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Pinheiros vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 18 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 91-77
25-16 14-23 28-10 24-28
Position#13
Record5-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game79.4
vs
Position#12
Record5-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game77.9
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Poliesportivo Henrique Villaboim
Other2023-24
Meetings · Pinheiros v Pato
16 Apr 2026
PINH88
PATO55
12 Oct 2024
PINH68
PATO67
18 Dec 2023
PINH91
PATO77
09 Mar 2023
PINH76
PATO69
02 Apr 2022
PINH82
PATO69
07 Dec 2020
PINH85
PATO77
08 Mar 2020
PINH87
PATO83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pinheiros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PinheirosBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPinheiros
Date
Competition
Bauru
#5
L
70-74
70
74
-4
66avg 67
A11/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
88-85
88
85
+3
86avg 67
A13/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
75-81
75
81
-6
54avg 67
H17/11
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
84-87
84
87
-3
73avg 67
A21/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
78-85
78
85
-7
66avg 67
A23/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
92-94
92
94
-2
84avg 67
A30/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
75-69
75
69
+6
72avg 67
H07/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
73-71
73
71
+2
75avg 67
H09/12
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
73-67
73
67
+6
60avg 67
H13/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
61-91
61
91
-30
41avg 67
H16/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
18-18
14-19
14-18
21-29
31-12
21-20
15-24
20-19
21-18
16-22
18-22
16-19
25-25
22-18
21-25
17-23
23-24
14-22
24-16
21-26
24-25
27-26
20-17
19-23
22-17
14-17
20-12
25-10
20-20
9-18
19-23
19-23
21-13
13-16
20-15
21-31
15-22
13-22
12-16
157.3Avg total
76.9Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.579.4154.9-3.838%
Season at home (6)70.875.2146.0-4.350%
Season away (7)79.683.0162.6-3.429%
Last 10 (10)76.980.4157.3-3.540%
Last 5 (5)74.878.4153.2-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.282.1158.3-5.930%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.079.8155.8-3.840%
vs Weaker (10)84.975.7160.6+9.280%
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#19
L
78-80
78
80
-2
70avg 67
H03/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
69-100
69
100
-31
58avg 67
A06/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
87-70
87
70
+17
85avg 67
A08/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
73-70
73
70
+3
69avg 67
H14/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
87-83
87
83
+4
78avg 67
H16/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
67-89
67
89
-22
56avg 67
A20/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
68-79
68
79
-11
60avg 67
A22/11
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
75-76
75
76
-1
63avg 67
H29/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
64-68
64
68
-4
50avg 67
H01/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
81-85
81
85
-4
76avg 67
A16/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
25-22
17-12
21-26
14-22
15-25
16-28
24-25
23-15
25-16
18-24
21-15
19-17
14-21
22-14
18-18
21-17
23-29
17-18
26-19
25-20
19-20
10-22
13-27
17-23
15-24
13-25
23-7
15-17
16-19
17-20
27-20
15-17
17-18
22-14
10-19
18-18
22-14
16-29
25-24
154.9Avg total
74.9Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)74.677.9152.5-3.436%
Season at home (6)76.773.7150.3+3.050%
Season away (8)73.081.1154.1-8.125%
Last 10 (10)74.980.0154.9-5.130%
Last 5 (5)71.079.4150.4-8.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)73.381.1154.5-7.827%
vs Similar ◀ (10)77.578.4155.9-0.940%
vs Weaker (5)87.082.4169.4+4.660%
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
PinheirosPato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PinheirosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#5
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A11/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A13/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H17/11
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A21/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A23/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A30/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H07/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H09/12
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H13/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H16/12
NBB
83.9Avg total
42.3Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.539.881.3+1.760%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.138.278.4+1.964%-
Last 30 away (16)42.741.283.9+1.456%-
