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Pistoia vs Torino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 78-81
14-18 23-20 20-20 21-23
Position#16
Record6-19
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game83.1
vs
Torino 🏆
Italy
Position#13
Record7-18
FormLLLLW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game86.9
ItalyLega ARound 26
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Pistoia v Torino
14 Apr 2019
PIS78
TOR81
03 Dec 2017
PIS80
TOR65
04 Dec 2016
PIS89
TOR73
26 Mar 2016
PIS70
TOR80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Torino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H20/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
72-95
72
95
-23
A27/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
20-0
20
0
+20
H04/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A10/02
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
77-90
77
90
-13
H03/03
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A10/03
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
82-90 OT
82
90
-8
H17/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H24/03
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
79-87
79
87
-8
A31/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
78-67
78
67
+11
A07/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-30
29-16
16-14
15-21
21-20
23-24
10-23
18-28
–
–
–
–
12-18
19-28
20-22
19-12
22-24
14-16
25-25
16-25
26-23
19-29
21-17
14-21
23-21
23-18
13-17
19-22
17-22
22-18
24-23
13-17
27-16
13-22
21-24
18-25
22-11
23-22
16-17
17-17
147.1Avg total
71.1Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)75.483.1158.5-7.724%
Season at home (12)69.476.0145.4-6.625%
Season away (13)80.989.7170.6-8.823%
Last 10 (10)71.176.0147.1-4.920%
Last 5 (5)79.082.8161.8-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)74.883.5158.4-8.725%
vs Similar (2)77.082.0159.0-5.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Torino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TorinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#2
L
66-73
66
73
-7
H20/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
110-115 OT
110
115
-5
A27/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H03/02
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
102-83
102
83
+19
H10/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
91-110
91
110
-19
A03/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
89-96 OT
89
96
-7
A10/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
64-80
64
80
-16
H17/03
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
89-91
89
91
-2
H24/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
87-95
87
95
-8
A30/03
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H07/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-19
17-20
25-11
13-23
27-30
23-25
27-22
24-24
15-20
21-15
18-16
23-7
33-20
24-26
24-14
21-23
22-35
12-26
26-22
31-27
24-15
14-29
21-24
23-14
11-27
15-11
19-16
19-26
28-20
17-21
20-30
24-20
19-22
24-23
27-20
17-30
21-15
20-21
13-18
18-12
171.4Avg total
84.7Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)82.986.9169.8-4.028%
Season at home (13)80.081.2161.2-1.246%
Season away (12)86.093.1179.1-7.18%
Last 10 (10)84.786.7171.4-2.030%
Last 5 (5)80.285.6165.8-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)82.090.6172.6-8.612%
vs Similar (10)82.784.9167.6-2.230%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)89.089.3178.3-0.333%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
PistoiaTorino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H20/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A27/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A10/02
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H03/03
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A10/03
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H17/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H24/03
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A31/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A07/04
Lega A
83.3Avg total
41.3Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.842.682.3-2.838%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.841.178.9-3.336%-
Last 30 away (15)41.643.985.5-2.340%-
Last 10 (9)41.342.083.3-0.733%-
Last 5 (5)43.040.483.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)39.442.682.0-3.137%-
vs Similar (2)44.542.587.0+2.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Torino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TorinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#2
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H20/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A27/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H03/02
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H10/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
34-61
34
61
-27
A03/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A10/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H17/03
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H24/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A30/03
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H07/04
Lega A
83.8Avg total
39.8Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.144.484.5-4.433%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.342.681.9-3.244%-
Last 30 away (14)40.946.687.5-5.621%-
Last 10 (10)39.844.083.8-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.640.879.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)39.644.884.4-5.129%-
vs Similar (10)40.343.683.9-3.340%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)41.745.387.0-3.733%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.619.2
47.3%
51.0%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.47.4
34.6%
35.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.014.2
67.6%
72.3%14.2
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Torinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torino: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.121.0
53.7%
51.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.89.1
39.9%
35.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.511.5
65.7%
72.3%11.5
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Apr 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
WLLLLLLWLL
Torino
WLLLLLWWLL
#16
League position
#13
-8.5
Net rating
-4.0
97.9
Offensive rating
108.1
106.4
Defensive rating
112.1
48.9%
Effective FG%
56.0%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
19.8%
Turnover %
18.8%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.6%
3-point %
39.9%
54.9%
Assist %
60.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence97.9 · 108.1Defence106.4 · 112.1Shooting48.9% · 56.0%3-point %34.6% · 39.9%Ball care19.8% · 18.8%Off. rebounds27.2% · 26.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Pistoia   ■ Torino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Pistoia wins
2
Torino wins
DateGameScore
23/12/18Torino v Pistoia86-80
31/03/18Torino v Pistoia77-84
03/12/17Pistoia v Torino80-65
02/04/17Torino v Pistoia91-95 OT
04/12/16Pistoia v Torino89-73
26/03/16Pistoia v Torino70-80
07/12/15Torino v Pistoia87-88 OT
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/19AVirtus Bologna78-67
31/03/19ABrescia79-87
24/03/19HReggiana76-80
17/03/19HSassari82-90 OT
10/03/19ACremona80-90
03/03/19HTrieste77-90
10/02/19ABrindisi70-80
04/02/19HOlimpia Milano20-0
27/01/19AVenezia72-95
20/01/19HPesaro77-81
Torinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/19HVarese72-66
30/03/19ATrento87-95
24/03/19HBrescia89-91
17/03/19HVirtus Bologna64-80
10/03/19ABrindisi89-96 OT
03/03/19AOlimpia Milano91-110
10/02/19HSassari102-83
03/02/19HReggiana77-58
27/01/19ATrieste110-115 OT
20/01/19HVenezia66-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW24%
HomeLWLLL25%
AwayLLLLW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %24%25%23%
Points / game75.469.480.9
Allowed / game83.176.089.7
Point differential-7.7-6.6-8.8
Avg total158.5145.4170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%8%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Torino
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW28%
HomeWWLLW46%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %28%46%8%
Points / game82.980.086.0
Allowed / game86.981.293.1
Point differential-4.0-1.2-7.1
Avg total169.8161.2179.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%23%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)50% (2)0% (4)
Overtime %20%8%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2620677%87.279.0+8.1
2 Venezia2618869%81.874.3+7.6
3 Cremona2516964%82.778.1+4.6
4 Brindisi25151060%81.779.0+2.7
5 Trieste25141156%87.883.6+4.2
6 Trento25141156%79.781.3-1.6
7 Sassari26141254%86.081.6+4.4
8 Varese26141254%79.275.8+3.4
9 Avellino26141254%81.281.9-0.7
10 Cantu26131350%84.386.9-2.6
11 Brescia25121348%79.880.5-0.6
12 Virtus Bologna25121348%80.281.4-1.2
13 Torino2571828%82.986.9-4.0
14 Reggiana2571828%77.682.8-5.2
15 Pesaro2571828%80.292.4-12.2
16 Pistoia2561924%75.483.1-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia1423202178
Torino1820202381
← all games of the day
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