Pistoia vs Torino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Dec 2016

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 89-73

20-22 25-16 19-22 25-13

Position#7

Record3-6

FormWLLWL

Points / game74.3

Allowed / game79.3

Pistoia 🏆

Torino

Position#12

Record4-5

FormLLWLW

Points / game84.1

Allowed / game84.9

Lega ARound 10

Domestic2016-17

Meetings · Pistoia v Torino

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Torino winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pistoia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPistoia

Date

Competition

Avellino

90-92 OT

-2

no box

H11/05

Lega A

Cremona

#16

67-87

-20

no box

A03/10

Lega A

Brindisi

89-81

133avg 102

H09/10

Lega A

Avellino

67-83

-16

92avg 102

A15/10

Lega A

Caserta

#13

65-74

-9

97avg 102

A24/10

Lega A

Varese

#10

97-64

+33

no box

H30/10

Lega A

Sassari

68-69

-1

96avg 102

H05/11

Lega A

Venezia

62-74

-12

no box

A13/11

Lega A

Trento

84-78 OT

no box

H20/11

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

70-104

104

-34

91avg 102

A27/11

Lega A

27-21

18-22

16-20

21-19

21-26

12-25

11-20

23-16

16-24

18-18

25-17

30-22

25-22

18-13

12-14

12-34

13-22

18-19

19-13

15-20

20-14

22-14

28-15

27-21

16-18

20-15

16-15

16-21

19-16

18-12

12-19

13-27

13-14

20-22

22-16

18-21

22-31

16-27

14-25

156.5Avg total

75.9Scored

80.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	74.3	79.3	153.7	-5.0	33%
Season at home (4)	84.5	73.0	157.5	+11.5	75%
Season away (5)	66.2	84.4	150.6	-18.2	0%
Last 10 (10)	75.9	80.6	156.5	-4.7	30%
Last 5 (5)	76.2	77.8	154.0	-1.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	77.1	89.1	166.2	-12.0	12%
vs Similar ◀ (21)	75.8	75.9	151.7	-0.1	43%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Torino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Torino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormTorino

Date

Competition

Pesaro

#12

83-66

+17

no box

H04/05

Lega A

Avellino

83-86

-3

110avg 110

A02/10

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

83-79

111avg 110

H09/10

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

77-90

-13

99avg 110

A17/10

Lega A

Cremona

#16

85-82 OT

no box

H23/10

Lega A

Brindisi

79-87

-8

111avg 110

A30/10

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

97-100

100

-3

125avg 110

H06/11

Lega A

Trento

74-70

104avg 110

A14/11

Lega A

Venezia

90-93 OT

-3

no box

H20/11

Lega A

Cantu

#14

89-77

+12

108avg 110

A27/11

Lega A

17-12

20-21

24-18

22-15

24-26

16-24

23-17

20-19

21-19

20-21

12-21

30-18

26-23

13-25

17-16

21-26

22-18

26-12

11-22

15-22

35-19

18-27

13-21

13-20

26-30

25-27

20-16

26-27

15-17

19-12

17-23

23-18

24-15

20-29

23-21

17-19

25-24

22-7

21-20

21-26

167.0Avg total

84.0Scored

83.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	84.1	84.9	169.0	-0.8	44%
Season at home (4)	88.8	88.5	177.2	+0.2	50%
Season away (5)	80.4	82.0	162.4	-1.6	40%
Last 10 (10)	84.0	83.0	167.0	+1.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	85.8	85.4	171.2	+0.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	78.9	82.8	161.7	-3.9	33%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	77.9	77.9	155.8	+0.1	53%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PistoiaTorino

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.8	39.4	-2.2	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	20.5	39.1	-1.9	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	21.1	39.8	-2.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	19.8	38.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	16.6	33.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.2	23.0	41.2	-4.8	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	18.9	20.2	39.1	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.9	41.2	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	20.5	41.6	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.7	21.2	40.9	-1.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	20.3	43.8	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	21.0	46.0	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	20.5	20.7	41.1	-0.2	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.2	21.1	41.3	-0.9	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.8	38.4	-1.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	18.4	37.3	+0.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.3	21.1	39.4	-2.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	19.1	37.7	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	18.8	39.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.4	23.8	42.1	-5.4	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	18.4	18.3	36.8	+0.1	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	19.0	37.3	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	18.9	39.7	+2.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.0	19.1	35.1	-3.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.5	40.4	-0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	17.5	20.2	37.7	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.1	17.8	36.9	+1.3	47%	-
vs Weaker	no games

PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Avellino

45-43

H11/05

Lega A

Cremona

#16

33-51

-18

A03/10

Lega A

Brindisi

34-42

-8

H09/10

Lega A

Avellino

43-35

A15/10

Lega A

Caserta

#13

31-41

-10

A24/10

Lega A

Varese

#10

42-28

+14

H30/10

Lega A

Sassari

36-33

H05/11

Lega A

Venezia

37-28

A13/11

Lega A

Trento

33-36

-3

H20/11

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

40-52

-12

A27/11

Lega A

76.3Avg total

37.4Scored

38.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	40.7	77.9	-3.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.5	38.9	76.4	-1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.9	42.2	79.2	-5.3	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	38.9	76.3	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	35.4	73.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	36.6	46.8	83.4	-10.1	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	37.3	38.5	75.9	-1.2	43%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Torino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

TorinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

#12

37-33

H04/05

Lega A

Avellino

40-50

-10

A02/10

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

41-40

H09/10

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

39-48

-9

A17/10

Lega A

Cremona

#16

48-30

+18

H23/10

Lega A

Brindisi

53-46

A30/10

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

51-57

-6

H06/11

Lega A

Trento

34-29

A14/11

Lega A

Venezia

44-44

H20/11

Lega A

Cantu

#14

47-31

+16

A27/11

Lega A

84.2Avg total

43.4Scored

40.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	39.9	78.5	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.9	39.4	81.3	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.7	40.4	76.1	-4.7	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	40.8	84.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	41.4	87.2	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	37.9	40.9	78.8	-2.9	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	39.3	38.9	78.2	+0.3	47%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.2	37.4	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.2	18.1	40.3	+4.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.6	18.2	34.9	-1.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	17.6	35.3	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.4	37.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.1	19.6	38.8	-0.5	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	19.7	17.2	37.0	+2.5	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.4	37.4	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.9	19.0	36.9	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	19.7	37.9	-1.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	19.5	37.6	-1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.8	19.7	38.5	-0.9	53%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	17.3	19.0	36.3	-1.7	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.3	39.3	-1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	18.6	38.4	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	21.8	40.0	-3.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	22.6	41.5	-3.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	23.0	40.6	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.0	20.9	39.9	-1.9	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	18.7	20.1	38.9	-1.4	48%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.5	39.7	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	19.4	39.4	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	19.5	39.9	+0.9	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	21.0	41.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	22.0	42.0	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	20.1	19.9	40.1	+0.2	47%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.3	19.0	39.3	+1.3	53%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	38.4	76.7	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.1	36.6	78.7	+5.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.9	40.0	74.9	-5.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	40.2	76.8	-3.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	41.4	77.8	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	38.1	40.5	78.6	-2.4	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	38.4	37.4	75.8	+1.0	52%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	38.8	77.1	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.9	38.4	76.3	-0.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.6	39.2	77.8	-0.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	40.5	79.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	42.2	81.0	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	38.9	39.7	78.6	-0.7	53%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	37.6	38.0	75.6	-0.4	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 72.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀61%

🏀🏀🏀25%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 61% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 25% of the points

🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game

50%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.4	22.1	49.9%	51.1%	44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.5	6.0	26.7%	35.7%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	13.9	10.2	73.9%	74.0%	10.2

They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Torinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torino: 82.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.6 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game

50%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	20.7	51.8%	51.1%	41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.1	8.9	38.3%	35.7%	26.6
🏀 Free throws	20.0	14.3	71.4%	74.0%	14.3

