PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 109-136
25-37 27-38 28-37 29-24
Position#16
Record32-21
FormLWLLW
Points / game114.2
Allowed / game110.9
vs
Position#1
Record40-12
FormWWLLW
Points / game119.8
Allowed / game108.3
USANBA· Mortgage Matchup Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Oklahoma City Thunder
24 Mar 2027
PHX v OKC
upcoming
23 Mar 2027
PHX v OKC
upcoming
27 Apr 2026
PHX122
OKC131
25 Apr 2026
PHX109
OKC121
11 Feb 2026
PHX109
OKC136
04 Jan 2026
PHX108
OKC105
09 Apr 2025
PHX112
OKC125
03 Mar 2024
PHX110
OKC118
12 Nov 2023
PHX99
OKC111
08 Mar 2023
PHX132
OKC101
24 Feb 2023
PHX124
OKC115
29 Dec 2021
PHX115
OKC97
23 Dec 2021
PHX113
OKC101
02 Apr 2021
PHX140
OKC103
27 Jan 2021
PHX97
OKC102
10 Aug 2020
PHX128
OKC101
31 Jan 2020
PHX107
OKC111
28 Dec 2018
PHX102
OKC118
17 Nov 2018
PHX100
OKC110
02 Mar 2018
PHX116
OKC124
07 Jan 2018
PHX114
OKC100
07 Apr 2017
PHX120
OKC99
03 Mar 2017
PHX118
OKC111
08 Feb 2016
PHX106
OKC122
29 Mar 2015
PHX97
OKC109
26 Feb 2015
PHX117
OKC113
06 Apr 2014
PHX122
OKC115
06 Mar 2014
PHX128
OKC122
10 Feb 2013
PHX69
OKC97
14 Jan 2013
PHX90
OKC102
18 Apr 2012
PHX97
OKC109
30 Mar 2011
PHX98
OKC116
04 Feb 2011
PHX107
OKC111
23 Dec 2009
PHX113
OKC117
14 Mar 2009
PHX106
OKC95
20 Feb 2009
PHX140
OKC118
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
103-110
103
110
-7
91avg 105
A24/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
102-111
102
111
-9
83avg 105
H26/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
106-102
106
102
+4
99avg 105
H28/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
114-96
114
96
+18
110avg 105
H30/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
126-113
126
113
+13
126avg 105
H31/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
93-117
93
117
-24
70avg 105
H02/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
130-125
130
125
+5
121avg 105
A04/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
97-101
97
101
-4
88avg 105
H06/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
103-109
103
109
-6
92avg 105
H08/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
120-111
120
111
+9
114avg 105
H11/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-27
28-37
32-20
12-26
21-32
27-26
29-24
25-29
28-29
32-22
22-24
24-27
35-31
37-25
21-25
21-15
26-25
26-22
45-32
29-34
20-24
23-25
28-36
22-32
30-41
37-31
34-22
29-31
29-25
26-34
27-17
15-25
22-24
25-34
24-23
32-28
36-16
29-32
31-27
24-36
218.9Avg total
109.4Scored
109.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (53)114.2110.9225.1+3.360%
Season at home (27)113.6107.9221.6+5.767%
Season away (26)114.7114.0228.7+0.854%
Last 10 (10)109.4109.5218.9-0.150%
Last 5 (5)108.6112.6221.2-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)109.0103.0212.0+6.080%
vs Similar (16)110.6112.4223.0-1.838%
vs Weaker (9)118.1105.1223.2+13.0100%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
122-102
122
102
+20
114avg 110
A22/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
114-117
114
117
-3
104avg 110
H24/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
101-103
101
103
-2
92avg 110
H26/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
104-95
104
95
+9
100avg 110
H28/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
111-123
111
123
-12
103avg 110
A30/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
121-111
121
111
+10
111avg 110
A02/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
128-92
128
92
+36
129avg 110
H04/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
106-116
106
116
-10
96avg 110
A05/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
106-112
106
112
-6
98avg 110
H07/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
119-110
119
110
+9
110avg 110
A10/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-18
31-33
30-26
23-25
28-39
25-19
32-31
29-28
30-25
20-29
31-25
20-24
17-14
31-32
31-23
25-26
22-34
28-29
30-33
31-27
32-26
30-29
39-30
20-26
39-14
29-27
26-27
34-24
26-39
32-34
27-22
21-21
28-28
24-18
22-34
32-32
31-30
36-28
26-33
26-19
221.3Avg total
113.2Scored
108.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)119.8108.3228.0+11.577%
Season at home (26)119.4107.3226.7+12.181%
Season away (26)120.1109.3229.4+10.873%
Last 10 (10)113.2108.1221.3+5.150%
Last 5 (5)116.0108.2224.2+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)109.2115.2224.5-6.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)119.2108.3227.6+10.969%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
Phoenix SunsOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
59-64
59
64
-5
A24/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
48-58
48
58
-10
H26/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H28/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
72-56
72
56
+16
H30/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H31/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H02/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A04/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H06/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
47-58
47
58
-11
H08/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
65-48
65
48
+17
H11/02
NBA
113.0Avg total
56.8Scored
56.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.756.6115.3+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.554.2110.7+2.353%-
Last 30 away (15)60.959.1119.9+1.867%-
