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Varese vs Capo d'Orlando Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 82-58
17-14 24-16 26-17 15-11
Position#8
Record3-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game72.3
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#16
Record4-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game75.0
ItalyLega ARound 10
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Varese v Capo d'Orlando
10 Dec 2017
VAR82
KDO58
26 Mar 2017
VAR74
KDO72
14 Feb 2016
VAR81
KDO82
26 Apr 2015
VAR80
KDO73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Capo d'Orlando winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
L
76-89
76
89
-13
98avg 107
A07/05
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
62-80
62
80
-18
84avg 107
H01/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
73-74
73
74
-1
98avg 107
A08/10
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
95-64
95
64
+31
132avg 107
H16/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
67-73
67
73
-6
94avg 107
A23/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
W
81-73
81
73
+8
106avg 107
H29/10
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
93-66
93
66
+27
128avg 107
H04/11
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
61-65
61
65
-4
156avg 107
A12/11
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
61-82
61
82
-21
154avg 107
H19/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
71-74
71
74
-3
96avg 107
A03/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
20-24
19-17
19-25
17-20
16-24
13-23
16-13
15-20
19-19
18-17
21-18
20-16
28-19
22-10
25-19
13-17
14-28
17-17
23-11
18-16
26-23
9-20
28-14
31-12
18-17
28-19
16-18
16-10
14-17
11-20
20-18
16-27
22-17
8-18
15-20
15-22
12-18
19-16
25-18
148.0Avg total
74.0Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)73.872.3146.1+1.433%
Season at home (5)78.473.0151.4+5.460%
Season away (4)68.071.5139.5-3.50%
Last 10 (10)74.074.0148.0+0.030%
Last 5 (5)73.472.0145.4+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.482.2159.7-4.833%
vs Similar (19)75.975.2151.2+0.753%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)76.073.5149.5+2.550%
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capo d'OrlandoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formd'Orlando
Date
Competition
PAOK
#24
L
58-63
58
63
-5
no box
H24/10
Champions League
Torino
#12
L
70-73
70
73
-3
99avg 98
H29/10
Lega A
Tenerife
#3
L
47-88
47
88
-41
no box
A01/11
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
W
73-56
73
56
+17
102avg 98
H05/11
Lega A
Neptunas
#21
L
60-90
60
90
-30
no box
H07/11
Champions League
Sassari
#6
W
88-81
88
81
+7
114avg 98
A12/11
Lega A
Ventspils
#34
W
66-55
66
55
+11
no box
A14/11
Champions League
Brescia
#3
L
53-87
53
87
-34
81avg 98
A19/11
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
82-80
82
80
+2
112avg 98
H02/12
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
61-72
61
72
-11
no box
H05/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-18
12-14
19-17
20-14
28-22
16-10
14-23
12-18
12-26
10-17
16-23
9-22
15-18
21-11
16-9
21-18
13-20
15-23
19-19
13-28
19-18
28-20
24-18
17-25
15-18
21-17
20-4
10-16
11-20
10-24
10-20
22-23
21-18
13-22
26-15
22-25
7-13
23-16
18-24
13-19
140.3Avg total
65.8Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)68.075.0143.0-7.044%
Season at home (5)68.870.0138.8-1.240%
Season away (4)67.081.2148.2-14.250%
Last 10 (10)65.874.5140.3-8.740%
Last 5 (5)70.075.0145.0-5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)68.275.5143.7-7.332%
vs Similar (8)72.276.6148.9-4.425%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -4.9-4.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -4.9-4.9
VareseCapo d'Orlando
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A07/05
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H01/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A08/10
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H16/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A23/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H29/10
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H04/11
Lega A
Avellino
#4
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A12/11
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H19/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A03/12
Lega A
75.7Avg total
36.8Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.040.879.7-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.740.382.1+1.453%-
Last 30 away (15)36.241.277.4-5.027%-
Last 10 (10)36.838.975.7-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.635.873.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.144.882.9-6.711%-
vs Similar (19)39.739.078.7+0.753%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)35.539.575.0-4.050%-
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capo d'OrlandoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#24
L
19-32
19
32
-13
H24/10
Champions League
Torino
#12
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H29/10
Lega A
Tenerife
#3
L
22-43
22
43
-21
A01/11
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H05/11
Lega A
Neptunas
#21
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H07/11
Champions League
Sassari
#6
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A12/11
Lega A
Ventspils
#34
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A14/11
Champions League
Brescia
#3
L
21-44
21
44
-23
A19/11
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H02/12
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#4
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H05/12
Champions League
68.2Avg total
31.7Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.438.072.4-3.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.735.069.7-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)34.141.175.1-7.027%-
Last 10 (10)31.736.568.2-4.850%-
Last 5 (5)33.637.270.8-3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)33.537.671.1-4.041%-
vs Similar (8)36.639.275.9-2.625%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.820.5
49.0%
51.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.0
30.0%
34.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws15.311.2
73.2%
73.0%11.2
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Capo d'Orlandotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Capo d'Orlando: 67.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.418.1
52.6%
51.6%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.1
29.3%
34.9%21.3
🏀 Free throws13.69.7
71.3%
73.0%9.7
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LLLWWLWLLL
Capo d'Orlando
LWLWWLWLLL
#8
League position
#16
+0.3
Net rating
-10.0
104.2
Offensive rating
92.0
103.9
Defensive rating
102.0
47.6%
Effective FG%
49.1%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
16.4%
Turnover %
23.4%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.23
30.0%
3-point %
29.3%
45.5%
Assist %
59.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 92.0Defence103.9 · 102.0Shooting47.6% · 49.1%3-point %30.0% · 29.3%Ball care16.4% · 23.4%Off. rebounds32.9% · 25.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Varese   ■ Capo d'Orlando
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Varese wins
3
Capo d'Orlando wins
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/17APesaro71-74
19/11/17HSassari61-82
12/11/17AAvellino61-65
04/11/17HTrento93-66
29/10/17HPistoia81-73
23/10/17ABrescia67-73
16/10/17HCantu95-64
08/10/17AOlimpia Milano73-74
01/10/17HVenezia62-80
07/05/17ATorino76-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/17HLudwigsburg61-72
02/12/17HTrento82-80
19/11/17ABrescia53-87
14/11/17AVentspils66-55
12/11/17ASassari88-81
07/11/17HNeptunas60-90
05/11/17HPesaro73-56
01/11/17ATenerife47-88
29/10/17HTorino70-73
24/10/17HPAOK58-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL33%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%60%0%
Points / game73.878.468.0
Allowed / game72.373.071.5
Point differential+1.4+5.4-3.5
Avg total146.1151.4139.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Capo d'Orlando
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW44%
HomeLLLWW40%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game68.068.867.0
Allowed / game75.070.081.2
Point differential-7.0-1.2-14.2
Avg total143.0138.8148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia109190%79.469.5+9.9
2 Olimpia Milano97278%76.771.3+5.3
3 Venezia107370%82.780.5+2.2
4 Avellino107370%79.277.1+2.1
5 Torino96367%81.280.6+0.7
6 Sassari106460%83.879.1+4.7
7 Virtus Bologna94544%79.074.4+4.6
8 Cantu94544%84.887.4-2.7
9 Capo d'Orlando94544%68.075.0-7.0
10 Cremona104640%80.080.2-0.2
11 Pistoia104640%74.780.8-6.1
12 Varese93633%73.872.3+1.4
13 Trento93633%75.077.7-2.7
14 Reggiana103730%73.073.8-0.8
15 Pesaro103730%76.181.2-5.1
16 Brindisi92722%74.781.8-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese1724261582
Capo d'Orlando1416171158
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