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Capo d'Orlando vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 79-64
19-22 22-10 21-22 17-10
Position#8
Record5-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game77.7
vs
Position#7
Record4-6
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game78.7
ItalyLega ARound 11
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Capo d'Orlando v Pistoia
06 Mar 2022
KDO77
PIS80
05 Oct 2017
KDO57
PIS73
11 Dec 2016
KDO79
PIS64
04 May 2016
KDO58
PIS65
12 Oct 2014
KDO71
PIS74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Capo d'Orlando winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Capo d'OrlandoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H02/10
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
69-84
69
84
-15
A09/10
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H17/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A23/10
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
96-53
96
53
+43
H30/10
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
A05/11
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H13/11
Lega A
Caserta
#13
L
86-91
86
91
-5
A20/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H27/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A05/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-11
21-22
12-20
12-18
15-23
22-15
12-24
20-22
23-26
25-13
16-17
26-21
25-31
14-14
15-16
22-24
25-17
23-14
21-13
27-9
25-18
18-24
16-20
19-16
21-18
10-10
25-20
23-28
19-25
18-22
22-11
27-33
21-19
18-15
18-13
19-24
20-17
14-27
14-17
22-19
157.4Avg total
79.7Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.777.7157.4+2.050%
Season at home (5)81.269.6150.8+11.680%
Season away (5)78.285.8164.0-7.620%
Last 10 (10)79.777.7157.4+2.050%
Last 5 (5)80.281.4161.6-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)66.177.6143.8-11.514%
vs Similar ◀ (16)77.974.4152.3+3.462%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#16
L
67-87
67
87
-20
A03/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H09/10
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
67-83
67
83
-16
A15/10
Lega A
Caserta
#13
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A24/10
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
97-64
97
64
+33
H30/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H05/11
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A13/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
H20/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
70-104
70
104
-34
A27/11
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
89-73
89
73
+16
H04/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
12-25
11-20
23-16
16-24
18-18
25-17
30-22
25-22
18-13
12-14
12-34
13-22
18-19
19-13
15-20
20-14
22-14
28-15
27-21
16-18
20-15
16-15
16-21
19-16
18-12
12-19
13-27
13-14
20-22
22-16
18-21
18-21
22-31
16-27
14-25
20-22
25-16
19-22
25-13
154.5Avg total
75.8Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.878.7154.5-2.940%
Season at home (5)85.473.0158.4+12.480%
Season away (5)66.284.4150.6-18.20%
Last 10 (10)75.878.7154.5-2.940%
Last 5 (5)74.679.6154.2-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.189.1166.2-12.012%
vs Similar ◀ (21)76.475.6152.0+0.948%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -2.7-2.7
Capo d'OrlandoPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Capo d'OrlandoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H02/10
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A09/10
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H17/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A23/10
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H30/10
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A05/11
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H13/11
Lega A
Caserta
#13
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A20/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H27/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A05/12
Lega A
77.8Avg total
39.7Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.037.774.7-0.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.233.971.1+3.371%-
Last 30 away (16)36.840.977.8-4.138%-
Last 10 (10)39.738.177.8+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)36.839.075.8-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.037.372.3-2.343%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)38.838.076.8+0.862%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#16
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A03/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H09/10
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A15/10
Lega A
Caserta
#13
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A24/10
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H30/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H05/11
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A13/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H20/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A27/11
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H04/12
Lega A
75.8Avg total
37.4Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.240.477.6-3.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.038.876.8-0.853%-
Last 30 away (15)36.442.178.5-5.727%-
Last 10 (10)37.438.475.8-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.237.475.6+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.646.883.4-10.112%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)37.338.275.5-0.948%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Capo d'Orlandotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Capo d'Orlando: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.2
50.9%
51.1%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.07.4
35.4%
35.7%22.3
🏀 Free throws15.712.7
80.9%
74.0%12.7
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.7 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.022.9
50.9%
51.1%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.2
27.7%
35.7%18.7
🏀 Free throws13.29.9
74.8%
74.0%9.9
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/9 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Capo d'Orlando
LWLWWWLWLL
Pistoia
WLWLLWLLWL
#8
League position
#7
+0.2
Net rating
-4.2
103.6
Offensive rating
99.9
103.4
Defensive rating
104.1
51.7%
Effective FG%
47.8%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
20.1%
Turnover %
19.3%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.20
35.4%
3-point %
27.7%
61.7%
Assist %
54.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.6 · 99.9Defence103.4 · 104.1Shooting51.7% · 47.8%3-point %35.4% · 27.7%Ball care20.1% · 19.3%Off. rebounds29.9% · 32.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Capo d'Orlando   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Capo d'Orlando wins
4
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
04/05/16Capo d'Orlando v Pistoia58-65
03/01/16Pistoia v Capo d'Orlando103-75
25/01/15Pistoia v Capo d'Orlando94-73
12/10/14Capo d'Orlando v Pistoia71-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/16AReggiana70-80
27/11/16HVarese76-71
20/11/16ACaserta86-91
13/11/16HCremona79-76
05/11/16ABrescia90-89 OT
30/10/16HCantu96-53
23/10/16ATrento76-85
17/10/16HTorino90-77
09/10/16AVenezia69-84
02/10/16HOlimpia Milano65-71
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/16HTorino89-73
27/11/16AOlimpia Milano70-104
20/11/16HTrento84-78 OT
13/11/16AVenezia62-74
05/11/16HSassari68-69
30/10/16HVarese97-64
24/10/16ACaserta65-74
15/10/16AAvellino67-83
09/10/16HBrindisi89-81
03/10/16ACremona67-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Capo d'Orlando
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%80%20%
Points / game79.781.278.2
Allowed / game77.769.685.8
Point differential+2.0+11.6-7.6
Avg total157.4150.8164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Pistoia
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%80%0%
Points / game75.885.466.2
Allowed / game78.773.084.4
Point differential-2.9+12.4-18.2
Avg total154.5158.4150.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1110191%88.777.7+11.0
2 Reggiana108280%84.379.6+4.7
3 Venezia118373%83.080.5+2.5
4 Avellino107370%79.175.7+3.4
5 Caserta107370%84.083.1+0.9
6 Brindisi105550%80.278.1+2.1
7 Capo d'Orlando105550%79.777.7+2.0
8 Sassari115645%76.175.8+0.3
9 Torino104640%83.085.3-2.3
10 Pistoia104640%75.878.7-2.9
11 Brescia104640%80.183.5-3.4
12 Trento114736%75.076.5-1.5
13 Varese103730%77.681.3-3.7
14 Pesaro103730%73.077.0-4.0
15 Cantu103730%77.884.2-6.4
16 Cremona102820%77.281.2-4.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Capo d'Orlando1922211779
Pistoia2210221064
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