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Perth Lynx W vs Canberra Capitals W Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 75-49
21-14 13-15 23-12 18-8
Position#2
Record9-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game76.7
Perth Lynx W 🏆
Australia
vs
Canberra Capitals W
Australia
Position#5
Record6-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game77.8
AustraliaNBL WRound 10· Bendat Basketball Centre
Women2025-26
Meetings · Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W
23 Dec 2025
PERT75
CANB49
12 Dec 2024
PERT87
CANB63
18 Feb 2024
PERT94
CANB79
27 Dec 2023
PERT98
CANB90
12 Nov 2022
PERT97
CANB62
24 Mar 2022
PERT91
CANB77
12 Mar 2022
PERT80
CANB96
19 Jan 2022
PERT102
CANB73
10 Dec 2020
PERT69
CANB96
29 Dec 2019
PERT59
CANB76
31 Jan 2019
PERT75
CANB91
30 Nov 2018
PERT88
CANB84
10 Nov 2018
PERT71
CANB65
30 Nov 2017
PERT89
CANB76
11 Nov 2017
PERT85
CANB67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth Lynx W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Canberra Capitals W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Perth Lynx WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
77-76
77
76
+1
68avg 76
A01/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
70-79
70
79
-9
56avg 76
H04/11
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
79-76
79
76
+3
64avg 76
H09/11
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
L
69-88
69
88
-19
59avg 76
A11/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
W
79-64
79
64
+15
76avg 76
H16/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
58-87
58
87
-29
46avg 76
A23/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
91-67
91
67
+24
83avg 76
A29/11
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
98-81
98
81
+17
93avg 76
H05/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
W
97-81
97
81
+16
97avg 76
A14/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
109-82
109
82
+27
108avg 76
A21/12
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
20-22
18-20
19-19
17-26
26-18
7-18
20-17
18-22
21-20
13-24
27-10
25-23
19-15
14-26
11-24
21-19
17-16
28-15
13-14
20-16
13-21
10-23
15-27
23-17
20-19
27-21
21-10
33-21
30-14
23-25
12-21
25-26
24-23
25-19
23-13
31-29
30-17
25-20
23-16
160.8Avg total
82.7Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.276.7157.9+4.675%
Season at home (5)79.873.4153.2+6.480%
Season away (7)82.379.0161.3+3.371%
Last 10 (10)82.778.1160.8+4.670%
Last 5 (5)90.679.6170.2+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.378.3152.7-4.033%
vs Similar (6)87.287.3174.5-0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)84.477.1161.6+7.381%
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canberra Capitals WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
65-73
65
73
-8
54avg 72
A01/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
L
64-73
64
73
-9
55avg 72
A06/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
71-73
71
73
-2
59avg 72
A08/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
96-56
96
56
+40
97avg 72
H15/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
61-101
61
101
-40
40avg 72
A22/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
67-91
67
91
-24
55avg 72
H29/11
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
76-75
76
75
+1
70avg 72
A07/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
76-71
76
71
+5
70avg 72
H09/12
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
97-71
97
71
+26
96avg 72
H12/12
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
77-73
77
73
+4
76avg 72
H20/12
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
19-19
10-17
15-15
14-17
12-14
12-21
26-21
18-28
19-16
21-11
13-18
34-10
21-16
25-9
16-21
18-26
13-31
13-23
17-21
17-23
19-20
21-27
10-21
16-18
16-17
19-18
25-22
20-18
24-25
16-17
16-11
34-23
13-17
23-19
27-12
21-19
15-19
17-15
24-20
150.7Avg total
75.0Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)75.077.8152.8-2.850%
Season at home (6)80.577.8158.3+2.767%
Season away (6)69.577.7147.2-8.233%
Last 10 (10)75.075.7150.7-0.750%
Last 5 (5)78.676.2154.8+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)73.186.6159.7-13.531%
vs Similar (14)79.177.6156.7+1.650%
vs Weaker (3)84.368.7153.0+15.7100%
This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
Perth Lynx WCanberra Capitals W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Perth Lynx WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A01/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H04/11
NBL W
Southside W
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H09/11
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A11/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H16/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A23/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A29/11
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
63-35
63
35
+28
H05/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A14/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
61-46
61
46
+15
A21/12
NBL W
85.2Avg total
45.3Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.940.584.4+3.457%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.538.382.8+6.262%-
Last 30 away (17)43.442.285.6+1.253%-
