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Pistoia vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 86-83
22-25 23-26 18-21 23-11
Position#13
Record3-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game80.6
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
vs
Pesaro
Italy
Position#15
Record3-6
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game80.7
ItalyLega ARound 10
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Pistoia v Pesaro
11 Apr 2027
PIS v PES
upcoming
29 Mar 2026
PIS89
PES91
17 Dec 2023
PIS73
PES74
22 Dec 2019
PIS91
PES79
20 Jan 2019
PIS77
PES81
09 Dec 2017
PIS86
PES83
23 Apr 2017
PIS87
PES83
25 Jan 2016
PIS77
PES75
29 Dec 2014
PIS84
PES53
24 Nov 2013
PIS115
PES110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Venezia
#1
L
79-92
79
92
-13
no box
H19/05
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
73-57
73
57
+16
102avg 102
A05/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H09/10
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
77-92
77
92
-15
104avg 102
A15/10
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
71-86
71
86
-15
99avg 102
H22/10
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
73-81
73
81
-8
97avg 102
A29/10
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
82-93
82
93
-11
112avg 102
H04/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
42-90
42
90
-48
60avg 102
A11/11
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
80-84
80
84
-4
111avg 102
A18/11
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
80-65
80
65
+15
108avg 102
H03/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
24-23
19-25
13-16
27-14
10-17
24-13
12-13
26-16
20-18
21-15
16-28
18-31
22-16
20-25
17-20
19-14
10-26
20-26
22-20
16-18
23-26
20-9
14-28
17-24
17-26
29-20
19-23
16-23
6-18
13-20
7-29
17-27
24-18
15-23
24-16
16-18
20-16
26-15
18-16
155.7Avg total
74.0Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)73.480.6154.0-7.133%
Season at home (4)79.080.2159.2-1.250%
Season away (5)69.080.8149.8-11.820%
Last 10 (10)74.081.7155.7-7.730%
Last 5 (5)71.482.6154.0-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.187.4162.5-12.212%
vs Similar ◀ (19)77.274.9152.2+2.353%
vs Weaker (3)77.071.0148.0+6.067%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
88-98
88
98
-10
108avg 100
A07/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
70-73
70
73
-3
95avg 100
H01/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
102-95
102
95
+7
126avg 100
A08/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
75-81
75
81
-6
no box
H14/10
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
79-88
79
88
-9
106avg 100
A22/10
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
68-79
68
79
-11
100avg 100
H29/10
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
L
56-73
56
73
-17
82avg 100
A05/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
80-75
80
75
+5
108avg 100
H12/11
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
74-91
74
91
-17
96avg 100
A19/11
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
74-71
74
71
+3
100avg 100
H03/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
21-26
28-31
23-19
26-17
14-19
15-16
15-21
22-26
29-27
21-21
30-21
20-21
17-24
22-18
16-18
30-17
16-24
16-26
17-21
15-22
17-26
21-12
15-19
18-15
11-21
9-16
18-21
17-25
20-19
25-18
18-13
17-26
19-21
25-23
13-21
22-15
18-12
16-19
18-25
159.0Avg total
76.6Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.380.7156.0-5.333%
Season at home (5)73.475.8149.2-2.440%
Season away (4)77.886.8164.5-9.025%
Last 10 (10)76.682.4159.0-5.830%
Last 5 (5)70.477.8148.2-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)78.783.8162.6-5.128%
vs Similar ◀ (11)75.778.6154.4-2.955%
vs Weaker (1)56.073.0129.0-17.00%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: -1.6-1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: -1.6-1.6
PistoiaPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#1
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H19/05
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A05/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H09/10
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A15/10
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H22/10
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A29/10
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H04/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
22-41
22
41
-19
A11/11
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A18/11
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H03/12
Lega A
78.8Avg total