They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.2	20.8	51.6%	51.1%	41.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.5	8.0	35.6%	35.7%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	18.2	12.8	69.9%	74.0%	12.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.0	20.4	49.8%	51.1%	40.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.9	9.3	37.4%	35.7%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	21.3	15.4	72.5%	74.0%	15.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.2	20.8	51.6%	51.1%	41.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.5	8.0	35.6%	35.7%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	18.2	12.8	69.9%	74.0%	12.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.0	20.4	49.8%	51.1%	40.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.9	9.3	37.4%	35.7%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	21.3	15.4	72.5%	74.0%	15.4

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/7 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Pistoia

LWLLWLLWLL

Torino

WLWLLWLWLW

League position

#12

-7.8

Net rating

-2.4

97.8

Offensive rating

105.6

Defensive rating

108.0

46.5%

Effective FG%

53.8%

52.2%

Opp. effective FG%

52.2%

20.1%

Turnover %

18.2%

33.0%

Off. rebound %

24.8%

0.21

Free-throw rate

0.32

26.7%

3-point %

38.3%

52.4%

Assist %

56.5%

30%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Pistoia ■ Torino

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Pistoia wins

Torino wins

Date	Game	Score
26/03/16	Pistoia v Torino	70-80
07/12/15	Torino v Pistoia	87-88 OT

Pistoialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/11/16	A	Olimpia Milano	70-104
20/11/16	H	Trento	84-78 OT
13/11/16	A	Venezia	62-74
05/11/16	H	Sassari	68-69
30/10/16	H	Varese	97-64
24/10/16	A	Caserta	65-74
15/10/16	A	Avellino	67-83
09/10/16	H	Brindisi	89-81
03/10/16	A	Cremona	67-87
11/05/16	H	Avellino	90-92 OT

Torinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/11/16	A	Cantu	89-77
20/11/16	H	Venezia	90-93 OT
14/11/16	A	Trento	74-70
06/11/16	H	Olimpia Milano	97-100
30/10/16	A	Brindisi	79-87
23/10/16	H	Cremona	85-82 OT
17/10/16	A	Capo d'Orlando	77-90
09/10/16	H	Pesaro	83-79
02/10/16	A	Avellino	83-86
04/05/16	H	Pesaro	83-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia

Lega A 2016-17

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	33%
Home	WWLW	75%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	33%	75%	0%
Points / game	74.3	84.5	66.2
Allowed / game	79.3	73.0	84.4
Point differential	-5.0	+11.5	-18.2
Avg total	153.7	157.5	150.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	11%	25%	0%

Torino

Lega A 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	44%
Home	WWLL	50%
Away	LLLWW	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	44%	50%	40%
Points / game	84.1	88.8	80.4
Allowed / game	84.9	88.5	82.0
Point differential	-0.8	+0.2	-1.6
Avg total	169.0	177.2	162.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	0%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	50% (4)	50% (2)
Overtime %	22%	50%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	9	9	0	100%	88.9	77.0	+11.9
2	Reggiana	9	7	2	78%	84.8	80.7	+4.1
3	Avellino	10	7	3	70%	79.1	75.7	+3.4
4	Venezia	10	7	3	70%	82.5	80.1	+2.4
5	Caserta	9	6	3	67%	83.4	83.1	+0.3
6	Capo d'Orlando	9	5	4	56%	80.8	77.4	+3.3
7	Sassari	9	4	5	44%	78.6	76.9	+1.7
8	Brindisi	9	4	5	44%	80.7	80.0	+0.7
9	Trento	9	4	5	44%	76.1	75.6	+0.6
10	Torino	9	4	5	44%	84.1	84.9	-0.8
11	Brescia	9	4	5	44%	79.8	82.9	-3.1
12	Pistoia	9	3	6	33%	74.3	79.3	-5.0
13	Varese	10	3	7	30%	77.6	81.3	-3.7
14	Cantu	10	3	7	30%	77.8	84.2	-6.4
15	Cremona	9	2	7	22%	77.9	82.1	-4.2
16	Pesaro	9	2	7	22%	73.0	77.7	-4.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Pistoia	20	25	19	25	89
Torino	22	16	22	13	73

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Pistoia vs Torino Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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