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Perth Lynx W vs Canberra Capitals W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 98-90
15-27 27-19 33-24 23-20
Position#4
Record7-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game81.2
Perth Lynx W 🏆
Australia
vs
Canberra Capitals W
Australia
Position#8
Record2-8
FormLLLWW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game82.6
AustraliaNBL W· Bendat Basketball Centre
Women2023-24
Meetings · Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W
23 Dec 2025
PERT75
CANB49
12 Dec 2024
PERT87
CANB63
18 Feb 2024
PERT94
CANB79
27 Dec 2023
PERT98
CANB90
12 Nov 2022
PERT97
CANB62
24 Mar 2022
PERT91
CANB77
12 Mar 2022
PERT80
CANB96
19 Jan 2022
PERT102
CANB73
10 Dec 2020
PERT69
CANB96
29 Dec 2019
PERT59
CANB76
31 Jan 2019
PERT75
CANB91
30 Nov 2018
PERT88
CANB84
10 Nov 2018
PERT71
CANB65
30 Nov 2017
PERT89
CANB76
11 Nov 2017
PERT85
CANB67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth Lynx W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Canberra Capitals W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Perth Lynx WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#6
W
85-71
85
71
+14
78avg 77
H03/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
92-85
92
85
+7
81avg 77
H11/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
W
86-76
86
76
+10
81avg 77
H17/11
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
92-94
92
94
-2
82avg 77
A22/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
76-92
76
92
-16
72avg 77
H25/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
80-63
80
63
+17
70avg 77
A03/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
62-93
62
93
-31
49avg 77
H07/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
no box
A10/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
98-58
98
58
+40
98avg 77
H13/12
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
95-85
95
85
+10
85avg 77
H23/12
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
18-16
18-18
29-24
17-27
25-17
24-28
26-13
24-20
22-22
21-14
19-20
32-17
22-17
17-30
21-30
23-22
26-23
10-28
17-19
19-19
23-9
14-25
24-10
22-17
17-26
19-23
4-27
13-26
23-23
25-19
27-20
23-19
29-14
26-8
20-17
27-25
21-21
29-23
18-16
167.6Avg total
86.4Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.481.2167.6+5.270%
Season at home (7)84.980.0164.9+4.971%
Season away (3)90.084.0174.0+6.067%
Last 10 (10)86.481.2167.6+5.270%
Last 5 (5)86.678.8165.4+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.189.8170.9-8.612%
vs Similar (12)86.682.6169.2+4.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)92.479.4171.8+13.0100%
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canberra Capitals WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
79-82
79
82
-3
70avg 65
H05/11
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
79-104
79
104
-25
68avg 65
H08/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
81-86
81
86
-5
68avg 65
A15/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
73-85
73
85
-12
65avg 65
A18/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
81-87 OT
81
87
-6
no box
A26/11
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
64-81
64
81
-17
58avg 65
A02/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
70-72
70
72
-2
55avg 65
H08/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
55-84
55
84
-29
37avg 65
H10/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
84-72
84
72
+12
80avg 65
H15/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
86-73
86
73
+13
80avg 65
H21/12
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-31
23-27
16-12
20-12
20-27
20-22
15-28
24-27
26-29
19-23
15-16
21-18
16-20
17-21
21-24
19-20
20-16
18-23
15-17
23-20
10-24
21-14
17-21
16-22
14-22
18-22
23-5
15-23
19-18
13-19
11-25
12-22
20-16
26-21
19-21
19-14
24-14
19-19
23-18
20-22
157.8Avg total
75.2Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.282.6157.8-7.420%
Season at home (6)75.581.2156.7-5.733%
Season away (4)74.884.8159.5-10.00%
Last 10 (10)75.282.6157.8-7.420%
Last 5 (5)71.876.4148.2-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)75.587.6163.1-12.113%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.1-1.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.1-1.1
Perth Lynx WCanberra Capitals W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Perth Lynx WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#6
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H03/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H11/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H17/11
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
54-34
54
34
+20
A22/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H25/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A03/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H07/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A10/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H13/12
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H23/12
NBL W
83.9Avg total
44.6Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.942.887.7+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.941.684.6+1.359%-
Last 30 away (13)47.544.291.8+3.362%-
