
AwayLLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %50%62%36%
Points / game79.886.072.7
Allowed / game79.979.080.9
Point differential-0.1+7.0-8.1
Avg total159.7165.0153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%38%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)33% (6)75% (4)
Overtime %20%25%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpico2922776%83.377.0+6.3
2 Gimnasia29181162%83.376.6+6.8
3 Obras Sanitarias29181162%85.283.4+1.8
4 Libertad32191359%81.977.5+4.4
5 San Lorenzo33191458%85.980.8+5.1
6 Penarol30171357%81.381.1+0.2
7 San Martin29161355%88.384.7+3.6
8 La Union31171455%81.379.6+1.7
9 Quimsa28151354%80.377.5+2.8
10 Regatas28151354%81.179.8+1.3
11 Boca Juniors30151550%79.879.9-0.1
12 Estudiantes28141450%74.481.8-7.4
13 Weber Bahia29141548%75.179.1-4.0
14 Ferro30131743%76.379.1-2.8
15 Instituto de Cordoba30121840%75.476.5-1.1
16 Lanus30121840%79.381.6-2.3
17 Sionista27101737%77.682.0-4.3
18 Argentino29101934%77.382.4-5.1
19 Quilmes30102033%78.382.0-3.7
20 Atenas31102132%75.780.0-4.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol2721241991
Boca Juniors1822252186
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