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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Pieno Zvaigzdes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 14:20
Final 78-68
23-23 15-22 15-16 25-7
Position#1
Record2-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game62.0
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Pieno Zvaigzdes
Lithuania
Position#11
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game100.5
LithuaniaLKL· Zalgirio Arena (Kaunas)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes
17 Mar 2024
ZAL97
PZV77
01 Oct 2023
ZAL78
PZV68
11 Dec 2022
ZAL84
PZV61
06 Feb 2022
ZAL99
PZV70
12 May 2021
ZAL81
PZV74
30 Apr 2021
ZAL107
PZV83
09 Feb 2021
ZAL95
PZV76
18 Jan 2021
ZAL103
PZV77
15 Apr 2020
ZAL v PZV
upcoming
25 Sep 2019
ZAL81
PZV47
16 Mar 2019
ZAL88
PZV70
22 Sep 2018
ZAL103
PZV66
28 Jan 2018
ZAL91
PZV80
25 Sep 2017
ZAL106
PZV64
02 Apr 2017
ZAL94
PZV70
21 Nov 2016
ZAL98
PZV84
02 May 2016
ZAL95
PZV81
26 Apr 2016
ZAL102
PZV66
10 Apr 2016
ZAL93
PZV88
01 Nov 2015
ZAL103
PZV74
08 Feb 2015
ZAL81
PZV79
01 Dec 2014
ZAL82
PZV78
30 Apr 2014
ZAL83
PZV73
20 Oct 2013
ZAL83
PZV57
20 Oct 2011
ZAL91
PZV74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pieno Zvaigzdes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
A24/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
66-67
66
67
-1
62avg 78
H26/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
95-66
95
66
+29
103avg 78
A28/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
108-93
108
93
+15
105avg 78
H01/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
71-94
71
94
-23
64avg 78
A03/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
95-80
95
80
+15
89avg 78
H06/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
68-69
68
69
-1
53avg 78
A08/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
97-87
97
87
+10
89avg 78
H10/06
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
107-55
107
55
+52
108avg 78
A17/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
79-69
79
69
+10
74avg 78
A28/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
24-27
21-26
27-16
22-21
15-22
20-8
9-16
18-18
26-13
26-18
25-17
26-21
20-25
34-25
28-22
19-24
22-24
15-27
15-19
27-22
20-20
27-16
21-22
23-14
17-18
10-13
18-24
23-24
23-21
24-24
27-18
34-16
21-7
25-14
27-18
15-17
26-19
25-14
13-19
163.5Avg total
87.2Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)93.062.0155.0+31.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)93.062.0155.0+31.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.276.3163.5+10.970%
Last 5 (5)89.272.0161.2+17.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.081.0152.0-10.025%
vs Similar (3)85.774.7160.3+11.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)86.974.0160.9+12.983%
This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pieno ZvaigzdesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZvaigzdes
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#8
W
98-88
98
88
+10
95avg 69
H08/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
91-85
91
85
+6
88avg 69
A17/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
61-88
61
88
-27
43avg 69
H20/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
78-87
78
87
-9
68avg 69
H22/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
89-78
89
78
+11
88avg 69
H26/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
81-84
81
84
-3
68avg 69
A30/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
98-100 OT
98
100
-2
no box
H02/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
90-95
90
95
-5
92avg 69
A05/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
90-106
90
106
-16
77avg 69
A18/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
92-95
92
95
-3
89avg 69
A25/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
28-15
15-26
36-21
28-27
22-13
16-18
25-27
15-24
15-19
17-25
14-20
20-18
19-27
13-21
26-21
27-20
18-20
23-22
21-16
21-23
14-18
19-23
27-20
23-14
21-29
20-18
25-28
21-31
32-19
25-21
12-24
19-26
26-34
18-26
27-20
25-24
20-25
19-20
28-26
177.4Avg total
86.8Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)91.0100.5191.5-9.50%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)91.0100.5191.5-9.50%
Last 10 (10)86.890.6177.4-3.830%
Last 5 (5)90.296.0186.2-5.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)78.191.3169.4-13.212%
vs Similar (5)82.482.4164.8+0.060%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.8+1.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.8+1.8
Zalgiris KaunasPieno Zvaigzdes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A24/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H26/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A28/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H01/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A03/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H06/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A08/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H10/06
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
55-23
55
23
+32
A17/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A28/09
LKL