Last 10 (10)45.339.985.2+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)49.840.690.4+9.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.738.379.0+2.367%-
vs Similar (6)43.245.388.5-2.217%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)44.639.484.0+5.167%-
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canberra Capitals WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A01/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A06/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A08/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
55-26
55
26
+29
H15/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A22/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H29/11
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A07/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H09/12
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H12/12
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H20/12
NBL W
78.2Avg total
38.4Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.442.081.4-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.440.182.5+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)36.343.980.2-7.520%-
Last 10 (10)38.439.878.2-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.878.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.246.684.8-8.531%-
vs Similar (14)39.838.678.4+1.143%-
vs Weaker (3)42.737.780.3+5.067%-
This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perth Lynx Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth Lynx W: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.121.0
48.7%
47.8%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.6
32.2%
32.8%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.713.9
70.6%
73.3%13.9
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Canberra Capitals Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Canberra Capitals W: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.721.2
46.4%
47.8%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.67.2
33.3%
32.8%21.6
🏀 Free throws16.111.2
69.6%
73.3%11.2
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth Lynx W
WWWWLWLWLW
Canberra Capitals W
WWWWLLWLLL
#2
League position
#5
+5.7
Net rating
+0.5
104.9
Offensive rating
97.6
99.3
Defensive rating
97.1
48.6%
Effective FG%
47.5%
45.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
16.4%
Turnover %
20.7%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.2%
3-point %
33.3%
58.1%
Assist %
64.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 97.6Defence99.3 · 97.1Shooting48.6% · 47.5%3-point %32.2% · 33.3%Ball care16.4% · 20.7%Off. rebounds31.2% · 33.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Perth Lynx W   ■ Canberra Capitals W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Perth Lynx W wins
1
Canberra Capitals W wins
DateGameScore
29/11/25Canberra Capitals W v Perth Lynx W67-91
29/12/24Canberra Capitals W v Perth Lynx W80-89
12/12/24Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W87-63
14/11/24Canberra Capitals W v Perth Lynx W90-92
18/02/24Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W94-79
11/01/24Canberra Capitals W v Perth Lynx W81-75
27/12/23Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W98-90
04/03/23Canberra Capitals W v Perth Lynx W94-107
21/12/22Canberra Capitals W v Perth Lynx W83-97
12/11/22Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W97-62
Perth Lynx Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25AAdelaide Lightning W109-82
14/12/25ATownsville W97-81
05/12/25HSouthside W98-81
29/11/25ACanberra Capitals W91-67
23/11/25ABendigo W58-87
16/11/25HBendigo W79-64
11/11/25AGeelong Venom W69-88
09/11/25HSouthside W79-76
04/11/25HTownsville W70-79
01/11/25AGeelong Venom W77-76
Canberra Capitals Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25HGeelong Venom W77-73
12/12/25HSouthside W97-71
09/12/25HAdelaide Lightning W76-71
07/12/25AGeelong Venom W76-75
29/11/25HPerth Lynx W67-91
22/11/25ATownsville W61-101
15/11/25HSydney W96-56
08/11/25ABendigo W71-73
06/11/25ASydney W64-73
01/11/25AAdelaide Lightning W65-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth Lynx W
NBL W 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW75%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %75%80%71%
Points / game81.279.882.3
Allowed / game76.773.479.0
Point differential+4.6+6.4+3.3
Avg total157.9153.2161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%40%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Canberra Capitals W
NBL W 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW50%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game75.080.569.5
Allowed / game77.877.877.7
Point differential-2.8+2.7-8.2
Avg total152.8158.3147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W1412286%75.967.0+8.9
2 Townsville W1311285%89.070.8+18.2
3 Perth Lynx W129375%81.276.7+4.6
4 Canberra Capitals W126650%75.077.8-2.8
5 Southside W124833%74.378.5-4.2
6 Adelaide Lightning W134931%76.584.2-7.8
7 Geelong Venom W1431121%75.479.6-4.2
8 Sydney W1431121%73.385.6-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth Lynx W2113231875
Canberra Capitals W141512849
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