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Penarol vs Ferro Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 19 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 00:00
Postponed
Position#15
Record11-16
FormLLWLW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game84.2
vs
Position#6
Record14-10
FormWLLWL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game76.1
ArgentinaLiga A
Other2019-20
Meetings · Penarol v Ferro
12 Apr 2027
PENA v FERR
upcoming
10 Jan 2027
PENA v FERR
upcoming
02 May 2026
PENA68
FERR84
30 Apr 2026
PENA87
FERR75
19 Apr 2026
PENA87
FERR80
27 Apr 2025
PENA73
FERR75
12 May 2024
PENA70
FERR86
26 Nov 2022
PENA69
FERR64
01 Dec 2021
PENA80
FERR89
10 Oct 2021
PENA97
FERR101
08 Jan 2021
PENA111
FERR101
18 Mar 2020
PENA v FERR
upcoming
04 Mar 2019
PENA66
FERR88
26 Mar 2018
PENA96
FERR73
01 Feb 2017
PENA73
FERR75
18 Oct 2016
PENA76
FERR75
18 Mar 2016
PENA70
FERR75
25 Nov 2015
PENA88
FERR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Ferro win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpico
#9
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A30/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
102-107
102
107
-5
A01/02
Liga A
San Martin
#7
L
95-102
95
102
-7
H06/02
Liga A
Hispano Americano
#12
L
97-115
97
115
-18
A13/02
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#2
L
87-98
87
98
-11
A15/02
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A16/02
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#2
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H28/02
Liga A
Libertad
#20
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A08/03
Liga A
Atenas
#17
L
71-90
71
90
-19
A11/03
Liga A
Regatas
#8
W
95-87
95
87
+8
H14/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
23-22
19-27
24-17
31-27
21-28
27-25
23-27
15-29
24-18
24-23
32-32
26-29
21-32
28-28
22-26
25-24
16-22
29-26
17-26
14-27
19-13
20-25
16-15
15-19
14-12
20-17
24-26
21-9
12-19
23-16
24-32
19-18
16-22
15-28
21-22
26-23
17-19
27-23
25-22
176.0Avg total
84.8Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)83.384.2167.4-0.941%
Season at home (13)88.581.9170.5+6.669%
Season away (14)78.486.3164.6-7.914%
Last 10 (10)84.891.2176.0-6.420%
Last 5 (5)77.681.4159.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)84.488.9173.3-4.510%
vs Similar (13)84.584.5169.1+0.054%
vs Weaker (7)77.376.7154.0+0.643%
This opponent (Ferro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FerroArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#19
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H26/01
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
84-88
84
88
-4
A03/02
Liga A
Olimpico
#9
L
77-95
77
95
-18
H08/02
Liga A
Argentino
#14
W
86-62
86
62
+24
A12/02
Liga A
Libertad
#20
W
106-58
106
58
+48
H15/02
Liga A
Penarol
#15
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H16/02
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H01/03
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
92-96
92
96
-4
A05/03
Liga A
Olimpico
#9
W
86-83
86
83
+3
A07/03
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#11
L
82-83
82
83
-1
H11/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
21-7
20-26
17-23
17-21
23-27
22-17
22-23
18-21
16-27
24-20
19-27
14-15
21-16
25-17
26-14
16-15
33-13
26-11
31-19
27-14
13-19
25-20
15-16
15-15
13-20
20-23
21-16
21-24
15-28
30-21
26-23
18-22
14-22
26-16
28-23
17-17
12-19
25-22
28-25
162.0Avg total
84.0Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)79.376.1155.4+3.258%
Season at home (13)81.276.4157.6+4.862%
Season away (11)77.175.7152.8+1.455%
Last 10 (10)84.078.0162.0+6.050%
Last 5 (5)81.881.0162.8+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.780.3155.0-5.733%
vs Similar (16)76.579.9156.4-3.444%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)84.266.9151.1+17.382%
This opponent (Penarol) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +2.4+2.4
PenarolFerro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpico
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A30/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A01/02
Liga A
San Martin
#7
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H06/02
Liga A
Hispano Americano
#12
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A13/02
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#2
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A15/02
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A16/02
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#2
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H28/02
Liga A