Last 10 (10)56.856.2113.0+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)55.457.2112.6-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)58.855.4114.2+3.460%-
vs Similar (16)56.259.1115.2-2.938%-
vs Weaker (9)63.153.0116.1+10.1100%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
69-51
69
51
+18
A22/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H24/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H26/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H28/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A30/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A02/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
68-41
68
41
+27
H04/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A05/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H07/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
67-58
67
58
+9
A10/02
NBA
112.2Avg total
57.7Scored
54.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.555.3114.8+4.270%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.355.8115.1+3.562%-
Last 30 away (14)59.754.6114.4+5.179%-
Last 10 (10)57.754.5112.2+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)61.454.6116.0+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)58.263.0121.2-4.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)59.754.1113.8+5.673%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 109.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.726.1
53.6%
54.8%52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.514.4
35.6%
35.8%43.2
🏀 Free throws18.114.0
77.3%
78.1%14.0
They take 89.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 113.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.726.8
55.0%
54.8%53.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.313.4
35.9%
35.8%40.2
🏀 Free throws24.319.4
79.8%
78.1%19.4
They take 86.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
WLLWLWWWLL
Oklahoma City Thunder
WLLWWLWLLW
#16
League position
#1
-0.1
Net rating
+5.1
112.0
Offensive rating
114.2
112.1
Defensive rating
109.1
53.5%
Effective FG%
54.5%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
12.8%
Turnover %
12.8%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.6%
3-point %
35.9%
58.3%
Assist %
60.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.0 · 114.2Defence112.1 · 109.1Shooting53.5% · 54.5%3-point %35.6% · 35.9%Ball care12.8% · 12.8%Off. rebounds26.8% · 23.2%Free throws0.20 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26HDallas Mavericks120-111
08/02/26HPhiladelphia 76ers103-109
06/02/26HGolden State Warriors97-101
04/02/26APortland Trail Blazers130-125
02/02/26HLos Angeles Clippers93-117
31/01/26HCleveland Cavaliers126-113
30/01/26HDetroit Pistons114-96
28/01/26HBrooklyn Nets106-102
26/01/26HMiami Heat102-111
24/01/26AAtlanta Hawks103-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/26ALos Angeles Lakers119-110
07/02/26HHouston Rockets106-112
05/02/26ASan Antonio Spurs106-116
04/02/26HOrlando Magic128-92
02/02/26ADenver Nuggets121-111
30/01/26AMinnesota Timberwolves111-123
28/01/26HNew Orleans Pelicans104-95
26/01/26HToronto Raptors101-103
24/01/26HIndiana Pacers114-117
22/01/26AMilwaukee Bucks122-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW60%
HomeWLLLW67%
AwayWWWLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532726
Win %60%67%54%
Points / game114.2113.6114.7
Allowed / game110.9107.9114.0
Point differential+3.3+5.7+0.8
Avg total225.1221.6228.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%37%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (17)60% (10)29% (7)
Overtime %2%0%4%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW77%
HomeLLWWL81%
AwayWLWLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games522626
Win %77%81%73%
Points / game119.8119.4120.1
Allowed / game108.3107.3109.3
Point differential+11.5+12.1+10.8
Avg total228.0226.7229.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%58%54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)60% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %6%8%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder52401277%119.8108.3+11.5
2 Detroit Pistons53401375%117.2109.3+8.0
3 San Antonio Spurs51351669%117.8112.1+5.8
4 Boston Celtics54351965%115.3108.4+6.9
5 Denver Nuggets54342063%120.3116.4+4.0
6 New York Knicks53332062%117.8111.9+5.9
7 Houston Rockets53332062%114.6109.6+5.0
8 Cleveland Cavaliers55342162%120.0115.9+4.1
9 Los Angeles Lakers52322062%115.8116.0-0.2
10 Minnesota Timberwolves56342261%119.7114.8+4.9
11 Phoenix Suns53322160%114.2110.9+3.3
12 Toronto Raptors54322259%114.0112.2+1.9
13 Philadelphia 76ers54302456%116.2115.9+0.3
14 Golden State Warriors54292554%115.6113.5+2.1
15 Orlando Magic51272453%114.9115.1-0.1
16 Miami Heat55292653%119.8117.2+2.6
17 Los Angeles Clippers54262848%111.9112.3-0.4
18 Charlotte Hornets55262947%115.7113.8+1.9
19 Portland Trail Blazers55262947%116.0118.3-2.3
20 Atlanta Hawks56263046%117.3118.6-1.3
21 Chicago Bulls55243144%116.8120.6-3.8
22 Milwaukee Bucks52223042%111.8115.6-3.8
23 Memphis Grizzlies52203238%115.2117.4-2.1
24 Dallas Mavericks53193436%114.1117.3-3.2
25 Utah Jazz54173731%118.2126.4-8.2
26 Brooklyn Nets53153828%107.7114.9-7.3
27 Indiana Pacers55154027%111.1118.6-7.5
28 New Orleans Pelicans56154127%114.6120.4-5.8
29 Washington Wizards53143926%112.2123.1-11.0
30 Sacramento Kings55124322%110.5120.6-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns25272829109
Oklahoma City Thunder37383724136
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.