Penarol vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 16 Dec 2013

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 78-71

23-17 19-17 17-22 19-15

Position#2

Record14-5

FormWWWWW

Points / game80.9

Allowed / game73.9

Penarol 🏆

Boca Juniors

Position#3

Record11-8

FormLWWWW

Points / game76.5

Allowed / game71.8

Liga ARound 6

Other2013-14

Meetings · Penarol v Boca Juniors

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Boca Juniors winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Argentino

74-64

+10

H14/11

South American League

Weber Bahia

#14

77-66

+11

A18/11

Liga A

Quilmes

82-79

A20/11

Liga A

Boca Juniors

91-81

+10

H23/11

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#10

74-60

+14

H25/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

77-73

A30/11

Liga A

Lanus

#15

98-79

+19

A02/12

Liga A

Regatas

90-86

H07/12

Liga A

La Union

#16

88-62

+26

H09/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#10

89-75

+14

H13/12

Liga A

24-20

14-7

17-21

19-16

20-16

15-14

28-15

14-21

22-27

24-14

15-20

21-18

27-24

19-16

17-17

28-24

24-19

20-9

13-21

17-11

20-17

16-24

22-18

19-14

26-18

20-17

25-19

27-25

23-24

18-19

31-18

18-25

20-15

25-14

22-12

21-21

21-15

26-14

21-22

21-24

156.5Avg total

84.0Scored

72.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	80.9	73.9	154.8	+6.9	74%
Season at home (10)	83.3	70.2	153.5	+13.1	90%
Season away (9)	78.2	78.1	156.3	+0.1	56%
Last 10 (10)	84.0	72.5	156.5	+11.5	100%
Last 5 (5)	88.4	75.0	163.4	+13.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	61.0	88.0	149.0	-27.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	76.3	75.9	152.2	+0.4	45%
vs Weaker (18)	81.2	72.6	153.8	+8.7	78%

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lanus

#15

80-78 OT

H16/11

Liga A

Penarol

81-91

-10

A23/11

Liga A

Argentino

67-68

-1

A25/11

Liga A

Brasilia

69-81

-12

A27/11

South American League

Bauru

71-79

-8

A29/11

South American League

Regatas

63-67

-4

A03/12

Liga A

Quilmes

96-81

+15

H06/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#14

79-68

+11

H07/12

Liga A

La Union

#16

68-66

A12/12

Liga A

Argentino

90-84 OT

A14/12

Liga A

16-23

16-11

25-20

14-17

24-27

16-19

17-17

24-28

12-14

18-15

21-23

16-16

16-23

11-20

20-18

22-20

20-22

21-21

20-17

10-19

13-27

14-8

22-18

14-14

29-23

27-25

17-17

23-16

18-24

15-13

15-14

31-17

21-16

12-9

14-13

21-28

19-24

25-19

26-15

10-22

152.7Avg total

76.4Scored

76.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	76.5	71.8	148.3	+4.7	58%
Season at home (9)	78.7	70.1	148.8	+8.6	78%
Season away (10)	74.6	73.3	147.9	+1.3	40%
Last 10 (10)	76.4	76.3	152.7	+0.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	79.2	73.2	152.4	+6.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	64.3	72.3	136.7	-8.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	74.9	73.4	148.2	+1.5	43%
vs Weaker (13)	80.8	68.2	149.1	+12.6	77%

