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Penarol vs Ferro Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 13 May 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 70-86
24-26 14-21 9-24 23-15
Position#11
Record17-19
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Ferro 🏆
Argentina
Position#13
Record14-20
FormLWLWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game80.9
ArgentinaLiga A
Other2023-24
Meetings · Penarol v Ferro
12 Apr 2027
PENA v FERR
upcoming
10 Jan 2027
PENA v FERR
upcoming
02 May 2026
PENA68
FERR84
30 Apr 2026
PENA87
FERR75
19 Apr 2026
PENA87
FERR80
27 Apr 2025
PENA73
FERR75
12 May 2024
PENA70
FERR86
26 Nov 2022
PENA69
FERR64
01 Dec 2021
PENA80
FERR89
10 Oct 2021
PENA97
FERR101
08 Jan 2021
PENA111
FERR101
18 Mar 2020
PENA v FERR
upcoming
04 Mar 2019
PENA66
FERR88
26 Mar 2018
PENA96
FERR73
01 Feb 2017
PENA73
FERR75
18 Oct 2016
PENA76
FERR75
18 Mar 2016
PENA70
FERR75
25 Nov 2015
PENA88
FERR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ferro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Riachuelo
#14
L
78-93
78
93
-15
72avg 70
A06/04
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
W
80-75
80
75
+5
73avg 70
A08/04
Liga A
Obera TC
#12
W
74-57
74
57
+17
74avg 70
H11/04
Liga A
San Martin
#6
L
69-76
69
76
-7
60avg 70
H14/04
Liga A
Platense
#8
W
99-56
99
56
+43
101avg 70
H20/04
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#5
W
80-75
80
75
+5
77avg 70
H23/04
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
W
86-79
86
79
+7
76avg 70
A27/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
L
83-87
83
87
-4
73avg 70
A30/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
W
98-89
98
89
+9
98avg 70
A02/05
Liga A
Argentino
#17
W
84-77
84
77
+7
80avg 70
H11/05
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
17-19
25-27
17-26
22-18
32-23
10-18
16-16
16-21
22-10
21-9
15-17
15-15
23-14
11-20
20-27
27-19
24-16
24-13
24-8
26-14
16-22
22-19
16-20
15-21
25-19
21-19
25-20
20-20
22-12
21-24
20-31
31-21
27-23
26-18
14-27
21-19
20-16
28-16
15-26
159.5Avg total
83.1Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)79.080.4159.4-1.447%
Season at home (17)81.377.8159.1+3.559%
Season away (19)77.082.7159.7-5.737%
Last 10 (10)83.176.4159.5+6.770%
Last 5 (5)86.281.4167.6+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.581.5155.1-8.027%
vs Similar ◀ (17)82.776.6159.4+6.165%
vs Weaker (2)86.075.0161.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FerroArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFerro
Date
Competition
Union De Santa Fe
#19
L
82-96
82
96
-14
70avg 68
A11/03
Liga A
Argentino
#17
L
71-79
71
79
-8
62avg 68
A13/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
L
83-87
83
87
-4
69avg 68
A31/03
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
L
69-70
69
70
-1
64avg 68
H04/04
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#20
W
76-71
76
71
+5
70avg 68
H06/04
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
L
78-80
78
80
-2
71avg 68
A17/04
Liga A
Riachuelo
#14
W
86-73
86
73
+13
84avg 68
A19/04
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
64-112
64
112
-48
48avg 68
A21/04
Liga A
Platense
#8
W
84-79
84
79
+5
78avg 68
H26/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
W
97-84
97
84
+13
89avg 68
H06/05
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
18-27
19-23
23-19
20-19
9-24
22-22
20-14
20-25
17-16
22-25
24-21
16-15
21-18
20-15
12-22
18-15
24-23
17-20
17-13
17-20
20-30
14-11
27-19
33-15
20-18
14-24
19-16
19-33
17-27
17-24
11-28
25-18
15-23
23-17
21-21
26-30
31-24
22-14
18-16
162.1Avg total
79.0Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)77.080.9157.9-3.941%
Season at home (16)80.479.1159.4+1.356%
Season away (18)74.082.4156.4-8.428%
Last 10 (10)79.083.1162.1-4.140%
Last 5 (5)81.885.6167.4-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.584.6161.2-8.127%
vs Similar ◀ (17)76.878.7155.5-1.947%
vs Weaker (2)82.579.0161.5+3.5100%
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +0.3+0.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +0.3+0.3
PenarolFerro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Riachuelo
#14
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A06/04
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A08/04
Liga A
Obera TC
#12
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H11/04
Liga A
San Martin
#6
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H14/04
Liga A
Platense
#8
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H20/04
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#5
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H23/04
