Varese vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Mar 2014

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 84-73

13-21 21-22 31-14 19-16

Position#10

Record9-14

FormLLLLW

Points / game80.3

Allowed / game83.0

Varese 🏆

Pistoia

Position#9

Record10-13

FormLLWLW

Points / game76.6

Allowed / game78.9

Lega ARound 24

Domestic2013-14

Meetings · Varese v Pistoia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pistoia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Varese

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Siena

79-87

-8

A05/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

78-86

-8

H12/01

Lega A

Reggiana

80-73

A18/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

71-76

-5

H27/01

Lega A

Venezia

#11

93-77

+16

A02/02

Lega A

Avellino

#12

63-83

-20

A16/02

Lega A

Sassari

91-112

112

-21

H23/02

Lega A

Brindisi

70-96

-26

A02/03

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

69-75

-6

H09/03

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

86-79

A16/03

Lega A

25-24

12-28

27-21

15-14

25-20

16-19

3-23

34-24

14-16

18-19

21-25

27-13

22-16

20-32

14-18

15-10

31-15

22-34

16-15

24-13

12-25

16-12

18-19

17-27

20-31

24-23

21-26

26-32

19-27

11-21

22-22

18-26

23-10

17-24

14-18

15-23

12-18

24-18

25-21

25-22

162.4Avg total

78.0Scored

84.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	80.3	83.0	163.3	-2.6	39%
Season at home (11)	81.6	80.5	162.2	+1.1	45%
Season away (12)	79.2	85.2	164.3	-6.0	33%
Last 10 (10)	78.0	84.4	162.4	-6.4	30%
Last 5 (5)	75.8	89.0	164.8	-13.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	76.6	87.5	164.2	-10.9	18%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	79.5	81.5	160.9	-2.0	40%
vs Weaker (4)	82.2	79.8	162.0	+2.5	50%

This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pistoia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

#13

80-79

H04/01

Lega A

Caserta

74-80

-6

A12/01

Lega A

Cantu

82-77 OT

H19/01

Lega A

Avellino

#12

70-75

-5

A26/01

Lega A

Sassari

81-69

+12

H02/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

79-88

-9

H17/02

Lega A

Cremona

#14

76-81

-5

A23/02

Lega A

Reggiana

74-66

H02/03

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

74-75

-1

A09/03

Lega A

Siena

77-76

H16/03

Lega A

24-13

18-18

19-26

19-22

14-18

16-14

25-26

19-22

15-24

17-15

21-21

16-9

17-21

15-22

17-16

21-16

14-16

23-15

19-16

25-22

21-18

23-28

23-13

12-29

20-22

21-19

18-15

17-25

20-9

20-13

20-22

14-22

25-19

14-24

20-7

15-25

24-13

17-23

23-14

13-26

153.3Avg total

76.7Scored

76.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	76.6	78.9	155.5	-2.3	43%
Season at home (12)	81.2	77.6	158.8	+3.6	75%
Season away (11)	71.6	80.4	152.0	-8.7	9%
Last 10 (10)	76.7	76.6	153.3	+0.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	76.0	77.2	153.2	-1.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	73.4	79.4	152.8	-6.0	40%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	75.6	76.0	151.6	-0.4	38%
vs Weaker (5)	84.6	82.6	167.2	+2.0	60%

This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VaresePistoia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.4	39.8	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	17.8	39.1	+3.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	21.1	40.5	-1.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.2	40.5	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	22.2	39.4	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.7	20.2	39.9	-0.5	64%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.9	20.3	41.2	+0.7	47%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.8	14.2	34.0	+5.5	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	17.8	18.4	36.3	-0.6	35%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.6	16.2	34.8	+2.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (11)	17.0	20.9	37.9	-3.9	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	17.3	36.7	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	16.2	38.2	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.5	19.8	37.3	-2.3	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	18.5	17.1	35.6	+1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	17.4	17.8	35.2	-0.4	20%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	21.9	41.0	-2.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	23.2	42.7	-3.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	20.7	39.3	-2.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	23.0	41.0	-5.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.6	38.0	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.5	22.9	40.4	-5.5	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.3	20.9	40.2	-1.5	47%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.2	23.2	45.5	-1.0	25%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	18.7	20.3	38.9	-1.6	39%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.4	20.9	41.3	-0.5	42%	-
Last 30 away (11)	16.7	19.5	36.3	-2.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	19.1	37.5	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	21.4	40.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.1	19.4	37.5	-1.3	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	18.5	21.2	39.8	-2.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.0	20.4	40.4	-0.4	60%	-

VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Siena

37-52

-15

A05/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

41-39

H12/01

Lega A

Reggiana

32-35

-3

A18/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

42-48

-6

H27/01

Lega A

Venezia

#11

53-49

A02/02

Lega A

Avellino

#12

28-37

-9

A16/02

Lega A

Sassari

44-54

-10

H23/02

Lega A

Brindisi

30-48

-18

A02/03

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

40-34

H09/03

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

36-36

A16/03

Lega A

81.5Avg total

38.3Scored

43.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	41.4	80.7	-2.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.7	41.0	81.7	-0.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.0	41.7	79.7	-3.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	43.2	81.5	-4.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	41.8	77.4	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	37.2	43.1	80.3	-5.9	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	40.3	41.1	81.4	-0.9	53%	-
vs Weaker (4)	42.0	37.5	79.5	+4.5	75%	-

