Penarol vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Jan 2013

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 97-78

29-20 17-19 27-17 24-22

Position#2

Record19-9

FormWLWWL

Points / game82.1

Allowed / game76.9

Penarol 🏆

Boca Juniors

Position#4

Record17-12

FormWWWWL

Points / game79.1

Allowed / game74.2

Liga ARound 32

Other2012-13

Meetings · Penarol v Boca Juniors

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Boca Juniors winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regatas

58-65

-7

H06/12

South American League

Brasilia

77-87

-10

A06/12

South American League

Olimpico

74-78

-4

A10/12

Liga A

Atenas

#11

87-106

106

-19

A12/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

91-78

+13

A15/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

82-76

H17/12

Liga A

Argentino

70-75

-5

H20/12

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

107-83

107

+24

H22/12

Liga A

Lanus

84-82 OT

A09/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

86-87

-1

H17/01

Liga A

18-19

13-14

15-15

12-17

20-32

25-24

18-19

14-12

14-20

24-17

20-23

16-18

20-29

21-20

19-32

27-25

22-17

23-23

21-25

25-13

18-28

18-15

23-14

23-19

21-16

24-18

12-28

13-13

28-20

27-18

29-12

23-33

23-10

20-26

22-15

9-23

27-18

12-18

19-27

28-24

163.3Avg total

81.6Scored

81.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	82.1	76.9	159.1	+5.2	68%
Season at home (14)	83.4	75.4	158.9	+8.0	64%
Season away (14)	80.9	78.4	159.3	+2.4	71%
Last 10 (10)	81.6	81.7	163.3	-0.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	85.8	80.6	166.4	+5.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	75.6	77.6	153.2	-2.0	40%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	78.3	73.4	151.7	+4.9	69%
vs Weaker (8)	86.8	78.1	164.9	+8.6	62%

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

72-78

-6

A24/11

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

78-74

H01/12

Liga A

Argentino

71-70

H03/12

Liga A

Sionista

89-68

+21

H08/12

Liga A

Regatas

81-68

+13

H09/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

93-73

+20

A13/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

96-61

+35

H16/12

Liga A

Libertad

97-91 OT

A19/12

Liga A

Quimsa

92-67

+25

A22/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

61-75

-14

A17/01

Liga A

24-16

19-23

17-23

12-16

19-23

12-14

25-15

22-22

18-30

24-17

14-17

15-6

18-14

32-12

20-15

19-27

19-19

17-17

27-13

18-19

15-17

31-17

24-15

23-24

31-17

23-8

18-17

24-19

22-20

17-18

23-20

19-23

27-18

28-16

16-17

21-16

14-20

17-16

19-17

11-22

155.5Avg total

83.0Scored

72.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	79.1	74.2	153.3	+4.9	59%
Season at home (14)	77.9	71.6	149.6	+6.3	79%
Season away (15)	80.2	76.6	156.8	+3.6	40%
Last 10 (10)	83.0	72.5	155.5	+10.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	87.8	73.4	161.2	+14.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	67.0	72.0	139.0	-5.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	70.4	72.0	142.4	-1.6	40%
vs Weaker (23)	81.4	75.4	156.8	+6.0	61%

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PenarolBoca Juniors

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	17.9	39.6	+3.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	17.2	40.3	+5.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	18.6	38.8	+1.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.9	42.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	18.4	41.8	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.6	20.0	42.6	+2.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	20.2	17.2	37.5	+3.0	69%	-
vs Weaker (8)	24.2	18.5	42.8	+5.8	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.4	37.5	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	17.8	38.3	+2.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	19.0	36.9	-1.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.4	40.1	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	18.4	40.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	12.0	19.0	31.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	15.6	16.0	31.6	-0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (23)	20.5	18.8	39.3	+1.7	61%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	16.0	34.8	+2.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	15.6	34.2	+3.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	16.5	35.5	+2.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.3	40.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.2	16.8	33.0	-0.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.1	15.7	34.8	+3.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.4	17.2	36.6	+2.1	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	16.0	35.5	+3.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	14.7	35.1	+5.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	17.1	35.8	+1.7	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	15.8	37.8	+6.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	15.0	38.2	+8.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	11.0	9.0	20.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	16.0	15.2	31.2	+0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (23)	20.9	16.5	37.3	+4.4	57%	-

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regatas

31-33

-2

H06/12

South American League

Brasilia

45-56

-11

A06/12

South American League

Olimpico

38-37

A10/12

Liga A

Atenas

#11

41-49

-8

A12/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

45-40

A15/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

36-43

-7

H17/12

Liga A

Argentino

45-34

+11

H20/12

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

55-38

+17

H22/12

Liga A

Lanus

43-36

A09/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

39-36

H17/01

Liga A

82.0Avg total

41.8Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	33.9	74.4	+6.5	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	32.8	74.5	+8.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.2	35.1	74.3	+4.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	40.2	82.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	37.4	81.0	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	38.8	36.8	75.6	+2.0	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	39.4	32.9	72.3	+6.4	81%	-
vs Weaker (8)	43.6	35.8	79.4	+7.9	75%	-

