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Penarol vs Boca Juniors Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 30 Apr 2020
Tip-off: 00:30
Postponed
Position#15
Record11-16
FormLLWLW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game84.2
vs
Position#10
Record13-13
FormLWWLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game77.8
ArgentinaLiga A
Other2019-20
Meetings · Penarol v Boca Juniors
10 Dec 2026
PENA v BOCA
upcoming
06 Nov 2025
PENA89
BOCA78
21 Mar 2025
PENA64
BOCA72
15 Oct 2023
PENA72
BOCA92
28 Apr 2023
PENA110
BOCA114
23 Nov 2022
PENA86
BOCA81
01 May 2022
PENA80
BOCA81
29 Apr 2022
PENA70
BOCA81
02 Feb 2022
PENA68
BOCA71
25 Sep 2021
PENA77
BOCA86
19 Jan 2021
PENA74
BOCA80
29 Apr 2020
PENA v BOCA
upcoming
08 Oct 2019
PENA85
BOCA65
21 Apr 2019
PENA82
BOCA63
10 Feb 2018
PENA79
BOCA71
27 Feb 2017
PENA89
BOCA71
29 Sep 2016
PENA90
BOCA65
29 Jan 2016
PENA91
BOCA86
01 Oct 2015
PENA86
BOCA80
15 Apr 2015
PENA67
BOCA75
05 Dec 2014
PENA66
BOCA86
10 May 2014
PENA81
BOCA67
08 May 2014
PENA81
BOCA79
15 Dec 2013
PENA78
BOCA71
22 Nov 2013
PENA91
BOCA81
18 Jan 2013
PENA97
BOCA78
13 Sep 2012
PENA58
BOCA70
20 Jan 2012
PENA81
BOCA69
13 Nov 2011
PENA93
BOCA88
07 Jan 2011
PENA68
BOCA73
03 Dec 2010
PENA120
BOCA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Boca Juniors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpico
#9
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A30/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
102-107
102
107
-5
A01/02
Liga A
San Martin
#7
L
95-102
95
102
-7
H06/02
Liga A
Hispano Americano
#12
L
97-115
97
115
-18
A13/02
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#2
L
87-98
87
98
-11
A15/02
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A16/02
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#2
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H28/02
Liga A
Libertad
#20
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A08/03
Liga A
Atenas
#17
L
71-90
71
90
-19
A11/03
Liga A
Regatas
#8
W
95-87
95
87
+8
H14/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
23-22
19-27
24-17
31-27
21-28
27-25
23-27
15-29
24-18
24-23
32-32
26-29
21-32
28-28
22-26
25-24
16-22
29-26
17-26
14-27
19-13
20-25
16-15
15-19
14-12
20-17
24-26
21-9
12-19
23-16
24-32
19-18
16-22
15-28
21-22
26-23
17-19
27-23
25-22
176.0Avg total
84.8Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)83.384.2167.4-0.941%
Season at home (13)88.581.9170.5+6.669%
Season away (14)78.486.3164.6-7.914%
Last 10 (10)84.891.2176.0-6.420%
Last 5 (5)77.681.4159.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)84.488.9173.3-4.510%
vs Similar ◀ (13)84.584.5169.1+0.054%
vs Weaker (7)77.376.7154.0+0.643%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Platense
#18
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A30/01
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
L
71-93
71
93
-22
H04/02
Liga A
Olimpico
#9
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H07/02
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#11
L
95-97
95
97
-2
A10/02
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#13
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H15/02
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#5
L
60-93
60
93
-33
A27/02
Liga A
Estudiantes
#19
W
82-68
82
68
+14
A29/02
Liga A
Argentino
#14
W
80-79
80
79
+1
H05/03
Liga A
San Martin
#7
L
87-98
87
98
-11
H07/03
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#11
W
94-88
94
88
+6
H13/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-12
12-15
21-16
8-14
16-17
17-22
18-21
20-33
11-17
13-14
21-18
26-17
18-28
22-25
29-17
26-27
17-11
27-22
12-17
23-20
9-18
23-25
10-26
18-24
20-21
22-13
18-19
22-15
23-15
16-23
23-22
18-19
17-20
23-21
18-26
29-31
13-23
25-28
27-17
29-20
157.6Avg total
76.7Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)77.977.8155.7+0.250%
Season at home (13)80.076.7156.7+3.369%
Season away (13)75.878.8154.7-3.031%
Last 10 (10)76.780.9157.6-4.250%
Last 5 (5)80.685.2165.8-4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)64.776.4141.1-11.811%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.374.9154.2+4.464%
vs Weaker (10)80.073.7153.7+6.370%
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -0.1-0.1
PenarolBoca Juniors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpico
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A30/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A01/02
Liga A
San Martin
#7
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H06/02
Liga A
Hispano Americano
#12
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A13/02
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#2