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PenarolBoca Juniors

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.2	37.4	-1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	18.2	37.3	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	20.3	37.5	-3.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	19.5	42.2	+3.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	17.8	39.8	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	13.0	24.0	37.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	17.6	19.5	37.1	-1.8	45%	-
vs Weaker (18)	18.8	18.8	37.6	-0.1	61%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.4	37.6	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.7	15.4	35.1	+4.3	83%	-
Last 30 away (18)	18.8	20.4	39.2	-1.7	28%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	22.3	41.1	-3.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	22.8	42.8	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.0	22.7	38.7	-6.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.4	19.1	38.4	+0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker (13)	19.6	16.8	36.4	+2.8	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	16.4	35.9	+3.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	14.0	34.8	+6.8	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	18.9	37.1	-0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	14.8	34.5	+4.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	17.6	38.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	21.0	39.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	18.0	15.4	33.4	+2.6	64%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.5	16.8	37.3	+3.7	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	16.3	34.8	+2.2	70%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.2	14.8	32.9	+3.4	92%	-
Last 30 away (18)	18.7	17.3	36.0	+1.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	16.0	33.5	+1.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	14.8	33.4	+3.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	12.7	16.0	28.7	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	17.9	17.2	35.1	+0.6	57%	-
vs Weaker (13)	20.5	15.3	35.8	+5.2	92%	-

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Argentino

38-27

+11

H14/11

South American League

Weber Bahia

#14

35-30

A18/11

Liga A

Quilmes

46-41

A20/11

Liga A

Boca Juniors

46-40

H23/11

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#10

44-28

+16

H25/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

36-41

-5

A30/11

Liga A

Lanus

#15

46-35

+11

A02/12

Liga A

Regatas

41-43

-2

H07/12

Liga A

La Union

#16

45-29

+16

H09/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#10

47-29

+18

H13/12

Liga A

76.7Avg total

42.4Scored

34.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	35.7	73.3	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.9	32.2	72.1	+7.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.5	39.1	74.6	-3.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	34.3	76.7	+8.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	35.4	78.4	+7.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	31.0	45.0	76.0	-14.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	35.6	34.8	70.5	+0.8	55%	-
vs Weaker (18)	39.3	35.7	74.9	+3.6	56%	-

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lanus

#15

32-34

-2

H16/11

Liga A

Penarol

40-46

-6

A23/11

Liga A

Argentino

30-29

A25/11

Liga A

Brasilia

27-43

-16

A27/11

South American League

Bauru

41-43

-2

A29/11

South American League

Regatas

27-35

-8

A03/12

Liga A

Quilmes

56-48

H06/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#14

33-37

-4

H07/12

Liga A

La Union

#16

33-25

A12/12

Liga A

Argentino

44-43

A14/12

Liga A

74.6Avg total

36.3Scored

38.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	34.7	72.3	+2.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	37.8	30.2	68.0	+7.7	75%	-
Last 30 away (18)	37.5	37.7	75.2	-0.2	39%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.3	38.3	74.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	37.6	76.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	28.7	38.7	67.3	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	37.2	36.3	73.5	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	40.2	32.1	72.2	+8.1	69%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	17.6	38.2	+2.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	17.3	38.1	+3.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	18.0	38.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	18.3	39.4	+2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	17.8	42.0	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	13.0	24.0	37.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.5	17.6	37.2	+1.9	55%	-
vs Weaker (18)	21.6	17.3	38.8	+4.3	61%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	17.1	35.5	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.3	18.3	35.7	-1.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (18)	19.1	16.3	35.4	+2.8	61%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	17.2	36.9	+2.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	15.4	34.2	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.0	17.0	37.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.6	17.2	35.8	+1.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (13)	17.8	17.0	34.8	+0.8	46%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.3	40.1	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	19.9	38.5	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	20.7	41.8	+0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	19.9	40.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.8	43.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	17.0	19.0	36.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.1	21.6	40.7	-2.5	27%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	61%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.6	38.1	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.3	18.3	39.7	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	18.3	18.7	37.0	-0.4	39%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.7	38.2	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.4	39.2	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.7	16.7	32.3	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.4	19.6	37.9	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	21.6	17.9	39.5	+3.7	54%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	38.0	78.3	+2.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.4	37.2	76.6	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.3	38.7	80.0	+2.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	38.2	79.8	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	39.6	85.0	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	30.0	43.0	73.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	38.6	39.3	77.9	-0.6	55%	-
vs Weaker (18)	41.9	36.9	78.8	+5.1	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	35.7	73.6	+2.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	38.7	36.7	75.3	+2.0	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	37.4	35.0	72.4	+2.4	39%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	36.9	75.1	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	34.8	73.4	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	35.7	33.7	69.3	+2.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	36.9	36.8	73.7	+0.1	36%	-
vs Weaker (13)	39.5	34.9	74.4	+4.5	54%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Penarol wins

