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Perth Lynx W vs Canberra Capitals W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 94-79
18-15 28-17 16-27 32-20
Position#4
Record9-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game84.5
Perth Lynx W 🏆
Australia
vs
Canberra Capitals W
Australia
Position#8
Record4-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game83.9
AustraliaNBL W· Bendat Basketball Centre (Perth)
Women2023-24
Meetings · Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W
23 Dec 2025
PERT75
CANB49
12 Dec 2024
PERT87
CANB63
18 Feb 2024
PERT94
CANB79
27 Dec 2023
PERT98
CANB90
12 Nov 2022
PERT97
CANB62
24 Mar 2022
PERT91
CANB77
12 Mar 2022
PERT80
CANB96
19 Jan 2022
PERT102
CANB73
10 Dec 2020
PERT69
CANB96
29 Dec 2019
PERT59
CANB76
31 Jan 2019
PERT75
CANB91
30 Nov 2018
PERT88
CANB84
10 Nov 2018
PERT71
CANB65
30 Nov 2017
PERT89
CANB76
11 Nov 2017
PERT85
CANB67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth Lynx W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Canberra Capitals W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Perth Lynx WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Southside W
#1
W
95-85
95
85
+10
85avg 73
H23/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
98-90
98
90
+8
89avg 73
H27/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
64-87
64
87
-23
53avg 73
A31/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
91-104
91
104
-13
81avg 73
A03/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
84-68
84
68
+16
81avg 73
H07/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
L
75-81
75
81
-6
56avg 73
A11/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
84-87
84
87
-3
75avg 73
A14/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
74-95
74
95
-21
60avg 73
H20/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
76-90
76
90
-14
66avg 73
A24/01
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
70-91
70
91
-21
57avg 73
A31/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
21-21
29-23
18-16
15-27
27-19
33-24
23-20
23-24
15-14
13-22
13-27
30-23
22-31
19-26
20-24
20-14
17-14
31-21
16-19
19-17
17-20
23-19
16-25
16-24
25-21
20-22
23-20
21-28
19-20
22-17
12-30
9-33
32-18
16-26
19-13
25-19
17-34
11-14
17-24
168.9Avg total
81.1Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)83.284.5167.6-1.347%
Season at home (10)85.081.3166.3+3.770%
Season away (9)81.188.0169.1-6.922%
Last 10 (10)81.187.8168.9-6.730%
Last 5 (5)75.888.8164.6-13.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.890.4171.1-9.612%
vs Similar (15)83.983.5167.5+0.453%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)96.686.6183.1+10.086%
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canberra Capitals WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
86-73
86
73
+13
80avg 65
H21/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
90-98
90
98
-8
82avg 65
A27/12
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
75-65
75
65
+10
68avg 65
A06/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
W
81-75
81
75
+6
74avg 65
H11/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
66-88
66
88
-22
54avg 65
A14/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
65-90
65
90
-25
46avg 65
A19/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
75-93
75
93
-18
60avg 65
A25/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
67-84
67
84
-17
53avg 65
A28/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
83-91
83
91
-8
79avg 65
H30/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
77-85
77
85
-8
67avg 65
H15/02
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
19-19
23-18
20-22
27-15
19-27
24-33
20-23
14-20
16-14
21-14
24-17
17-19
20-17
19-23
25-16
24-22
21-23
11-30
10-13
17-18
13-24
19-27
16-21
14-25
26-29
16-14
19-25
26-23
15-16
12-18
14-27
16-25
24-22
16-29
27-15
20-27
18-22
21-17
18-19
160.7Avg total
76.5Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)75.383.9159.3-8.621%
Season at home (9)77.182.0159.1-4.933%
Season away (10)73.785.7159.4-12.010%
Last 10 (10)76.584.2160.7-7.730%
Last 5 (5)73.488.6162.0-15.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)76.885.3162.1-8.420%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
Perth Lynx WCanberra Capitals W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Perth Lynx WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southside W
#1
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H23/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H27/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A31/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A03/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H07/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A11/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A14/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H20/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A24/01
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A31/01
NBL W
86.3Avg total
41.7Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.843.388.1+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.542.085.5+1.557%-
Last 30 away (16)45.944.490.3+1.444%-
Last 10 (10)41.744.686.3-2.920%-