This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

#13

42-31

+11

H04/01

Lega A

Caserta

30-32

-2

A12/01

Lega A

Cantu

32-39

-7

H19/01

Lega A

Avellino

#12

32-43

-11

A26/01

Lega A

Sassari

37-31

H02/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

44-46

-2

H17/02

Lega A

Cremona

#14

41-41

A23/02

Lega A

Reggiana

40-22

+18

H02/03

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

39-43

-4

A09/03

Lega A

Siena

41-36

H16/03

Lega A

74.2Avg total

37.8Scored

36.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	36.5	38.7	75.2	-2.2	35%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	39.0	37.1	76.1	+1.9	58%	-
Last 30 away (11)	33.7	40.5	74.2	-6.7	9%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	36.4	74.2	+1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	37.6	78.6	+3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	35.6	39.2	74.8	-3.6	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	37.0	38.4	75.4	-1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	37.4	38.2	75.6	-0.8	20%	-

This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.3	39.9	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	19.9	39.9	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	20.7	39.8	-1.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	20.8	38.9	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.2	41.2	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.6	21.5	41.1	-1.8	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.3	19.1	38.3	+0.2	47%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.8	21.5	42.2	-0.8	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	18.9	18.9	37.7	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.2	18.4	37.7	+0.8	42%	-
Last 30 away (11)	18.5	19.4	37.8	-0.9	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	17.6	38.1	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	14.2	35.0	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.4	19.0	37.4	-0.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	17.2	21.1	38.4	-3.9	12%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.4	15.0	37.4	+7.4	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.4	40.9	-2.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	20.5	38.4	-2.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	22.3	43.4	-1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	20.4	42.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	26.0	46.2	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.8	21.9	40.7	-3.1	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.9	21.3	41.2	-1.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.5	20.8	40.2	-1.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	19.1	19.7	38.8	-0.5	48%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.8	18.8	37.7	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (11)	19.5	20.5	40.0	-1.1	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	21.8	38.9	-4.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.2	25.4	39.6	-11.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.1	20.4	38.5	-2.3	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	21.4	16.5	37.9	+4.9	62%	-
vs Weaker (5)	17.6	23.2	40.8	-5.6	20%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	41.7	80.8	-2.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.9	40.4	78.3	-2.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.2	43.0	83.2	-2.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	41.2	80.9	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	47.2	87.4	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	38.5	43.4	81.8	-4.9	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	39.2	40.3	79.5	-1.1	47%	-
vs Weaker (4)	40.2	42.2	82.5	-2.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	38.0	38.5	76.5	-0.5	52%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	38.1	37.2	75.3	+0.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (11)	37.9	39.9	77.8	-2.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	39.4	77.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	39.6	74.6	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	36.5	39.4	75.9	-2.9	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	38.6	37.6	76.2	+1.0	62%	-
vs Weaker (5)	40.0	38.2	78.2	+1.8	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Varese wins

Pistoia wins

Date	Game	Score
08/12/13	Pistoia v Varese	89-76

Vareselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/03/14	A	Pesaro	86-79
09/03/14	H	Sutor Montegranaro	69-75
02/03/14	A	Brindisi	70-96
23/02/14	H	Sassari	91-112
16/02/14	A	Avellino	63-83
02/02/14	A	Venezia	93-77
27/01/14	H	Olimpia Milano	71-76
18/01/14	A	Reggiana	80-73
12/01/14	H	Virtus Roma	78-86
05/01/14	A	Siena	79-87

Pistoialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/03/14	H	Siena	77-76
09/03/14	A	Pesaro	74-75
02/03/14	H	Reggiana	74-66
23/02/14	A	Cremona	76-81
17/02/14	H	Olimpia Milano	79-88
02/02/14	H	Sassari	81-69
26/01/14	A	Avellino	70-75
19/01/14	H	Cantu	82-77 OT
12/01/14	A	Caserta	74-80
04/01/14	H	Virtus Bologna	80-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	39%
Home	WLLLL	45%
Away	WWLLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	39%	45%	33%
Points / game	80.3	81.6	79.2
Allowed / game	83.0	80.5	85.2
Point differential	-2.6	+1.1	-6.0
Avg total	163.3	162.2	164.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	36%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Pistoia

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	43%
Home	WWLWW	75%
Away	WLLLL	9%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	43%	75%	9%
Points / game	76.6	81.2	71.6
Allowed / game	78.9	77.6	80.4
Point differential	-2.3	+3.6	-8.7
Avg total	155.5	158.8	152.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	13%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	62% (8)	100% (5)	0% (3)
Overtime %	9%	17%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	23	18	5	78%	80.2	70.0	+10.2
2	Cantu	23	16	7	70%	81.7	77.4	+4.3
3	Brindisi	24	16	8	67%	76.8	73.7	+3.1
4	Sassari	23	15	8	65%	86.2	79.2	+7.0
5	Siena	23	15	8	65%	75.1	68.6	+6.6
6	Virtus Roma	24	15	9	62%	77.7	76.4	+1.2
7	Reggiana	23	11	12	48%	75.1	72.8	+2.3
8	Caserta	23	11	12	48%	73.0	72.3	+0.7
9	Venezia	23	10	13	43%	79.3	79.9	-0.6
10	Pistoia	23	10	13	43%	76.6	78.9	-2.3
11	Avellino	23	10	13	43%	75.1	79.5	-4.4
12	Varese	23	9	14	39%	80.3	83.0	-2.6
13	Virtus Bologna	24	9	15	38%	78.4	80.0	-1.5
14	Cremona	23	8	15	35%	75.6	81.8	-6.2
15	Sutor Montegranaro	23	7	16	30%	77.7	86.3	-8.7
16	Pesaro	24	6	18	25%	79.7	88.5	-8.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Varese	13	21	31	19	84
Pistoia	21	22	14	16	73

← all games of the day

Varese vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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