37.1Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.239.676.7-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.638.076.6+0.660%-
Last 30 away (15)35.741.176.9-5.427%-
Last 10 (10)37.141.778.8-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)34.442.877.2-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.246.082.2-9.812%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)37.437.775.1-0.347%-
vs Weaker (3)38.034.372.3+3.7100%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A07/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H01/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A08/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H14/10
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A22/10
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H29/10
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A05/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H12/11
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A19/11
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H03/12
Lega A
81.0Avg total
38.5Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.340.678.9-2.330%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.536.572.0-0.940%-
Last 30 away (15)41.044.785.7-3.720%-
Last 10 (10)38.542.581.0-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)34.840.475.2-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)39.341.080.3-1.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.440.477.7-3.027%-
vs Weaker (1)29.036.065.0-7.00%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.019.2
43.6%
51.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.67.2
35.0%
34.9%21.6
🏀 Free throws18.413.2
71.7%
73.0%13.2
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.319.9
50.6%
51.6%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.1
30.0%
34.9%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.415.2
74.5%
73.0%15.2
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
WLLLLLLWWL
Pesaro
WLWLLLLWLL
#13
League position
#15
-10.5
Net rating
-7.0
97.0
Offensive rating
102.8
107.5
Defensive rating
109.9
46.4%
Effective FG%
48.5%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
20.1%
Turnover %
18.9%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.0%
3-point %
30.0%
51.1%
Assist %
41.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence97.0 · 102.8Defence107.5 · 109.9Shooting46.4% · 48.5%3-point %35.0% · 30.0%Ball care20.1% · 18.9%Off. rebounds32.3% · 33.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Pistoia   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Pistoia wins
1
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
23/04/17Pistoia v Pesaro87-83
27/12/16Pesaro v Pistoia57-59
25/01/16Pistoia v Pesaro77-75
11/10/15Pesaro v Pistoia73-74
26/04/15Pesaro v Pistoia82-86
29/12/14Pistoia v Pesaro84-53
09/03/14Pesaro v Pistoia75-74
24/11/13Pistoia v Pesaro115-110 OT
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/17HTorino80-65
18/11/17AVenezia80-84
11/11/17AReggiana42-90
04/11/17HCantu82-93
29/10/17AVarese73-81
22/10/17HAvellino71-86
15/10/17ACremona77-92
09/10/17HBrindisi83-77
05/10/17ACapo d'Orlando73-57
19/05/17HVenezia79-92
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/17HVarese74-71
19/11/17ATrento74-91
12/11/17HBrindisi80-75
05/11/17ACapo d'Orlando56-73
29/10/17HCremona68-79
22/10/17ATorino79-88
14/10/17HVirtus Bologna75-81
08/10/17AReggiana102-95
01/10/17HBrescia70-73
07/05/17ACapo d'Orlando88-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW33%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game73.479.069.0
Allowed / game80.680.280.8
Point differential-7.1-1.2-11.8
Avg total154.0159.2149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pesaro
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW33%
HomeLLLWW40%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%40%25%
Points / game75.373.477.8
Allowed / game80.775.886.8
Point differential-5.3-2.4-9.0
Avg total156.0149.2164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia109190%79.469.5+9.9
2 Olimpia Milano97278%76.771.3+5.3
3 Avellino97278%79.976.1+3.8
4 Venezia97278%84.681.9+2.7
5 Torino96367%81.280.6+0.7
6 Sassari106460%83.879.1+4.7
7 Virtus Bologna94544%79.074.4+4.6
8 Cantu94544%84.887.4-2.7
9 Capo d'Orlando94544%68.075.0-7.0
10 Varese93633%73.872.3+1.4
11 Cremona93633%79.381.0-1.7
12 Trento93633%75.077.7-2.7
13 Pesaro93633%75.380.7-5.3
14 Pistoia93633%73.480.6-7.1
15 Reggiana92722%73.674.7-1.1
16 Brindisi92722%74.781.8-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia2223182386
Pesaro2526211183
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