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Pieno Zvaigzdes vs Jonava Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 02 May 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 98-100 (OT)
23-14 21-29 20-18 25-28 9-11
Position#10
Record8-23
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game89.3
vs
Jonava 🏆
Lithuania
Position#6
Record16-14
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game79.9
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Pieno Zvaigzdes v Jonava
01 May 2024
PZV77
JON116
08 Oct 2023
PZV92
JON93
02 May 2023
PZV98
JON100
23 Nov 2022
PZV76
JON80
10 Oct 2022
PZV90
JON92
11 Oct 2021
PZV76
JON80
26 Oct 2020
PZV91
JON76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pieno Zvaigzdes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jonava winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pieno ZvaigzdesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZvaigzdes
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
75-104
75
104
-29
61avg 68
H18/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
63-94
63
94
-31
50avg 68
A27/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
73-118
73
118
-45
60avg 68
A29/03
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
89-95
89
95
-6
87avg 68
A03/04
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
98-88
98
88
+10
95avg 68
H08/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
91-85
91
85
+6
88avg 68
A17/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
61-88
61
88
-27
43avg 68
H20/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
78-87
78
87
-9
68avg 68
H22/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
89-78
89
78
+11
88avg 68
H26/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
81-84
81
84
-3
68avg 68
A30/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
20-21
15-28
23-28
16-20
17-22
15-30
15-22
19-27
21-33
17-35
16-23
27-23
10-29
21-25
31-18
19-26
28-15
15-26
36-21
28-27
22-13
16-18
25-27
15-24
15-19
17-25
14-20
20-18
19-27
13-21
26-21
27-20
18-20
23-22
21-16
21-23
14-18
19-23
27-20
171.9Avg total
79.8Scored
92.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)78.889.3168.1-10.526%
Season at home (16)81.690.4172.0-8.831%
Season away (15)75.988.1164.0-12.320%
Last 10 (10)79.892.1171.9-12.330%
Last 5 (5)80.084.4164.4-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)76.690.3167.0-13.712%
vs Similar (5)82.482.4164.8+0.060%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jonava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
84-77
84
77
+7
77avg 71
H06/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
99-94 OT
99
94
+5
no box
A13/03
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
84-73
84
73
+11
83avg 71
A20/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
70-76
70
76
-6
60avg 71
A26/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
74-85
74
85
-11
63avg 71
H02/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
76-88
76
88
-12
62avg 71
H11/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
72-85
72
85
-13
no box
A16/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
67-65
67
65
+2
no box
H18/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
81-106
81
106
-25
70avg 71
H23/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
72-69
72
69
+3
68avg 71
A28/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
28-23
25-16
13-14
9-29
17-12
22-17
32-22
18-25
19-7
29-19
18-22
18-18
11-16
22-24
19-18
17-22
22-18
11-18
24-27
23-16
11-26
27-25
15-21
14-23
24-18
15-23
19-21
14-15
10-16
18-19
25-15
17-23
23-31
21-21
20-31
18-15
18-25
19-15
17-14
159.7Avg total
77.9Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)79.579.9159.5-0.453%
Season at home (15)77.579.7157.2-2.140%
Season away (15)81.580.2161.7+1.367%
Last 10 (10)77.981.8159.7-3.950%
Last 5 (5)73.682.6156.2-9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.883.6162.3-4.844%
vs Similar (13)81.083.2164.2-2.231%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)77.573.9151.4+3.688%
This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -8.2-8.2Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -0.3-0.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -8.2-8.2Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -0.3-0.3
Pieno ZvaigzdesJonava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Pieno ZvaigzdesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H18/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A27/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-60
40
60
-20
A29/03
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A03/04
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H08/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A17/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H20/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H22/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H26/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A30/04
LKL
84.5Avg total
39.3Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.643.581.1-5.930%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.242.980.1-5.838%-
Last 30 away (14)38.144.182.3-6.021%-
Last 10 (10)39.345.284.5-5.930%-
Last 5 (5)39.841.881.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)37.043.980.8-6.924%-
vs Similar (5)41.041.682.6-0.660%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jonava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H06/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A13/03
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A20/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A26/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H02/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H11/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A16/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H18/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H23/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A28/04
LKL
75.1Avg total
34.9Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.138.979.0+1.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.939.178.9+0.840%-
Last 30 away (15)40.338.879.1+1.547%-
Last 10 (10)34.940.275.1-5.310%-
Last 5 (5)34.441.676.0-7.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.639.977.4-2.344%-
vs Similar (13)40.740.080.7+0.738%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.936.178.0+5.850%-
This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pieno Zvaigzdestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pieno Zvaigzdes: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.919.5
50.1%
54.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.4
34.7%
35.0%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.714.8
79.1%
74.2%14.8
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.8
51.1%
54.9%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.3
32.0%
35.0%24.9
🏀 Free throws15.612.8
82.1%
74.2%12.8
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pieno Zvaigzdes
LWLLWWLLLL
Jonava
WLWLLLLWWW
#10
League position
#6
-16.0
Net rating
-6.9
104.8
Offensive rating
105.5
120.8
Defensive rating
112.3
50.9%
Effective FG%
49.8%
57.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
17.1%
Turnover %
16.8%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.7%
3-point %
32.0%
54.5%
Assist %
65.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 105.5Defence120.8 · 112.3Shooting50.9% · 49.8%3-point %34.7% · 32.0%Ball care17.1% · 16.8%Off. rebounds26.0% · 28.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Pieno Zvaigzdes   ■ Jonava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pieno Zvaigzdes wins
7
Jonava wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/23AJuventus81-84
26/04/23HGargzdai89-78
22/04/23HNeptunas78-87
20/04/23HZalgiris Kaunas61-88
17/04/23APrienai91-85
08/04/23HNevezis98-88
03/04/23ASiauliai89-95
29/03/23ARytas73-118
27/03/23ABC Wolves63-94
18/03/23HRytas75-104
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/23APrienai72-69
23/04/23HRytas81-106
18/04/23HGargzdai67-65
16/04/23ALietkabelis72-85
11/04/23HJuventus76-88
02/04/23HBC Wolves74-85
26/03/23ANeptunas70-76
20/03/23ASiauliai84-73
13/03/23ABC Wolves99-94 OT
06/03/23HPieno Zvaigzdes84-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pieno Zvaigzdes
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL26%
HomeLWLLW31%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %26%31%20%
Points / game78.881.675.9
Allowed / game89.390.488.1
Point differential-10.5-8.8-12.3
Avg total168.1172.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %6%6%7%
Jonava
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW53%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayWWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %53%40%67%
Points / game79.577.581.5
Allowed / game79.979.780.2
Point differential-0.4-2.1+1.3
Avg total159.5157.2161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%13%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)25% (4)86% (7)
Overtime %7%0%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3026487%87.072.0+15.0
2 Rytas3125681%93.083.2+9.7
3 BC Wolves31211068%85.979.1+6.9
4 Lietkabelis30201067%85.581.6+3.9
5 Juventus31171455%87.086.4+0.6
6 Jonava30161453%79.579.9-0.4
7 Neptunas31161552%80.581.7-1.3
8 Nevezis31131842%86.888.5-1.6
9 Siauliai31131842%83.586.4-2.8
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes3182326%78.889.3-10.5
11 Gargzdai3162519%76.584.1-7.6
12 Prienai3242812%79.089.9-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Pieno Zvaigzdes23212025998
Jonava1429182811100
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