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Pesaro vs Sebastiani Rieti Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 91-73
18-13 25-19 25-19 23-22
Position#3
Record12-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game76.9
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#10
Record10-7
FormWLLLW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game77.6
ItalySerie A2Round 18· Vitrifrigo Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pesaro v Sebastiani Rieti
20 Dec 2026
PES v SEBA
upcoming
21 Dec 2025
PES91
SEBA73
09 Mar 2025
PES78
SEBA85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sebastiani Rieti winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#19
W
82-73
82
73
+9
70avg 79
H29/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
95-75
95
75
+20
96avg 79
A02/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
71-69
71
69
+2
60avg 79
H09/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
93-72
93
72
+21
95avg 79
H12/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
93-72
93
72
+21
100avg 79
A15/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
68-79
68
79
-11
59avg 79
H23/11
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
91-88
91
88
+3
91avg 79
A26/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
81-90
81
90
-9
75avg 79
H30/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
64-68
64
68
-4
52avg 79
A07/12
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
80-66
80
66
+14
79avg 79
H14/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-18
23-18
22-10
26-27
22-25
23-19
24-16
26-15
20-15
13-16
20-20
18-18
20-15
26-20
23-19
24-18
19-13
24-16
25-20
25-23
19-23
12-18
20-19
17-19
24-24
23-20
24-17
20-27
17-29
26-22
19-22
19-17
16-16
15-15
15-16
18-21
15-15
18-21
23-18
24-12
157.0Avg total
81.8Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.976.9158.8+4.971%
Season at home (9)79.275.8155.0+3.467%
Season away (8)84.978.2163.1+6.675%
Last 10 (10)81.875.2157.0+6.670%
Last 5 (5)76.878.2155.0-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.084.0166.0-2.00%
vs Similar ◀ (19)79.280.6159.8-1.442%
vs Weaker (10)90.178.8168.9+11.390%
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRieti
Date
Competition
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
101-78
101
78
+23
104avg 72
H29/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
102-94
102
94
+8
104avg 72
A01/11
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
86-61
86
61
+25
91avg 72
A09/11
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
68-88
68
88
-20
61avg 72
H12/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
76-74
76
74
+2
65avg 72
A16/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
94-76
94
76
+18
96avg 72
H22/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
79-95
79
95
-16
72avg 72
A26/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
72-82
72
82
-10
65avg 72
A07/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
64-75
64
75
-11
58avg 72
H14/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
87-76
87
76
+11
88avg 72
H17/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
22-25
25-23
28-12
19-21
26-28
33-27
24-18
19-15
30-19
23-16
14-11
20-23
13-24
15-23
20-18
20-20
18-20
19-15
19-19
27-16
18-21
26-24
23-15
27-21
14-26
21-26
17-22
17-19
23-20
22-18
10-25
16-20
14-22
13-18
21-15
23-20
21-19
19-22
24-15
162.8Avg total
82.9Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)80.377.6157.9+2.759%
Season at home (9)78.975.6154.4+3.356%
Season away (8)81.979.9161.8+2.062%
Last 10 (10)82.979.9162.8+3.060%
Last 5 (5)79.280.8160.0-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.281.2154.3-8.017%
vs Similar ◀ (16)74.974.9149.8-0.162%
vs Weaker (8)88.177.6165.8+10.575%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +3.0+3.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +3.0+3.0
PesaroSebastiani Rieti
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#19
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H29/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A02/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H09/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H12/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A15/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H23/11
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A26/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H30/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A07/12
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H14/12
Serie A2
76.4Avg total
38.6Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.440.181.4+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.638.178.7+2.443%-
Last 30 away (16)42.141.883.8+0.356%-
Last 10 (10)38.637.876.4+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)37.040.677.6-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.038.086.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)39.840.480.2-0.537%-
vs Weaker (10)43.639.783.3+3.970%-
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H29/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A01/11
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A09/11
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H12/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A16/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H22/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A26/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A07/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H14/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H17/12
Serie A2
83.0Avg total
41.3Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.438.376.7+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.836.273.0+0.650%-
Last 30 away (14)40.140.780.9-0.643%-
Last 10 (10)41.341.783.0-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.040.880.8-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.840.375.2-5.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)38.637.375.9+1.244%-
vs Weaker (8)40.638.879.4+1.962%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.1
54.4%
50.8%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.1
35.1%
34.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws19.614.5
74.0%
74.4%14.5
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.621.2
54.9%
50.8%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.37.9
38.9%
34.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.615.8
76.7%
74.4%15.8
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
WLLWLWWWWW
Sebastiani Rieti
WLLLWWLWWW
#3
League position
#10
+9.4
Net rating
+4.1
111.5
Offensive rating
111.4
102.1
Defensive rating
107.4
53.5%
Effective FG%
56.1%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
13.8%
Turnover %
18.9%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.1%
3-point %
38.9%
67.0%
Assist %
61.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 111.4Defence102.1 · 107.4Shooting53.5% · 56.1%3-point %35.1% · 38.9%Ball care13.8% · 18.9%Off. rebounds24.3% · 27.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Pesaro   ■ Sebastiani Rieti
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pesaro wins
2
Sebastiani Rieti wins
DateGameScore
09/03/25Pesaro v Sebastiani Rieti78-85
12/10/24Sebastiani Rieti v Pesaro86-80
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/25HCento80-66
07/12/25ABrindisi64-68
30/11/25HBasket Torino81-90
26/11/25AForli91-88
23/11/25HCividale68-79
15/11/25AUrania Milano93-72
12/11/25HAvellino Basket93-72
09/11/25HScafati71-69
02/11/25AJuVi Cremona95-75
29/10/25HPistoia82-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/25HBrindisi87-76
14/12/25HLibertas Livorno64-75
07/12/25ABasket Torino72-82
26/11/25AScafati79-95
22/11/25HUrania Milano94-76
16/11/25AJuVi Cremona76-74
12/11/25HBlu Basket Bergamo68-88
09/11/25AVerona86-61
01/11/25AMestre102-94
29/10/25HRuvo Di Puglia101-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW71%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayLWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game81.979.284.9
Allowed / game76.975.878.2
Point differential+4.9+3.4+6.6
Avg total158.8155.0163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%33%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW59%
HomeWLWLW56%
AwayWWWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %59%56%62%
Points / game80.378.981.9
Allowed / game77.675.679.9
Point differential+2.7+3.3+2.0
Avg total157.9154.4161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%44%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro1712571%81.976.9+4.9
2 Rimini1711665%81.976.4+5.5
3 Brindisi1711665%78.273.1+5.1
4 Verona1711665%77.973.9+4.0
5 Libertas Livorno1811761%77.672.3+5.3
6 Avellino Basket1811761%81.077.0+4.0
7 Cividale1811761%77.675.6+2.0
8 Sebastiani Rieti1710759%80.377.6+2.7
9 Fortitudo Bologna1710759%75.172.7+2.4
10 Scafati179853%82.479.4+3.0
11 Basket Torino179853%73.573.8-0.3
12 Blu Basket Bergamo168850%82.481.1+1.3
13 Cento178947%78.679.4-0.7
14 Mestre178947%78.880.7-1.9
15 Pistoia1761135%78.881.9-3.1
16 Forli1761135%76.180.8-4.8
17 Urania Milano1761135%77.583.6-6.2
18 JuVi Cremona1761135%73.279.6-6.4
19 Ruvo Di Puglia1741324%74.685.0-10.4
20 Roseto1731418%79.886.8-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro1825252391
Sebastiani Rieti1319192273
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