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Pistoia vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 72-78
24-21 9-20 23-16 16-21
Position#10
Record9-9
FormWWLWL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game82.7
vs
Position#1
Record12-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game73.9
ItalyLega ARound 19· PalaCarrara
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Pistoia v Olimpia Milano
05 Jan 2025
PIS82
MIL115
04 Feb 2024
PIS72
MIL78
10 Mar 2020
PIS v MIL
upcoming
04 Feb 2019
PIS20
MIL0
08 Jan 2018
PIS63
MIL79
26 Mar 2017
PIS85
MIL74
14 Feb 2016
PIS80
MIL85
12 Jan 2015
PIS73
MIL79
25 May 2014
PIS84
MIL82
23 May 2014
PIS82
MIL71
17 Feb 2014
PIS79
MIL88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
86-81
86
81
+5
71avg 71
A26/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
81-76
81
76
+5
77avg 71
H02/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
100-97
100
97
+3
94avg 71
A09/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
73-74
73
74
-1
70avg 71
H17/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
70-91
70
91
-21
59avg 71
H23/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
89-86
89
86
+3
86avg 71
A30/12
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
64-60
64
60
+4
58avg 71
H07/01
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
69-107
69
107
-38
57avg 71
A14/01
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
78-71
78
71
+7
73avg 71
H20/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
90-109
90
109
-19
78avg 71
A28/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-28
20-25
29-10
18-18
19-21
20-19
14-18
28-18
28-25
27-23
21-23
24-26
23-17
15-30
14-17
21-10
16-28
12-23
20-16
22-24
23-19
21-23
21-18
24-26
14-17
20-15
13-20
17-8
12-32
16-30
14-27
27-18
10-21
21-22
20-11
27-17
13-27
32-29
26-18
19-35
165.2Avg total
80.0Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.782.7161.4-4.050%
Season at home (9)73.874.9148.7-1.156%
Season away (9)83.790.6174.2-6.944%
Last 10 (10)80.085.2165.2-5.260%
Last 5 (5)78.086.6164.6-8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)81.085.6166.6-4.657%
vs Similar (20)74.876.0150.8-1.355%
vs Weaker (3)88.381.0169.3+7.367%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
W
79-74
79
74
+5
74avg 77
A07/01
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
W
82-76
82
76
+6
74avg 77
H09/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
62-76
62
76
-14
54avg 77
H11/01
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
W
83-82
83
82
+1
82avg 77
H14/01
Lega A
Valencia
#14
L
72-84
72
84
-12
63avg 77
A19/01
Euroleague
Pesaro
#16
W
85-65
85
65
+20
79avg 77
A21/01
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
W
74-70
74
70
+4
68avg 77
H26/01
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
W
80-65
80
65
+15
78avg 77
H28/01
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#2
L
62-79
62
79
-17
48avg 77
A31/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
73-79
73
79
-6
69avg 77
A02/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
24-16
19-14
22-19
16-17
21-18
23-23
22-18
15-23
16-24
16-10
15-19
20-18
22-17
16-21
25-26
19-21
21-11
19-29
13-23
21-19
19-13
26-16
19-17
23-12
24-16
10-21
17-21
19-20
24-23
24-10
13-12
16-21
12-23
13-13
21-22
15-15
28-19
7-30
23-15
150.2Avg total
75.2Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)79.473.9153.3+5.567%
Season at home (9)82.474.9157.3+7.678%
Season away (9)76.372.9149.2+3.456%
Last 10 (10)75.275.0150.2+0.260%
Last 5 (5)74.871.6146.4+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.077.5142.5-12.50%
vs Similar (17)77.977.4155.4+0.547%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)79.472.4151.7+7.073%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.8-5.8Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.8-5.8Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
PistoiaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A26/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H02/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A09/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H17/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
28-51
28
51
-23
H23/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A30/12
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H07/01
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
28-62
28
62
-34
A14/01
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H20/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A28/01
Lega A
85.5Avg total
