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Pistoia vs Tortona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 89-93
26-28 19-23 25-23 19-19
Position#16
Record3-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game85.5
Pistoia
Italy
vs
Tortona 🏆
Italy
Position#9
Record6-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game83.7
ItalyLega ARound 12· PalaCarrara
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Pistoia v Tortona
22 Dec 2024
PIS89
TOR93
03 Mar 2024
PIS84
TOR71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tortona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
68-84
68
84
-16
56avg 70
A06/10
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
66-65
66
65
+1
63avg 70
A13/10
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
64-77
64
77
-13
53avg 70
H20/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
95-102
95
102
-7
95avg 70
A27/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
73-70
73
70
+3
66avg 70
H03/11
Lega A
Sassari
#10
L
75-77
75
77
-2
70avg 70
A10/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
88-92
88
92
-4
78avg 70
H17/11
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
88-91
88
91
-3
70avg 70
A30/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
88-94
88
94
-6
79avg 70
H07/12
Lega A
Scafati
#15
L
102-107 OT
102
107
-5
96avg 70
A14/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-32
20-19
10-17
19-16
12-14
21-11
16-20
17-20
18-20
14-14
17-24
15-19
18-26
32-21
14-31
31-24
16-24
15-16
23-14
19-16
21-15
16-14
18-32
20-16
21-22
27-23
24-27
16-20
25-18
17-18
18-21
28-34
22-21
13-29
25-19
28-25
22-22
23-16
24-28
14-17
166.6Avg total
80.7Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.485.5166.9-4.227%
Season at home (5)80.283.0163.2-2.840%
Season away (6)82.387.7170.0-5.317%
Last 10 (10)80.785.9166.6-5.220%
Last 5 (5)88.292.2180.4-4.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)78.384.4162.7-6.233%
vs Similar (11)87.391.5178.8-4.336%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Sassari
#10
W
71-68
71
68
+3
64avg 75
H03/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
81-85
81
85
-4
66avg 75
A06/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
82-86
82
86
-4
68avg 75
A09/11
Lega A
Benfica
#30
W
77-71
77
71
+6
70avg 75
H13/11
Champions League
Brescia
#2
L
78-85
78
85
-7
68avg 75
H17/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
98-94
98
94
+4
95avg 75
A01/12
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
90-95
90
95
-5
85avg 75
H07/12
Lega A
Chemnitz
#41
W
77-61
77
61
+16
73avg 75
A10/12
Champions League
Venezia
#8
W
89-82
89
82
+7
83avg 75
H14/12
Lega A
Manresa
#9
L
82-100
82
100
-18
77avg 75
A17/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
17-11
11-10
25-24
18-12
22-32
18-25
23-16
20-31
22-18
20-18
20-19
15-19
20-26
22-16
20-10
23-29
22-20
21-15
12-21
31-17
27-20
19-29
21-28
32-22
14-24
26-22
18-27
19-12
19-14
20-15
19-20
12-27
27-21
30-15
20-19
15-28
20-22
27-26
20-24
165.2Avg total
82.5Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)85.583.7169.2+1.755%
Season at home (6)81.780.5162.2+1.250%
Season away (5)90.087.6177.6+2.460%
Last 10 (10)82.582.7165.2-0.250%
Last 5 (5)87.286.4173.6+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)79.683.7163.4-4.136%
vs Similar (11)84.584.5169.1+0.045%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)85.475.5160.9+9.988%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.0-1.0
PistoiaTortona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A06/10
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A13/10
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H20/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A27/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H03/11
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A10/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H17/11
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A30/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H07/12
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A14/12
Lega A
78.7Avg total
39.2Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.743.982.6-5.333%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.244.483.6-5.223%-
Last 30 away (17)38.243.681.8-5.441%-
Last 10 (10)39.239.578.7-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.439.681.0+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)37.242.679.8-5.439%-
vs Similar (11)41.546.888.3-5.427%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#10
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H03/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A06/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A09/11
Lega A
Benfica
#30
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H13/11
Champions League
Brescia
#2
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H17/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A01/12
Lega A
Treviso
#11
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H07/12
Lega A
Chemnitz
#41
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A10/12
Champions League
Venezia
#8
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H14/12
Lega A
Manresa
#9
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A17/12
Champions League
84.1Avg total
41.3Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.041.283.1+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.339.681.9+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)41.642.784.3-1.140%-
Last 10 (10)41.342.884.1-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)43.241.484.6+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.840.181.9+1.745%-
vs Similar (11)41.442.684.0-1.345%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)43.040.683.6+2.462%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.221.1
47.7%
52.9%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.6
33.3%
35.8%22.8
🏀 Free throws19.614.5
74.0%
76.8%14.5
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.7
52.1%
52.9%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.0
33.0%
35.8%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.114.3
74.9%
76.8%14.3
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
LLLLLWLLWL
Tortona
LWWLWLWLLW
#16
League position
#9
-7.0
Net rating
-0.3
99.6
Offensive rating
110.4
106.6
Defensive rating
110.7
48.5%
Effective FG%
50.9%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
17.2%
Turnover %
17.7%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
34.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.3%
3-point %
33.0%
54.7%
Assist %
62.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.6 · 110.4Defence106.6 · 110.7Shooting48.5% · 50.9%3-point %33.3% · 33.0%Ball care17.2% · 17.7%Off. rebounds25.2% · 34.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Pistoia   ■ Tortona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pistoia wins
0
Tortona wins
DateGameScore
03/03/24Pistoia v Tortona84-71
09/12/23Tortona v Pistoia97-100
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24AScafati102-107 OT
07/12/24HTrapani88-94
30/11/24ATreviso88-91
17/11/24HTrento88-92
10/11/24ASassari75-77
03/11/24HReggiana73-70
27/10/24AVarese95-102
20/10/24HVenezia64-77
13/10/24ACremona66-65
06/10/24AVirtus Bologna68-84
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/24AManresa82-100
14/12/24HVenezia89-82
10/12/24AChemnitz77-61
07/12/24HTreviso90-95
01/12/24AOlimpia Milano98-94
17/11/24HBrescia78-85
13/11/24HBenfica77-71
09/11/24AReggiana82-86
06/11/24AVirtus Bologna81-85
03/11/24HSassari71-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL27%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%40%17%
Points / game81.480.282.3
Allowed / game85.583.087.7
Point differential-4.2-2.8-5.3
Avg total166.9163.2170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Tortona
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW55%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%50%60%
Points / game85.581.790.0
Allowed / game83.780.587.6
Point differential+1.7+1.2+2.4
Avg total169.2162.2177.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%17%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento1110191%92.283.3+8.9
2 Brescia1210283%90.485.6+4.8
3 Trapani119282%93.785.7+8.0
4 Reggiana118373%79.774.0+5.7
5 Virtus Bologna118373%86.582.6+3.8
6 Trieste127558%86.284.2+2.0
7 Tortona116555%85.583.7+1.7
8 Olimpia Milano116555%84.484.5-0.2
9 Treviso126650%86.386.6-0.2
10 Sassari125742%83.685.8-2.2
11 Scafati114736%86.592.5-5.9
12 Venezia124833%76.577.5-1.0
13 Pistoia113827%81.485.5-4.2
14 Varese113827%90.298.6-8.5
15 Cremona1221017%77.581.2-3.8
16 Basket Napoli110110%80.189.2-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia2619251989
Tortona2823231993
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