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A15/02
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A16/02
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#2
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H28/02
Liga A
Libertad
#20
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A08/03
Liga A
Atenas
#17
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A11/03
Liga A
Regatas
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H14/03
Liga A
81.7Avg total
38.8Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.639.680.2+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.938.782.6+5.171%-
Last 30 away (16)37.840.478.2-2.731%-
Last 10 (10)38.842.981.7-4.120%-
Last 5 (5)34.636.270.8-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)42.942.785.6+0.230%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.840.880.6-1.146%-
vs Weaker (7)38.933.071.9+5.986%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Platense
#18
L
19-27
19
27
-8
A30/01
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H04/02
Liga A
Olimpico
#9
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H07/02
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#11
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A10/02
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#13
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H15/02
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#5
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A27/02
Liga A
Estudiantes
#19
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A29/02
Liga A
Argentino
#14
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H05/03
Liga A
San Martin
#7
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H07/03
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#11
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H13/03
Liga A
74.1Avg total
35.1Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.735.272.9+2.559%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.134.871.9+2.457%-
Last 30 away (15)38.335.673.9+2.760%-
Last 10 (10)35.139.074.1-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)38.241.479.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.135.173.2+3.062%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.533.771.3+3.864%-
vs Weaker (10)37.636.974.5+0.750%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Penarol wins
4
Boca Juniors wins
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/20HRegatas95-87
11/03/20AAtenas71-90
08/03/20ALibertad80-76
28/02/20HSan Lorenzo73-74
16/02/20AFerro69-80
15/02/20ASan Lorenzo87-98
13/02/20AHispano Americano97-115
06/02/20HSan Martin95-102
01/02/20AQuimsa102-107
30/01/20AOlimpico79-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/20HWeber Bahia94-88
07/03/20HSan Martin87-98
05/03/20HArgentino80-79
29/02/20AEstudiantes82-68
27/02/20AComunicaciones Mercedes60-93
15/02/20HObras Sanitarias79-70
10/02/20AWeber Bahia95-97
07/02/20HOlimpico71-66
04/02/20HInstituto de Cordoba71-93
30/01/20APlatense48-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga A 2019-20
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW41%
HomeWWLLW69%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %41%69%14%
Points / game83.388.578.4
Allowed / game84.281.986.3
Point differential-0.9+6.6-7.9
Avg total167.4170.5164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)75% (4)33% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Boca Juniors
Liga A 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeWWWLW69%
AwayLLLLW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %50%69%31%
Points / game77.980.075.8
Allowed / game77.876.778.8
Point differential+0.2+3.3-3.0
Avg total155.7156.7154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%23%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)80% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa2118386%90.183.4+6.8
2 San Lorenzo2117481%87.580.5+7.0
3 Gimnasia2519676%87.379.8+7.4
4 Instituto de Cordoba2215768%81.175.5+5.6
5 Comunicaciones Mercedes26161062%86.078.3+7.7
6 Ferro24141058%79.376.1+3.2
7 San Martin23131057%82.879.5+3.3
8 Regatas25131252%83.981.8+2.1
9 Olimpico24121250%82.981.0+1.9
10 Boca Juniors26131350%77.977.8+0.2
11 Weber Bahia26121446%90.895.3-4.4
12 Hispano Americano27121544%84.484.0+0.3
13 Obras Sanitarias26111542%84.383.2+1.1
14 Argentino26111542%77.483.3-5.9
15 Penarol27111641%83.384.2-0.9
16 La Union25101540%82.684.8-2.1
17 Atenas25101540%80.483.0-2.6
18 Platense2481633%75.882.5-6.7
19 Estudiantes2772026%69.977.3-7.3
20 Libertad2662023%71.083.5-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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