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

43-39

A24/11

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

31-37

-6

H01/12

Liga A

Argentino

42-47

-5

H03/12

Liga A

Sionista

50-26

+24

H08/12

Liga A

Regatas

36-36

H09/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

46-34

+12

A13/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

54-25

+29

H16/12

Liga A

Libertad

39-38

A19/12

Liga A

Quimsa

55-34

+21

A22/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

31-36

-5

A17/01

Liga A

77.9Avg total

42.7Scored

35.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	34.4	73.0	+4.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.9	32.5	73.4	+8.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.6	36.1	72.7	+0.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	35.2	77.9	+7.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	33.4	78.4	+11.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	23.0	28.0	51.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	31.6	31.2	62.8	+0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (23)	41.3	35.3	76.6	+6.1	61%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.7	40.5	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	21.1	41.4	-0.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	20.3	39.5	-1.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	21.0	40.8	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.2	40.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.8	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.3	20.3	39.6	-1.0	44%	-
vs Weaker (8)	22.2	20.5	42.8	+1.8	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	17.6	36.7	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.3	17.3	35.6	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	17.8	37.8	+2.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	16.9	37.2	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	17.2	37.2	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	23.0	19.0	42.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	20.2	18.4	38.6	+1.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (23)	18.7	17.5	36.1	+1.2	48%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.5	39.6	-1.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	21.5	41.6	-1.5	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	19.5	37.6	-1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.7	38.7	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	22.4	41.6	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.2	20.4	37.6	-3.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.0	19.6	38.6	-0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.9	21.9	42.8	-1.0	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.6	41.6	-1.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.7	21.9	40.6	-3.1	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.1	21.3	42.4	-0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	19.4	37.8	-1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.8	40.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	25.0	46.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	18.6	22.4	41.0	-3.8	20%	-
vs Weaker (23)	20.3	21.5	41.7	-1.2	35%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	41.2	80.1	-2.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.4	42.6	83.0	-2.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.4	39.7	77.1	-2.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	40.7	79.5	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	41.6	81.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	36.8	40.8	77.6	-4.0	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	38.3	39.9	78.2	-1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	43.1	42.4	85.5	+0.8	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	39.1	78.3	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.0	39.1	76.1	-2.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.1	39.1	80.2	+1.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	36.3	75.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	38.0	77.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	44.0	44.0	88.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	38.8	40.8	79.6	-2.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (23)	38.9	39.0	77.9	-0.0	39%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Penarol wins

Boca Juniors wins

Date	Game	Score
18/10/12	Boca Juniors v Penarol	65-73
14/09/12	Penarol v Boca Juniors	58-70
29/01/12	Boca Juniors v Penarol	86-91
21/01/12	Penarol v Boca Juniors	81-69
14/11/11	Penarol v Boca Juniors	93-88 OT
06/10/11	Boca Juniors v Penarol	65-73
03/03/11	Boca Juniors v Penarol	59-72
08/01/11	Penarol v Boca Juniors	68-73
04/12/10	Penarol v Boca Juniors	120-76
14/10/10	Boca Juniors v Penarol	61-87

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/01/13	H	Obras Sanitarias	86-87
09/01/13	A	Lanus	84-82 OT
22/12/12	H	de Julio de Morteros	107-83
20/12/12	H	Argentino	70-75
17/12/12	H	Weber Bahia	82-76
15/12/12	A	Weber Bahia	91-78
12/12/12	A	Atenas	87-106
10/12/12	A	Olimpico	74-78
06/12/12	A	Brasilia	77-87
06/12/12	H	Regatas	58-65

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/01/13	A	Weber Bahia	61-75
22/12/12	A	Quimsa	92-67
19/12/12	A	Libertad	97-91 OT
16/12/12	H	Obras Sanitarias	96-61
13/12/12	A	Obras Sanitarias	93-73
09/12/12	H	Regatas	81-68
08/12/12	H	Sionista	89-68
03/12/12	H	Argentino	71-70
01/12/12	H	de Julio de Morteros	78-74
24/11/12	A	Olimpico	72-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol

Liga A 2012-13

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	68%
Home	WWLWL	64%
Away	WLLWW	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	68%	64%	71%
Points / game	82.1	83.4	80.9
Allowed / game	76.9	75.4	78.4
Point differential	+5.2	+8.0	+2.4
Avg total	159.1	158.9	159.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	43%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	38% (8)	25% (4)	50% (4)
Overtime %	4%	0%	7%

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2012-13

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	59%
Home	WWWWW	79%
Away	LWWWL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	14	15
Win %	59%	79%	40%
Points / game	79.1	77.9	80.2
Allowed / game	74.2	71.6	76.6
Point differential	+4.9	+6.3	+3.6
Avg total	153.3	149.6	156.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	34%	36%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	100% (4)	0% (3)
Overtime %	7%	0%	13%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Regatas	29	22	7	76%	78.1	71.8	+6.3
2	Lanus	29	20	9	69%	77.0	73.1	+3.9
3	Penarol	28	19	9	68%	82.1	76.9	+5.2
4	Olimpico	29	18	11	62%	76.7	74.9	+1.8
5	Libertad	27	16	11	59%	78.3	76.9	+1.3
6	Boca Juniors	29	17	12	59%	79.1	74.2	+4.9
7	Quimsa	29	16	13	55%	78.9	76.1	+2.8
8	Argentino	29	16	13	55%	78.9	78.7	+0.3
9	Atenas	29	15	14	52%	77.3	80.1	-2.8
10	Gimnasia	29	13	16	45%	80.1	80.6	-0.4
11	Sionista	29	13	16	45%	78.4	80.6	-2.2
12	Weber Bahia	28	11	17	39%	81.0	81.7	-0.7
13	de Julio de Morteros	29	10	19	34%	79.0	84.2	-5.3
14	Progresista	29	9	20	31%	72.8	78.4	-5.7
15	Obras Sanitarias	29	8	21	28%	78.3	83.0	-4.7
16	La Union	29	7	22	24%	72.4	76.9	-4.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Penarol	29	17	27	24	97
Boca Juniors	20	19	17	22	78

← all games of the day

Penarol vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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