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Phoenix Suns vs Charlotte Hornets Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 09 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 111-99
28-30 32-28 21-19 30-22
Position#16
Record36-26
FormLWWLW
Points / game112.5
Allowed / game110.8
vs
Position#14
Record32-32
FormWWWWL
Points / game116.2
Allowed / game112.5
USANBA· Mortgage Matchup Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Charlotte Hornets
12 Nov 2026
PHX v CHA
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
PHX111
CHA99
12 Jan 2025
PHX120
CHA113
29 Dec 2023
PHX133
CHA119
24 Jan 2023
PHX128
CHA97
19 Dec 2021
PHX137
CHA106
24 Feb 2021
PHX121
CHA124
12 Jan 2020
PHX100
CHA92
06 Jan 2019
PHX113
CHA119
04 Feb 2018
PHX110
CHA115
02 Mar 2017
PHX120
CHA103
06 Jan 2016
PHX111
CHA102
14 Nov 2014
PHX95
CHA103
01 Feb 2014
PHX105
CHA95
19 Dec 2012
PHX121
CHA104
04 Feb 2012
PHX95
CHA89
26 Jan 2011
PHX107
CHA114
26 Jan 2010
PHX109
CHA114
24 Feb 2009
PHX112
CHA102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Charlotte Hornets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
120-111
120
111
+9
114avg 102
H11/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
109-136
109
136
-27
100avg 102
H12/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
94-121
94
121
-27
74avg 102
A20/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
113-110 OT
113
110
+3
91avg 102
H21/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
77-92
77
92
-15
62avg 102
H23/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
81-97
81
97
-16
66avg 102
H25/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
113-110
113
110
+3
103avg 102
H27/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
114-103
114
103
+11
112avg 102
A04/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
103-105
103
105
-2
90avg 102
H06/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
118-116
118
116
+2
107avg 102
H07/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-16
29-32
31-27
24-36
25-37
27-38
28-37
29-24
25-30
24-31
22-37
23-23
21-25
22-26
34-22
19-23
20-20
20-27
17-24
20-21
26-21
20-29
11-30
24-17
22-27
27-22
31-31
33-30
22-30
37-25
31-20
24-28
20-24
30-31
27-28
26-22
26-29
32-23
34-29
26-35
214.3Avg total
104.2Scored
110.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (62)112.5110.8223.2+1.758%
Season at home (34)111.2108.2219.5+3.062%
Season away (28)114.0113.8227.8+0.154%
Last 10 (10)104.2110.1214.3-5.950%
Last 5 (5)105.8106.2212.0-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)103.6108.6212.2-5.050%
vs Similar ◀ (13)107.0110.4217.4-3.438%
vs Weaker (9)116.1105.2221.3+10.989%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHornets
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
110-107
110
107
+3
100avg 107
H12/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
101-105
101
105
-4
96avg 107
H20/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
113-118
113
118
-5
103avg 107
H21/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
129-112
129
112
+17
128avg 107
A22/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
131-99
131
99
+32
128avg 107
A25/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
133-109
133
109
+24
138avg 107
A27/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
109-93
109
93
+16
102avg 107
H28/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
117-90
117
90
+27
117avg 107
H04/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
118-89
118
89
+29
110avg 107
A05/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
120-128
120
128
-8
110avg 107
H07/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-27
23-22
31-26
21-32
33-24
19-29
26-27
23-25
20-30
33-29
36-31
24-28
38-37
23-19
44-28
24-28
31-31
25-24
42-16
33-28
31-34
36-12
40-36
26-27
29-17
22-26
23-24
35-26
31-23
26-25
35-24
25-18
35-23
29-20
27-25
27-21
27-30
34-28
40-40
19-30
223.1Avg total
118.1Scored
105.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (64)116.2112.5228.7+3.650%
Season at home (31)113.2112.3225.5+0.945%
Season away (33)118.9112.8231.7+6.255%
Last 10 (10)118.1105.0223.1+13.170%
Last 5 (5)119.4101.8221.2+17.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)124.097.0221.0+27.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (15)111.5106.0217.5+5.553%
vs Weaker (14)121.1104.9225.9+16.286%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +6.7+6.7Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +6.7+6.7Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
Phoenix SunsCharlotte Hornets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
65-48
65
48
+17
H11/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
52-75
52
75
-23
H12/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A20/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H21/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H23/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H25/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H27/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A04/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H06/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H07/03
NBA
105.4Avg total
51.1Scored
54.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.755.9111.6-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (19)53.253.7106.9-0.542%-
Last 30 away (11)60.059.7119.7+0.355%-
Last 10 (10)51.154.3105.4-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)52.452.2104.6+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)55.157.9113.0-2.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)51.856.3108.2-4.523%-
vs Weaker (9)61.853.6115.3+8.289%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H12/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H20/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