Last 5 (5)40.046.886.8-6.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)44.446.991.2-2.538%-
vs Similar (15)42.442.184.5+0.347%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)50.341.792.0+8.671%-
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canberra Capitals WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H21/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A27/12
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A06/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H11/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A14/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A19/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A25/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A28/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H30/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H15/02
NBL W
81.1Avg total
39.0Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.743.281.9-4.423%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.644.284.8-3.731%-
Last 30 away (14)36.641.978.6-5.314%-
Last 10 (10)39.042.181.1-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.846.284.0-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)38.743.281.9-4.423%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perth Lynx Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth Lynx W: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.620.9
45.8%
47.3%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.4
30.7%
32.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.216.1
75.9%
74.3%16.1
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Canberra Capitals Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Canberra Capitals W: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.219.8
44.8%
47.3%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.77.9
30.7%
32.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws15.512.0
77.4%
74.3%12.0
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth Lynx W
LLLLLWLLWW
Canberra Capitals W
LLLLLLWWLW
#4
League position
#8
-8.7
Net rating
-10.7
100.0
Offensive rating
97.3
108.7
Defensive rating
108.1
45.9%
Effective FG%
45.3%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
18.3%
Turnover %
18.9%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.22
30.7%
3-point %
30.7%
54.1%
Assist %
53.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 97.3Defence108.7 · 108.1Shooting45.9% · 45.3%3-point %30.7% · 30.7%Ball care18.3% · 18.9%Off. rebounds31.5% · 33.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Perth Lynx W   ■ Canberra Capitals W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Perth Lynx W wins
3
Canberra Capitals W wins
DateGameScore
11/01/24Canberra Capitals W v Perth Lynx W81-75
27/12/23Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W98-90
04/03/23Canberra Capitals W v Perth Lynx W94-107
21/12/22Canberra Capitals W v Perth Lynx W83-97
12/11/22Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W97-62
24/03/22Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W91-77
12/03/22Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W80-96
19/01/22Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W102-73
14/01/22Canberra Capitals W v Perth Lynx W69-88
10/12/20Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W69-96
Perth Lynx Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/24ASouthside W70-91
24/01/24AGeelong United W76-90
20/01/24HBendigo W74-95
14/01/24ASydney W84-87
11/01/24ACanberra Capitals W75-81
07/01/24HAdelaide Lightning W84-68
03/01/24ATownsville W91-104
31/12/23ATownsville W64-87
27/12/23HCanberra Capitals W98-90
23/12/23HSouthside W95-85
Canberra Capitals Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/24HBendigo W77-85
30/01/24HTownsville W83-91
28/01/24AAdelaide Lightning W67-84
25/01/24ABendigo W75-93
19/01/24ASydney W65-90
14/01/24ABendigo W66-88
11/01/24HPerth Lynx W81-75
06/01/24ASouthside W75-65
27/12/23APerth Lynx W90-98
21/12/23HAdelaide Lightning W86-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth Lynx W
NBL W 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL47%
HomeWWWWL70%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %47%70%22%
Points / game83.285.081.1
Allowed / game84.581.388.0
Point differential-1.3+3.7-6.9
Avg total167.6166.3169.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%50%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%11%
Canberra Capitals W
NBL W 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeWWWLL33%
AwayWLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %21%33%10%
Points / game75.377.173.7
Allowed / game83.982.085.7
Point differential-8.6-4.9-12.0
Avg total159.3159.1159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%22%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Townsville W1913668%79.573.6+5.8
2 Southside W1912763%80.176.4+3.7
3 Geelong United W2011955%74.572.0+2.5
4 Bendigo W2011955%78.275.8+2.5
5 Sydney W2011955%74.874.8+0.0
6 Perth Lynx W1991047%83.284.5-1.3
7 Adelaide Lightning W2071335%71.576.0-4.6
8 Canberra Capitals W1941521%75.383.9-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth Lynx W1828163294
Canberra Capitals W1517272079
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