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Botafogo vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 18 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 90-86
26-24 21-15 20-26 23-21
Position#15
Record4-11
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game83.3
vs
Position#8
Record8-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game74.2
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Botafogo v Cearense
20 Oct 2025
BOTA80
CEAR84
20 Jan 2025
BOTA74
CEAR83
18 Dec 2023
BOTA90
CEAR86
01 Feb 2020
BOTA86
CEAR72
22 Jan 2019
BOTA78
CEAR69
06 Feb 2018
BOTA70
CEAR68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#2
L
69-92
69
92
-23
55avg 61
A07/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
79-86
79
86
-7
71avg 61
H10/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
89-78
89
78
+11
no box
H14/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
74-73
74
73
+1
64avg 61
H18/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
81-86
81
86
-5
73avg 61
A20/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
72-96
72
96
-24
62avg 61
A23/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
83-80
83
80
+3
75avg 61
H29/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
77-78
77
78
-1
65avg 61
A04/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
77-85
77
85
-8
63avg 61
A07/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
91-86
91
86
+5
78avg 61
A09/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-18
24-22
12-28
24-24
20-21
32-26
14-25
13-14
21-15
32-23
15-24
21-16
14-17
24-28
16-12
20-16
17-17
21-17
18-26
25-26
20-20
12-31
16-25
24-20
22-14
22-32
22-14
17-20
22-13
22-31
14-17
19-17
9-16
21-26
19-23
28-20
15-19
23-18
21-18
32-31
163.2Avg total
79.2Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)76.483.3159.7-6.927%
Season at home (7)76.381.6157.9-5.343%
Season away (8)76.584.9161.4-8.412%
Last 10 (10)79.284.0163.2-4.840%
Last 5 (5)80.085.0165.0-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)75.583.3158.9-7.827%
vs Similar (12)80.881.5162.3-0.750%
vs Weaker (3)82.775.0157.7+7.7100%
This opponent (Cearense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Bauru
#5
W
80-77
80
77
+3
81avg 71
H31/10
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
73-80
73
80
-7
64avg 71
A04/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
86-70
86
70
+16
86avg 71
A06/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
77-65
77
65
+12
70avg 71
H12/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
87-84
87
84
+3
80avg 71
H21/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
78-65
78
65
+13
71avg 71
H24/11
NBB
Pato
#12
W
76-75
76
75
+1
73avg 71
A29/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
88-93 OT
88
93
-5
no box
A01/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
74-78
74
78
-4
64avg 71
H06/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
62-63
62
63
-1
56avg 71
H08/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
25-23
24-14
11-19
23-20
16-26
15-16
19-18
23-24
26-19
19-12
18-15
17-21
14-10
25-17
21-17
19-16
25-25
18-22
25-21
20-13
17-17
24-17
17-18
17-15
19-16
20-17
20-27
9-25
17-19
26-17
30-21
24-21
18-21
16-20
16-16
17-23
15-9
15-17
15-14
153.1Avg total
78.1Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.374.2151.6+3.167%
Season at home (6)76.372.0148.3+4.367%
Season away (6)78.376.5154.8+1.867%
Last 10 (10)78.175.0153.1+3.160%
Last 5 (5)75.674.8150.4+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)77.185.7162.7-8.633%
vs Similar (11)78.578.1156.6+0.573%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)72.072.0144.0+0.050%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +0.6+0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +0.6+0.6
BotafogoCearense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#2
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A07/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H10/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H14/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H18/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A20/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A23/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H29/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A04/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A07/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A09/12
NBB
82.6Avg total
40.2Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.240.378.5-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.041.681.6-1.629%-
Last 30 away (16)36.639.175.8-2.544%-
Last 10 (10)40.242.482.6-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.644.081.6-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.841.379.1-3.527%-
vs Similar (12)38.839.378.1-0.650%-
vs Weaker (3)38.039.077.0-1.033%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H31/10
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A04/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A06/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H12/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H21/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H24/11
NBB
Pato
#12
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A29/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A01/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H06/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H08/12
NBB
76.5Avg total
38.1Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.538.877.3-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.539.578.0-1.140%-
Last 30 away (15)38.538.176.6+0.553%-
Last 10 (10)38.138.476.5-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)34.635.870.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)36.939.676.5-2.740%-
vs Similar (11)40.537.878.4+2.764%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)38.838.577.2+0.225%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.720.2
48.4%
51.8%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.18.9
30.6%
33.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.515.3
78.5%
72.6%15.3
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.320.4
57.8%
51.8%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.4
37.2%
33.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.811.3
63.5%
72.6%11.3
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
WLLWLLWWLL
Cearense
LLLWWWWWLW
#15
League position
#8
-6.2
Net rating
+6.9
101.4
Offensive rating
107.2
107.5
Defensive rating
100.3
47.4%
Effective FG%
57.0%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
45.0%
17.1%
Turnover %
18.5%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.6%
3-point %
37.2%
58.1%
Assist %
54.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.4 · 107.2Defence107.5 · 100.3Shooting47.4% · 57.0%3-point %30.6% · 37.2%Ball care17.1% · 18.5%Off. rebounds29.7% · 23.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Botafogo   ■ Cearense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Botafogo wins
2
Cearense wins
DateGameScore
01/02/20Botafogo v Cearense86-72
07/11/19Cearense v Botafogo72-76
22/01/19Botafogo v Cearense78-69
16/11/18Cearense v Botafogo65-54
06/02/18Botafogo v Cearense70-68
01/12/17Cearense v Botafogo61-47
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23ACorinthians Paulista91-86
07/12/23APaulistano77-85
04/12/23ASao Paulo77-78
29/11/23HBauru83-80
23/11/23ASao Jose72-96
20/11/23AMogi81-86
18/11/23HCerrado74-73
14/11/23HBrasilia89-78
10/11/23HFranca79-86
07/11/23AFlamengo69-92
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/23HCaxias do Sul62-63
06/12/23HUniao Corinthians74-78
01/12/23AMinas88-93 OT
29/11/23APato76-75
24/11/23HCorinthians Paulista78-65
21/11/23HPinheiros87-84
12/11/23HUnifacisa77-65
06/11/23ASao Paulo86-70
04/11/23APaulistano73-80
31/10/23HBauru80-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW27%
HomeLLWWW43%
AwayLLLLW12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %27%43%12%
Points / game76.476.376.5
Allowed / game83.381.684.9
Point differential-6.9-5.3-8.4
Avg total159.7157.9161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cearense
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL67%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayWLWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game77.376.378.3
Allowed / game74.272.076.5
Point differential+3.1+4.3+1.8
Avg total151.6148.3154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1210283%83.072.3+10.7
2 Minas1411379%84.475.3+9.1
3 Franca1310377%87.075.5+11.5
4 Sao Jose139469%81.672.7+8.9
5 Paulistano1611569%73.169.8+3.4
6 Unifacisa128467%78.074.0+4.0
7 Vasco1510567%72.368.5+3.9
8 Cearense128467%77.374.2+3.1
9 Bauru158753%78.276.1+2.1
10 Corinthians Paulista136746%80.680.8-0.2
11 Sao Paulo146843%77.180.3-3.1
12 Pinheiros135838%75.579.4-3.8
13 Uniao Corinthians135838%72.579.8-7.4
14 Caxias do Sul135838%71.779.5-7.8
15 Pato145936%74.677.9-3.4
16 Cerrado1541127%72.673.6-1.0
17 Botafogo1541127%76.483.3-6.9
18 Brasilia1431121%71.685.4-13.8
19 Mogi1421214%73.380.1-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Botafogo2621202390
Cearense2415262186
← all games of the day
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