Libertad
#20
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A08/03
Liga A
Atenas
#17
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A11/03
Liga A
Regatas
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H14/03
Liga A
81.7Avg total
38.8Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.639.680.2+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.938.782.6+5.171%-
Last 30 away (16)37.840.478.2-2.731%-
Last 10 (10)38.842.981.7-4.120%-
Last 5 (5)34.636.270.8-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)42.942.785.6+0.230%-
vs Similar (13)39.840.880.6-1.146%-
vs Weaker (7)38.933.071.9+5.986%-
This opponent (Ferro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#19
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H26/01
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A03/02
Liga A
Olimpico
#9
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H08/02
Liga A
Argentino
#14
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A12/02
Liga A
Libertad
#20
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H15/02
Liga A
Penarol
#15
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H16/02
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H01/03
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A05/03
Liga A
Olimpico
#9
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A07/03
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#11
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H11/03
Liga A
74.2Avg total
36.4Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.434.973.3+3.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.634.975.6+5.762%-
Last 30 away (14)35.834.970.6+0.957%-
Last 10 (10)36.437.874.2-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)33.040.073.0-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.741.383.0+0.333%-
vs Similar (16)36.437.473.9-1.044%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)40.329.569.7+10.891%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Penarol wins
6
Ferro wins
DateGameScore
16/02/20Ferro v Penarol80-69
05/03/19Penarol v Ferro66-88
15/12/18Ferro v Penarol82-77
01/05/18Ferro v Penarol77-89
27/03/18Penarol v Ferro96-73
20/04/17Ferro v Penarol63-80
02/02/17Penarol v Ferro73-75
19/10/16Penarol v Ferro76-75
06/10/16Ferro v Penarol78-52
19/03/16Penarol v Ferro70-75
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/20HRegatas95-87
11/03/20AAtenas71-90
08/03/20ALibertad80-76
28/02/20HSan Lorenzo73-74
16/02/20AFerro69-80
15/02/20ASan Lorenzo87-98
13/02/20AHispano Americano97-115
06/02/20HSan Martin95-102
01/02/20AQuimsa102-107
30/01/20AOlimpico79-83
Ferrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/20HWeber Bahia82-83
07/03/20AOlimpico86-83
05/03/20AQuimsa92-96
01/03/20HInstituto de Cordoba69-74
16/02/20HPenarol80-69
15/02/20HLibertad106-58
12/02/20AArgentino86-62
08/02/20HOlimpico77-95
03/02/20AGimnasia84-88
26/01/20HEstudiantes78-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga A 2019-20
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW41%
HomeWWLLW69%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %41%69%14%
Points / game83.388.578.4
Allowed / game84.281.986.3
Point differential-0.9+6.6-7.9
Avg total167.4170.5164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)75% (4)33% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ferro
Liga A 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL58%
HomeLWWLL62%
AwayLLWLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %58%62%55%
Points / game79.381.277.1
Allowed / game76.176.475.7
Point differential+3.2+4.8+1.4
Avg total155.4157.6152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%31%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)0% (2)57% (7)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa2118386%90.183.4+6.8
2 San Lorenzo2117481%87.580.5+7.0
3 Gimnasia2519676%87.379.8+7.4
4 Instituto de Cordoba2215768%81.175.5+5.6
5 Comunicaciones Mercedes26161062%86.078.3+7.7
6 Ferro24141058%79.376.1+3.2
7 San Martin23131057%82.879.5+3.3
8 Regatas25131252%83.981.8+2.1
9 Olimpico24121250%82.981.0+1.9
10 Boca Juniors26131350%77.977.8+0.2
11 Weber Bahia26121446%90.895.3-4.4
12 Hispano Americano27121544%84.484.0+0.3
13 Obras Sanitarias26111542%84.383.2+1.1
14 Argentino26111542%77.483.3-5.9
15 Penarol27111641%83.384.2-0.9
16 La Union25101540%82.684.8-2.1
17 Atenas25101540%80.483.0-2.6
18 Platense2481633%75.882.5-6.7
19 Estudiantes2772026%69.977.3-7.3
20 Libertad2662023%71.083.5-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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