38.1Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.541.580.0-3.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.937.574.4-0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)39.944.984.9-5.038%-
Last 10 (10)38.147.485.5-9.330%-
Last 5 (5)36.447.083.4-10.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.344.984.1-5.643%-
vs Similar (20)38.039.977.8-1.950%-
vs Weaker (3)40.044.384.3-4.30%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A07/01
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H09/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H11/01
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H14/01
Lega A
Valencia
#14
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A19/01
Euroleague
Pesaro
#16
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A21/01
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H26/01
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H28/01
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#2
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A31/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A02/02
Euroleague
76.0Avg total
38.9Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.737.377.0+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.235.776.9+5.573%-
Last 30 away (15)38.238.977.1-0.733%-
Last 10 (10)38.937.176.0+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)40.236.276.4+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.542.577.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (17)40.437.177.5+3.259%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)39.636.776.4+2.955%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.716.6
52.4%
53.1%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.111.0
39.1%
35.7%33.0
🏀 Free throws14.611.2
76.7%
76.3%11.2
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.619.3
54.2%
53.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.7
32.1%
35.7%23.1
🏀 Free throws17.212.9
75.0%
76.3%12.9
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
LWLWWLLWWW
Olimpia Milano
LLWWWLWLWW
#10
League position
#1
-9.1
Net rating
+0.9
110.0
Offensive rating
106.4
119.1
Defensive rating
105.5
55.4%
Effective FG%
51.8%
57.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
16.6%
Turnover %
16.6%
23.3%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.1%
3-point %
32.1%
55.1%
Assist %
57.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 106.4Defence119.1 · 105.5Shooting55.4% · 51.8%3-point %39.1% · 32.1%Ball care16.6% · 16.6%Off. rebounds23.3% · 26.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Pistoia   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pistoia wins
7
Olimpia Milano wins
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24ABrescia90-109
20/01/24HScafati78-71
14/01/24ASassari69-107
07/01/24HCremona64-60
30/12/23ATreviso89-86
23/12/23HVirtus Bologna70-91
17/12/23HPesaro73-74
09/12/23ATortona100-97
02/12/23HBasket Napoli81-76
26/11/23AOlimpia Milano86-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/24AAnadolu Efes73-79
31/01/24APanathinaikos62-79
28/01/24HSassari80-65
26/01/24HBarcelona74-70
21/01/24APesaro85-65
19/01/24AValencia72-84
14/01/24HTortona83-82
11/01/24HCrvena zvezda62-76
09/01/24HAlba Berlin82-76
07/01/24ATrento79-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeWLLWW56%
AwayWWWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %50%56%44%
Points / game78.773.883.7
Allowed / game82.774.990.6
Point differential-4.0-1.1-6.9
Avg total161.4148.7174.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)60% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeLWWWW78%
AwayLWLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %67%78%56%
Points / game79.482.476.3
Allowed / game73.974.972.9
Point differential+5.5+7.6+3.4
Avg total153.3157.3149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%44%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1915479%88.575.9+12.5
2 Virtus Bologna1813572%87.776.8+10.9
3 Venezia1913668%81.377.3+4.0
4 Olimpia Milano1812667%79.473.9+5.5
5 Basket Napoli1911858%86.083.8+2.2
6 Reggiana1911858%81.781.7+0.0
7 Scafati1910953%84.985.8-0.9
8 Trento1910953%82.483.7-1.3
9 Pistoia189950%78.782.7-4.0
10 Tortona1881044%78.879.3-0.5
11 Cremona1981142%81.079.0+2.0
12 Sassari1981142%76.481.7-5.4
13 Varese1971237%85.490.0-4.6
14 Treviso1851328%80.784.3-3.7
15 Pesaro1951426%78.285.9-7.7
16 Brindisi1841422%74.183.1-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia249231672
Olimpia Milano2120162178
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