Penarol vs Ferro Prediction & Stats

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	82.1	74.8	156.9	+7.4	88%
Season at home (2)	78.5	66.5	145.0	+12.0	100%
Season away (6)	83.3	77.5	160.8	+5.8	83%
Last 10 (10)	81.2	75.7	156.9	+5.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	83.8	75.8	159.6	+8.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	71.5	81.0	152.5	-9.5	50%
vs Similar (19)	82.5	80.7	163.2	+1.8	47%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	82.0	76.6	158.6	+5.4	78%

This opponent (Ferro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ferro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormFerro

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

81-73

73avg 71

H30/05

Liga A

Gimnasia

54-88

-34

46avg 71

A03/06

Liga A

Argentino

68-79

-11

53avg 71

A01/10

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

97-92

88avg 71

A09/10

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

94-97 OT

-3

83avg 71

A10/10

Liga A

Atenas

86-91

-5

79avg 71

A13/10

Liga A

Platense

#11

86-81

81avg 71

H21/10

Liga A

Gimnasia

61-73

-12

49avg 71

A29/10

Liga A

San Martin

#18

84-87

-3

no box

H11/11

Liga A

Penarol

76-85

-9

no box

H13/11

Liga A

10-19

26-17

26-20

19-17

19-21

14-30

13-20

8-17

17-21

20-23

22-14

9-21

33-28

14-23

27-23

23-18

17-12

22-20

12-22

22-19

20-16

28-24

18-24

20-27

30-20

20-17

19-14

17-30

14-23

19-22

15-11

13-17

20-18

26-12

19-21

19-36

20-22

19-13

18-15

19-35

163.3Avg total

78.7Scored

84.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	81.5	85.6	167.1	-4.1	25%
Season at home (3)	82.0	84.3	166.3	-2.3	33%
Season away (5)	81.2	86.4	167.6	-5.2	20%
Last 10 (10)	78.7	84.6	163.3	-5.9	30%
Last 5 (5)	78.6	83.4	162.0	-4.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	82.8	87.6	170.4	-4.8	20%
vs Similar (24)	78.2	80.0	158.3	-1.8	46%
vs Weaker (1)	100.0	74.0	174.0	+26.0	100%

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PenarolFerro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.0	41.1	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.4	19.0	39.4	+1.4	42%	-
Last 30 away (18)	21.7	20.6	42.3	+1.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	18.4	39.1	+2.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	16.0	36.6	+4.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	19.5	41.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (19)	21.3	19.9	41.2	+1.4	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	20.9	20.2	41.1	+0.7	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.5	41.8	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	22.6	20.5	43.2	+2.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (19)	20.5	20.5	41.0	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.8	40.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.6	60%	-
vs Similar (24)	21.0	20.5	41.6	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	30.0	21.0	51.0	+9.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	21.4	40.8	-2.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.8	19.6	37.3	-1.8	25%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.4	22.6	43.1	-2.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.8	40.7	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	21.0	41.2	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	23.5	45.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (19)	19.1	22.2	41.2	-3.1	26%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	19.6	19.3	38.9	+0.2	44%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.8	40.8	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	22.6	16.5	39.1	+6.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (19)	19.9	21.8	41.7	-1.8	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.1	40.9	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	17.6	40.0	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	20.4	20.4	40.8	+0.0	60%	-
vs Similar (24)	20.7	19.9	40.6	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	29.0	15.0	44.0	+14.0	100%	-

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ferro

40-43

-3

H01/05

Liga A

Ferro

42-48

-6

H03/05

Liga A

Gimnasia

30-29

H30/09

Liga A

Lanus

#12

45-43

A14/10

Liga A

San Lorenzo

#17

45-44

A17/10

Liga A

San Martin

#18

48-32

+16

H28/10

Liga A

Quimsa

30-38

-8

A31/10

Liga A

Olimpico

43-35

A03/11

Liga A

Platense

#11

48-41

A11/11

Liga A

Ferro

#16

35-39

-4

A13/11

Liga A

79.8Avg total

40.6Scored

39.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	41.4	81.9	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	38.2	38.6	76.8	-0.4	42%	-
Last 30 away (18)	42.1	43.2	85.3	-1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	39.2	79.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	37.0	77.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	43.0	43.0	86.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (19)	40.3	42.1	82.4	-1.7	37%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	40.4	39.6	80.0	+0.9	67%	-