Last 10 (10)42.341.683.9+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.083.4-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.542.984.4-1.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.239.779.9+0.560%-
vs Weaker (10)42.836.979.7+5.980%-
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#19
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H03/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A06/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A08/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H14/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H16/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A20/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A22/11
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H29/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H01/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A16/12
NBB
76.7Avg total
37.3Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.039.278.3-0.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.737.176.9+2.636%-
Last 30 away (16)38.441.179.5-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)37.339.476.7-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)35.838.073.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.740.177.8-2.327%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.737.576.2+1.250%-
vs Weaker (5)43.640.283.8+3.440%-
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pinheirostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pinheiros: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.117.6
51.6%
51.8%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.5
32.5%
33.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.212.4
68.1%
72.6%12.4
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.918.6
49.1%
51.8%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.0
32.1%
33.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws14.59.7
66.9%
72.6%9.7
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pinheiros
LWWWLLLLWL
Pato
LLLLLWWWLL
#13
League position
#12
-4.6
Net rating
-7.4
105.2
Offensive rating
102.6
109.8
Defensive rating
110.0
50.3%
Effective FG%
48.7%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
18.5%
Turnover %
15.5%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.22
32.5%
3-point %
32.1%
60.1%
Assist %
61.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 102.6Defence109.8 · 110.0Shooting50.3% · 48.7%3-point %32.5% · 32.1%Ball care18.5% · 15.5%Off. rebounds32.7% · 29.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Pinheiros   ■ Pato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Pinheiros wins
3
Pato wins
DateGameScore
09/03/23Pinheiros v Pato76-69
30/11/22Pato v Pinheiros95-76
02/04/22Pinheiros v Pato82-69
16/12/21Pato v Pinheiros81-69
11/03/21Pato v Pinheiros89-88
07/12/20Pinheiros v Pato85-77
08/03/20Pinheiros v Pato87-83
08/11/19Pato v Pinheiros67-81
Pinheiroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HMinas61-91
13/12/23HVasco73-67
09/12/23HSao Jose73-71
07/12/23HMogi75-69
30/11/23ACorinthians Paulista92-94
23/11/23AUnifacisa78-85
21/11/23ACearense84-87
17/11/23HSao Paulo75-81
13/11/23AFranca88-85
11/11/23ABauru70-74
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23ACorinthians Paulista81-85
01/12/23HUnifacisa64-68
29/11/23HCearense75-76
22/11/23APaulistano68-79
20/11/23ASao Paulo67-89
16/11/23HFranca87-83
14/11/23HBauru73-70
08/11/23AMogi87-70
06/11/23ASao Jose69-100
03/11/23HBrasilia78-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pinheiros
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL38%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayLWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %38%50%29%
Points / game75.570.879.6
Allowed / game79.475.283.0
Point differential-3.8-4.3-3.4
Avg total154.9146.0162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pato
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL36%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %36%50%25%
Points / game74.676.773.0
Allowed / game77.973.781.1
Point differential-3.4+3.0-8.1
Avg total152.5150.3154.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%17%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)40% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1210283%83.072.3+10.7
2 Minas1411379%84.475.3+9.1
3 Franca1310377%87.075.5+11.5
4 Sao Jose139469%81.672.7+8.9
5 Paulistano1611569%73.169.8+3.4
6 Unifacisa128467%78.074.0+4.0
7 Vasco1510567%72.368.5+3.9
8 Cearense128467%77.374.2+3.1
9 Bauru158753%78.276.1+2.1
10 Corinthians Paulista136746%80.680.8-0.2
11 Sao Paulo146843%77.180.3-3.1
12 Pinheiros135838%75.579.4-3.8
13 Uniao Corinthians135838%72.579.8-7.4
14 Caxias do Sul135838%71.779.5-7.8
15 Pato145936%74.677.9-3.4
16 Cerrado1541127%72.673.6-1.0
17 Botafogo1541127%76.483.3-6.9
18 Brasilia1431121%71.685.4-13.8
19 Mogi1421214%73.380.1-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pinheiros2514282491
Pato1623102877
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