53-59
53
59
-6
H21/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
61-56
61
56
+5
A22/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A25/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
67-46
67
46
+21
A27/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H28/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H04/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
64-43
64
43
+21
A05/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H07/03
NBA
109.0Avg total
58.0Scored
51.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.151.9110.0+6.267%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.353.2108.5+2.157%-
Last 30 away (16)60.650.8111.4+9.975%-
Last 10 (10)58.051.0109.0+7.080%-
Last 5 (5)60.047.6107.6+12.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)67.050.0117.0+17.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)55.950.3106.2+5.560%-
vs Weaker (14)59.953.7113.6+6.271%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 104.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.823.5
49.2%
54.8%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.315.4
33.3%
35.8%46.2
🏀 Free throws15.511.0
71.0%
78.1%11.0
They take 94.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 46.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 118.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀35%
🏀🏀🏀51%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers59.7 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.8
51.5%
54.8%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers49.219.9
40.4%
35.8%59.7
🏀 Free throws20.716.8
81.2%
78.1%16.8
They take 89.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 49.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 55% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
WLWWLLWLLW
Charlotte Hornets
LWWWWWWLLW
#16
League position
#14
-6.0
Net rating
+13.4
106.8
Offensive rating
120.8
112.9
Defensive rating
107.4
49.5%
Effective FG%
56.5%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
12.9%
Turnover %
13.8%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
35.1%
0.16
Free-throw rate
0.23
33.3%
3-point %
40.4%
61.2%
Assist %
66.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 120.8Defence112.9 · 107.4Shooting49.5% · 56.5%3-point %33.3% · 40.4%Ball care12.9% · 13.8%Off. rebounds31.9% · 35.1%Free throws0.16 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Charlotte Hornets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Phoenix Suns wins
2
Charlotte Hornets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HNew Orleans Pelicans118-116
06/03/26HChicago Bulls103-105
04/03/26ASacramento Kings114-103
27/02/26HLos Angeles Lakers113-110
25/02/26HBoston Celtics81-97
23/02/26HPortland Trail Blazers77-92
21/02/26HOrlando Magic113-110 OT
20/02/26ASan Antonio Spurs94-121
12/02/26HOklahoma City Thunder109-136
11/02/26HDallas Mavericks120-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HMiami Heat120-128
05/03/26ABoston Celtics118-89
04/03/26HDallas Mavericks117-90
28/02/26HPortland Trail Blazers109-93
27/02/26AIndiana Pacers133-109
25/02/26AChicago Bulls131-99
22/02/26AWashington Wizards129-112
21/02/26HCleveland Cavaliers113-118
20/02/26HHouston Rockets101-105
12/02/26HAtlanta Hawks110-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW58%
HomeLLWLW62%
AwayWLWLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games623428
Win %58%62%54%
Points / game112.5111.2114.0
Allowed / game110.8108.2113.8
Point differential+1.7+3.0+0.1
Avg total223.2219.5227.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%29%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won52% (21)64% (14)29% (7)
Overtime %3%3%4%
Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL50%
HomeLLWWL45%
AwayWWWWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games643133
Win %50%45%55%
Points / game116.2113.2118.9
Allowed / game112.5112.3112.8
Point differential+3.6+0.9+6.2
Avg total228.7225.5231.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%23%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (14)38% (8)17% (6)
Overtime %5%3%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder63491478%118.5107.8+10.7
2 San Antonio Spurs62451773%118.5111.4+7.1
3 Detroit Pistons63451871%116.7109.8+6.9
4 Boston Celtics64432167%114.5106.9+7.6
5 Minnesota Timberwolves64402462%118.6114.5+4.2
6 New York Knicks63392462%116.7110.6+6.1
7 Houston Rockets63392462%114.6109.9+4.7
8 Los Angeles Lakers63392462%115.8114.8+1.1
9 Cleveland Cavaliers64392561%118.8114.8+4.0
10 Denver Nuggets64392561%120.2116.5+3.7
11 Toronto Raptors62362658%113.9111.6+2.3
12 Phoenix Suns62362658%112.5110.8+1.7
13 Miami Heat64362856%120.3116.5+3.8
14 Orlando Magic61342756%115.0113.4+1.6
15 Philadelphia 76ers63342954%115.8116.1-0.3
16 Atlanta Hawks64333152%117.7117.3+0.4
17 Golden State Warriors63323151%115.0113.9+1.1
18 Charlotte Hornets64323250%116.2112.5+3.6
19 Los Angeles Clippers63313249%112.6112.2+0.3
20 Portland Trail Blazers65313448%115.3118.0-2.6
21 Milwaukee Bucks63273643%111.1115.8-4.7
22 Chicago Bulls64263841%115.4119.8-4.4
23 Memphis Grizzlies62233937%115.7117.8-2.2
24 Dallas Mavericks64214333%113.0117.7-4.8
25 New Orleans Pelicans66214532%115.5120.2-4.7
26 Utah Jazz64194530%117.4125.0-7.7
27 Brooklyn Nets63164725%106.9115.6-8.7
28 Washington Wizards63164725%112.3123.3-11.0
29 Indiana Pacers64154923%111.4120.0-8.6
30 Sacramento Kings65155023%110.6121.1-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns28322130111
Charlotte Hornets3028192299
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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