Boca Juniors wins

Date	Game	Score
23/11/13	Penarol v Boca Juniors	91-81
29/10/13	Boca Juniors v Penarol	84-75
02/03/13	Boca Juniors v Penarol	83-70
19/01/13	Penarol v Boca Juniors	97-78
18/10/12	Boca Juniors v Penarol	65-73
14/09/12	Penarol v Boca Juniors	58-70
29/01/12	Boca Juniors v Penarol	86-91
21/01/12	Penarol v Boca Juniors	81-69
14/11/11	Penarol v Boca Juniors	93-88 OT
06/10/11	Boca Juniors v Penarol	65-73

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/12/13	H	Obras Sanitarias	89-75
09/12/13	H	La Union	88-62
07/12/13	H	Regatas	90-86
02/12/13	A	Lanus	98-79
30/11/13	A	Gimnasia	77-73
25/11/13	H	Obras Sanitarias	74-60
23/11/13	H	Boca Juniors	91-81
20/11/13	A	Quilmes	82-79
18/11/13	A	Weber Bahia	77-66
14/11/13	H	Argentino	74-64

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/12/13	A	Argentino	90-84 OT
12/12/13	A	La Union	68-66
07/12/13	H	Weber Bahia	79-68
06/12/13	H	Quilmes	96-81
03/12/13	A	Regatas	63-67
29/11/13	A	Bauru	71-79
27/11/13	A	Brasilia	69-81
25/11/13	A	Argentino	67-68
23/11/13	A	Penarol	81-91
16/11/13	H	Lanus	80-78 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol

Liga A 2013-14

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	74%
Home	WWWWW	90%
Away	LWWWW	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	74%	90%	56%
Points / game	80.9	83.3	78.2
Allowed / game	73.9	70.2	78.1
Point differential	+6.9	+13.1	+0.1
Avg total	154.8	153.5	156.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	42%	60%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	67% (3)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	58%
Home	WLWWW	78%
Away	LLLWW	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	58%	78%	40%
Points / game	76.5	78.7	74.6
Allowed / game	71.8	70.1	73.3
Point differential	+4.7	+8.6	+1.3
Avg total	148.3	148.8	147.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	44%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (8)	33% (3)	20% (5)
Overtime %	16%	11%	20%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Regatas	19	16	3	84%	83.5	72.8	+10.7
2	Penarol	19	14	5	74%	80.9	73.9	+6.9
3	Gimnasia	19	13	6	68%	74.2	71.7	+2.4
4	Atenas	18	12	6	67%	77.0	76.3	+0.7
5	Boca Juniors	19	11	8	58%	76.5	71.8	+4.7
6	Quilmes	19	11	8	58%	75.6	76.6	-1.0
7	Sionista	19	10	9	53%	72.7	70.7	+2.1
8	Libertad	19	10	9	53%	75.3	73.4	+1.8
9	Obras Sanitarias	19	10	9	53%	72.5	72.8	-0.4
10	Quimsa	19	9	10	47%	77.7	79.1	-1.4
11	Estudiantes	19	7	12	37%	73.5	74.9	-1.5
12	La Union	19	7	12	37%	73.2	78.7	-5.5
13	Argentino	19	7	12	37%	71.2	76.8	-5.6
14	Olimpico	19	6	13	32%	74.6	77.6	-3.0
15	Weber Bahia	19	5	14	26%	72.5	77.9	-5.4
16	Lanus	20	4	16	20%	69.0	74.4	-5.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Penarol	23	19	17	19	78
Boca Juniors	17	17	22	15	71

← all games of the day

Penarol vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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