Last 10 (10)44.639.383.9+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)43.439.883.2+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)43.147.490.5-4.238%-
vs Similar (12)43.641.885.4+1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)48.040.288.2+7.890%-
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canberra Capitals WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
43-58
43
58
-15
H05/11
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H08/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A15/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A18/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A26/11
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A02/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H08/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H10/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H15/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H21/12
NBL W
81.1Avg total
38.3Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.344.182.4-5.820%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.145.086.1-3.931%-
Last 30 away (14)35.143.078.1-7.97%-
Last 10 (10)38.342.881.1-4.520%-
Last 5 (5)36.837.874.6-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)38.344.182.4-5.820%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perth Lynx Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth Lynx W: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.221.2
50.3%
47.3%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.1
31.4%
32.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.714.9
79.8%
74.3%14.9
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Canberra Capitals Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Canberra Capitals W: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.118.2
45.4%
47.3%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.6
32.0%
32.7%25.7
🏀 Free throws16.111.8
73.1%
74.3%11.8
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/9 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth Lynx W
WWWLWLLWWW
Canberra Capitals W
WWLLLLLLLL
#4
League position
#8
+8.2
Net rating
-8.8
103.6
Offensive rating
94.9
95.5
Defensive rating
103.7
49.0%
Effective FG%
46.4%
45.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
17.3%
Turnover %
19.8%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.4%
3-point %
32.0%
59.0%
Assist %
57.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence103.6 · 94.9Defence95.5 · 103.7Shooting49.0% · 46.4%3-point %31.4% · 32.0%Ball care17.3% · 19.8%Off. rebounds28.0% · 28.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Perth Lynx W   ■ Canberra Capitals W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Perth Lynx W wins
4
Canberra Capitals W wins
DateGameScore
04/03/23Canberra Capitals W v Perth Lynx W94-107
21/12/22Canberra Capitals W v Perth Lynx W83-97
12/11/22Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W97-62
24/03/22Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W91-77
12/03/22Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W80-96
19/01/22Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W102-73
14/01/22Canberra Capitals W v Perth Lynx W69-88
10/12/20Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W69-96
26/11/20Canberra Capitals W v Perth Lynx W73-70
22/01/20Canberra Capitals W v Perth Lynx W89-75
Perth Lynx Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23HSouthside W95-85
13/12/23HSydney W98-58
10/12/23AAdelaide Lightning W98-95 OT
07/12/23HGeelong United W62-93
03/12/23AGeelong United W80-63
25/11/23HTownsville W76-92
22/11/23ASouthside W92-94
17/11/23HBendigo W86-76
11/11/23HAdelaide Lightning W92-85
03/11/23HSydney W85-71
Canberra Capitals Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/23HAdelaide Lightning W86-73
15/12/23HGeelong United W84-72
10/12/23HTownsville W55-84
08/12/23HSydney W70-72
02/12/23ASouthside W64-81
26/11/23AGeelong United W81-87 OT
18/11/23ATownsville W73-85
15/11/23ASydney W81-86
08/11/23HSouthside W79-104
05/11/23HAdelaide Lightning W79-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth Lynx W
NBL W 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW70%
HomeWLLWW71%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %70%71%67%
Points / game86.484.990.0
Allowed / game81.280.084.0
Point differential+5.2+4.9+6.0
Avg total167.6164.9174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%57%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %10%0%33%
Canberra Capitals W
NBL W 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW20%
HomeLLLWW33%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game75.275.574.8
Allowed / game82.681.284.8
Point differential-7.4-5.7-10.0
Avg total157.8156.7159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %10%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Townsville W108280%80.667.8+12.8
2 Perth Lynx W107370%86.481.2+5.2
3 Geelong United W117464%75.573.4+2.1
4 Southside W106460%80.978.5+2.4
5 Sydney W116555%70.975.6-4.7
6 Bendigo W103730%72.477.7-5.3
7 Adelaide Lightning W123925%70.774.7-4.0
8 Canberra Capitals W102820%75.282.6-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth Lynx W1527332398
Canberra Capitals W2719242090
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