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A27/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A30/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
W
58-44
58
44
+14
A02/05
Liga A
Argentino
#17
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H11/05
Liga A
80.3Avg total
44.0Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.379.8+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.336.779.1+5.680%-
Last 30 away (15)40.739.880.5+0.940%-
Last 10 (10)44.036.380.3+7.780%-
Last 5 (5)44.637.482.0+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.937.477.3+2.564%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)42.738.881.5+3.959%-
vs Weaker (2)40.038.578.5+1.550%-
This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Union De Santa Fe
#19
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A11/03
Liga A
Argentino
#17
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A13/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A31/03
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H04/04
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#20
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H06/04
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A17/04
Liga A
Riachuelo
#14
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A19/04
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
36-60
36
60
-24
A21/04
Liga A
Platense
#8
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H26/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H06/05
Liga A
85.5Avg total
40.8Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.741.278.9-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.740.681.3+0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)35.141.776.8-6.619%-
Last 10 (10)40.844.785.5-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)44.647.692.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.044.281.2-7.218%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)37.438.976.3-1.541%-
vs Weaker (2)44.044.088.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Penarol wins
6
Ferro wins
DateGameScore
14/11/23Ferro v Penarol80-73
19/01/23Ferro v Penarol88-102
26/11/22Penarol v Ferro69-64
03/04/22Ferro v Penarol90-78
02/12/21Penarol v Ferro80-89
10/10/21Penarol v Ferro97-101 OT
20/01/21Ferro v Penarol90-98 OT
09/01/21Penarol v Ferro111-101 OT
16/02/20Ferro v Penarol80-69
05/03/19Penarol v Ferro66-88
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/24HArgentino84-77
02/05/24AObras Sanitarias98-89
30/04/24ABoca Juniors83-87
27/04/24AGimnasia86-79
23/04/24HSan Lorenzo80-75
20/04/24HPlatense99-56
14/04/24HSan Martin69-76
11/04/24HObera TC74-57
08/04/24AQuimsa80-75
06/04/24ARiachuelo78-93
Ferrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/24HObras Sanitarias97-84
26/04/24HPlatense84-79
21/04/24AQuimsa64-112
19/04/24ARiachuelo86-73
17/04/24AInstituto de Cordoba78-80
06/04/24HComunicaciones Mercedes76-71
04/04/24HBoca Juniors69-70
31/03/24AGimnasia83-87
13/03/24AArgentino71-79
11/03/24AUnion De Santa Fe82-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga A 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW47%
HomeWLWWW59%
AwayLWWLW37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361719
Win %47%59%37%
Points / game79.081.377.0
Allowed / game80.477.882.7
Point differential-1.4+3.5-5.7
Avg total159.4159.1159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%41%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ferro
Liga A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW41%
HomeLLWWW56%
AwayLLLWL28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341618
Win %41%56%28%
Points / game77.080.474.0
Allowed / game80.979.182.4
Point differential-3.9+1.3-8.4
Avg total157.9159.4156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%19%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)60% (5)29% (7)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa3630683%85.378.4+6.9
2 Instituto de Cordoba37261170%80.775.7+5.1
3 Olimpico35231266%83.976.0+7.9
4 Boca Juniors34211362%81.675.4+6.3
5 San Martin36221461%76.372.4+3.8
6 Gimnasia35211460%82.879.5+3.3
7 San Lorenzo35211460%75.772.6+3.1
8 Platense35211460%79.278.2+1.0
9 Obras Sanitarias35211460%85.385.4-0.1
10 Obera TC36191753%80.080.3-0.3
11 Regatas36171947%77.076.9+0.1
12 Penarol36171947%79.080.4-1.4
13 Zarate36152142%72.076.8-4.8
14 Ferro34142041%77.080.9-3.9
15 Riachuelo37152241%80.982.2-1.4
16 Independiente de Oliva34122235%78.681.7-3.1
17 La Union36122433%77.781.2-3.4
18 Argentino37102727%73.680.6-7.0
19 Comunicaciones Mercedes3492526%79.784.6-4.9
20 Union De Santa Fe3692725%79.586.6-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol241492370
Ferro2621241586
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