This opponent (Ferro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

36-36

H30/05

Liga A

Gimnasia

33-51

-18

A03/06

Liga A

Argentino

37-44

-7

A01/10

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

47-51

-4

A09/10

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

39-32

A10/10

Liga A

Atenas

48-40

A13/10

Liga A

Platense

#11

50-37

+13

H21/10

Liga A

Gimnasia

33-45

-12

A29/10

Liga A

San Martin

#18

46-30

+16

H11/11

Liga A

Penarol

39-35

H13/11

Liga A

80.9Avg total

40.8Scored

40.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	40.3	82.6	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	45.3	37.0	82.3	+8.3	82%	-
Last 30 away (19)	40.5	42.3	82.7	-1.8	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	40.1	80.9	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	37.4	80.6	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	41.2	40.6	81.8	+0.6	60%	-
vs Similar (24)	41.8	40.5	82.2	+1.3	54%	-
vs Weaker (1)	59.0	36.0	95.0	+23.0	100%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	18.6	39.4	+2.2	70%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.0	17.5	37.5	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	21.3	19.4	40.7	+1.9	72%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.2	39.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.4	40.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.0	17.5	33.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (19)	21.1	19.2	40.2	+1.9	68%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	21.3	17.8	39.1	+3.6	78%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	19.2	19.5	38.6	-0.3	55%	-
Last 30 away (19)	18.6	19.1	37.7	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	18.4	37.3	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	17.0	34.8	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-1.0	60%	-
vs Similar (24)	18.7	19.3	38.0	-0.6	46%	-
vs Weaker (1)	25.0	19.0	44.0	+6.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.5	39.7	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.6	18.8	39.3	+1.8	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.1	19.9	40.0	+0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	17.3	37.9	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	18.4	41.6	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	12.5	20.5	33.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (19)	21.1	19.5	40.6	+1.6	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	20.2	19.2	39.4	+1.0	44%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	20.7	38.7	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	18.6	22.5	41.2	-3.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (19)	17.6	19.7	37.3	-2.1	32%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	23.7	40.6	-6.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	29.0	46.6	-11.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	19.4	23.2	42.6	-3.8	40%	-
vs Similar (24)	17.8	20.3	38.1	-2.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	19.0	35.0	-3.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	38.1	79.2	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	40.6	36.2	76.8	+4.3	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	41.4	39.3	80.7	+2.1	72%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	36.5	77.1	+4.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	38.8	81.8	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	28.5	38.0	66.5	-9.5	0%	-
vs Similar (19)	42.2	38.6	80.8	+3.5	68%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	41.6	37.0	78.6	+4.6	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	40.0	76.8	-3.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	37.8	42.0	79.8	-4.2	27%	-
Last 30 away (19)	36.2	38.8	75.0	-2.6	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.8	42.1	77.9	-6.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	46.0	81.4	-10.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	37.4	42.2	79.6	-4.8	20%	-
vs Similar (24)	36.5	39.6	76.1	-3.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (1)	41.0	38.0	79.0	+3.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 82.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game

47%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.4	19.9	56.2%	54.4%	39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	8.4	32.3%	32.6%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	25.6	17.5	68.4%	72.7%	17.5

They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Ferrotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ferro: 77.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game

47%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.9	18.9	55.8%	54.4%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.4	7.5	25.5%	32.6%	22.5
🏀 Free throws	22.7	17.2	75.8%	72.7%	17.2

They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.7	18.9	54.5%	54.4%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.7	9.4	31.6%	32.6%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	19.2	13.5	70.3%	72.7%	13.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.2	18.9	55.3%	54.4%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.8	8.9	33.2%	32.6%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	23.5	16.2	68.9%	72.7%	16.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.3	18.9	55.2%	54.4%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	9.1	34.1%	32.6%	27.2
🏀 Free throws	23.8	17.1	71.6%	72.7%	17.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.8	19.1	56.4%	54.4%	38.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.6	8.7	29.5%	32.6%	26.2
🏀 Free throws	19.0	13.9	73.3%	72.7%	13.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.4	19.2	54.1%	54.4%	38.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.8	9.3	31.2%	32.6%	28.0
🏀 Free throws	19.9	13.8	69.4%	72.7%	13.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.5	18.7	54.2%	54.4%	37.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	8.8	34.1%	32.6%	26.5
🏀 Free throws	23.5	16.3	69.4%	72.7%	16.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Penarol