82.2Avg total
43.5Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.038.481.4+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.639.983.4+3.769%-
Last 30 away (14)42.436.779.1+5.764%-
Last 10 (10)43.538.782.2+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)45.835.681.4+10.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.841.877.5-6.00%-
vs Similar (3)44.739.784.3+5.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)44.137.781.7+6.478%-
This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pieno ZvaigzdesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#8
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H08/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A17/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H20/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H22/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H26/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A30/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H02/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A05/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A18/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A25/09
LKL
88.5Avg total
43.3Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.144.984.0-5.833%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.443.180.5-5.838%-
Last 30 away (14)41.146.988.0-5.929%-
Last 10 (10)43.345.288.5-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)44.448.693.0-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)38.745.684.3-6.828%-
vs Similar (5)41.041.682.6-0.660%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.719.8
60.6%
55.4%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.8
36.0%
34.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws24.818.9
76.2%
73.2%18.9
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pieno Zvaigzdestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pieno Zvaigzdes: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.720.4
52.7%
55.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.4
37.0%
34.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws20.015.9
79.5%
73.2%15.9
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWLWLWWLW
Pieno Zvaigzdes
LLLLLWLLWW
#1
League position
#11
+14.7
Net rating
-5.7
123.0
Offensive rating
110.4
108.3
Defensive rating
116.1
57.6%
Effective FG%
53.8%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
15.6%
Turnover %
16.8%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.0%
3-point %
37.0%
60.5%
Assist %
59.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence123.0 · 110.4Defence108.3 · 116.1Shooting57.6% · 53.8%3-point %36.0% · 37.0%Ball care15.6% · 16.8%Off. rebounds31.2% · 26.1%Free throws0.41 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Pieno Zvaigzdes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
0
Pieno Zvaigzdes wins
DateGameScore
20/04/23Pieno Zvaigzdes v Zalgiris Kaunas61-88
11/12/22Zalgiris Kaunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes84-61
20/11/22Pieno Zvaigzdes v Zalgiris Kaunas59-92
16/02/22Pieno Zvaigzdes v Zalgiris Kaunas83-102
06/02/22Zalgiris Kaunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes99-70
03/10/21Pieno Zvaigzdes v Zalgiris Kaunas69-85
15/05/21Pieno Zvaigzdes v Zalgiris Kaunas81-100
12/05/21Zalgiris Kaunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes81-74
07/05/21Pieno Zvaigzdes v Zalgiris Kaunas63-93
30/04/21Zalgiris Kaunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes107-83
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/23AJuventus79-69
17/09/23AGargzdai107-55
10/06/23HRytas97-87
08/06/23ARytas68-69
06/06/23HRytas95-80
03/06/23ARytas71-94
01/06/23HRytas108-93
28/05/23ALietkabelis95-66
26/05/23HLietkabelis66-67
24/05/23ALietkabelis86-83
Pieno Zvaigzdeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/23ALietkabelis92-95
18/09/23ARytas90-106
05/05/23ALietkabelis90-95
02/05/23HJonava98-100 OT
30/04/23AJuventus81-84
26/04/23HGargzdai89-78
22/04/23HNeptunas78-87
20/04/23HZalgiris Kaunas61-88
17/04/23APrienai91-85
08/04/23HNevezis98-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
Home--
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %100%-100%
Points / game93.0-93.0
Allowed / game62.0-62.0
Point differential+31.0-+31.0
Avg total155.0-155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Pieno Zvaigzdes
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game91.0-91.0
Allowed / game100.5-100.5
Point differential-9.5--9.5
Avg total191.5-191.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas220100%93.062.0+31.0
2 BC Wolves330100%85.369.3+16.0
3 Rytas220100%101.587.5+14.0
4 Jonava220100%88.078.0+10.0
5 Lietkabelis32167%92.087.3+4.7
6 Siauliai21150%78.075.0+3.0
7 Neptunas21150%86.585.5+1.0
8 Juventus21150%75.076.5-1.5
9 Mazeikiai3030%75.782.3-6.7
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes2020%91.0100.5-9.5
11 Nevezis3030%80.397.0-16.7
12 Gargzdai2020%61.5105.5-44.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2315152578
Pieno Zvaigzdes232216768
← all games of the day
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