WWWLWWWWLW

Ferro

LLLWLLWLLW

League position

#16

+4.1

Net rating

-4.4

113.4

Offensive rating

107.2

109.3

Defensive rating

111.6

52.9%

Effective FG%

47.6%

51.2%

Opp. effective FG%

52.9%

0.0%

Turnover %

0.0%

0.42

Free-throw rate

0.36

32.3%

3-point %

25.5%

48.4%

Assist %

51.9%

80%

Form (last 10/10)

30%

Profile

■ Penarol ■ Ferro

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Penarol wins

Ferro wins

Date	Game	Score
13/11/26	Ferro v Penarol	76-85
03/05/26	Penarol v Ferro	68-84
01/05/26	Penarol v Ferro	87-75
26/04/26	Ferro v Penarol	80-78
24/04/26	Ferro v Penarol	97-91
20/04/26	Penarol v Ferro	87-80
28/09/25	Ferro v Penarol	97-84
27/04/25	Penarol v Ferro	73-75
09/10/24	Ferro v Penarol	84-82 OT
13/05/24	Penarol v Ferro	70-86

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/11/26	A	Ferro	85-76
11/11/26	A	Platense	79-75
03/11/26	A	Olimpico	87-74
31/10/26	A	Quimsa	73-78
28/10/26	H	San Martin	95-76
17/10/26	A	San Lorenzo	92-85
14/10/26	A	Lanus	84-77
30/09/26	H	Gimnasia	62-57
03/05/26	H	Ferro	68-84
01/05/26	H	Ferro	87-75

Ferrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/11/26	H	Penarol	76-85
11/11/26	H	San Martin	84-87
29/10/26	A	Gimnasia	61-73
21/10/26	H	Platense	86-81
13/10/26	A	Atenas	86-91
10/10/26	A	Instituto de Cordoba	94-97 OT
09/10/26	A	Independiente de Oliva	97-92
01/10/26	A	Argentino	68-79
03/06/26	A	Gimnasia	54-88
30/05/26	H	Gimnasia	81-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol

Liga A 2026-27

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	88%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WLWWW	83%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	2	6
Win %	88%	100%	83%
Points / game	82.1	78.5	83.3
Allowed / game	74.8	66.5	77.5
Point differential	+7.4	+12.0	+5.8
Avg total	156.9	145.0	160.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	50%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Ferro

Liga A 2026-27

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	25%
Home	WLL	33%
Away	LWLLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	3	5
Win %	25%	33%	20%
Points / game	81.5	82.0	81.2
Allowed / game	85.6	84.3	86.4
Point differential	-4.1	-2.3	-5.2
Avg total	167.1	166.3	167.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	50% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	12%	0%	20%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	8	7	1	88%	85.2	75.8	+9.5
2	Penarol	8	7	1	88%	82.1	74.8	+7.4
3	Gimnasia	12	9	3	75%	77.2	74.0	+3.2
4	Instituto de Cordoba	8	6	2	75%	77.9	76.5	+1.4
5	Atenas	7	5	2	71%	84.4	79.0	+5.4
6	Boca Juniors	8	5	3	62%	89.5	83.2	+6.2
7	Independiente de Oliva	4	2	2	50%	99.5	89.0	+10.5
8	Olimpico	8	4	4	50%	86.8	85.4	+1.4
9	Argentino	8	4	4	50%	77.9	79.5	-1.6
10	Obera TC	7	3	4	43%	80.0	83.1	-3.1
11	Platense	8	3	5	38%	76.9	78.6	-1.8
12	Lanus	11	4	7	36%	78.5	79.3	-0.7
13	Racing de Chivilcoy	9	3	6	33%	79.4	82.8	-3.3
14	La Union	6	2	4	33%	78.2	83.2	-5.0
15	Regatas	7	2	5	29%	73.3	75.7	-2.4
16	Ferro	8	2	6	25%	81.5	85.6	-4.1
17	San Lorenzo	8	2	6	25%	70.1	83.2	-13.1
18	San Martin	9	2	7	22%	81.6	87.4	-5.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

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Penarol vs Ferro Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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