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Cremona vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 65-66
14-12 11-21 20-16 20-17
Position#13
Record0-2
FormWLLLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
Position#16
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game83.0
ItalyLega ARound 3· Sahin T. O.
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Cremona v Pistoia
13 Oct 2024
CRE65
PIS66
10 Mar 2024
CRE67
PIS74
08 Apr 2023
CRE85
PIS80
11 Apr 2020
CRE v PIS
upcoming
10 Mar 2019
CRE90
PIS80
15 Oct 2017
CRE92
PIS77
03 Oct 2016
CRE87
PIS67
23 Nov 2015
CRE82
PIS66
08 Feb 2015
CRE75
PIS81
23 Feb 2014
CRE81
PIS76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
L
71-78
71
78
-7
65avg 72
A17/03
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
92-90
92
90
+2
84avg 72
H24/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
76-87
76
87
-11
73avg 72
A30/03
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
68-63
68
63
+5
66avg 72
H07/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
85-93
85
93
-8
83avg 72
A14/04
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
84-77
84
77
+7
81avg 72
H20/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
86-91
86
91
-5
77avg 72
A28/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
72-73
72
73
-1
66avg 72
H05/05
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
68-80
68
80
-12
56avg 72
A29/09
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
74-77 OT
74
77
-3
64avg 72
H06/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
21-22
12-19
21-23
24-20
18-22
17-30
33-18
18-20
18-21
19-25
21-21
18-17
17-13
15-12
18-21
23-20
30-29
16-24
16-20
22-21
23-20
22-19
17-17
26-22
23-21
19-23
18-25
26-17
13-18
15-18
18-20
24-27
13-18
22-17
9-18
19-13
17-20
22-17
9-17
158.5Avg total
77.6Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.078.5149.5-7.50%
Season at home (1)74.077.0151.0-3.00%
Season away (1)68.080.0148.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)77.680.9158.5-3.330%
Last 5 (5)76.879.6156.4-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.280.1155.4-4.925%
vs Similar (12)82.181.3163.4+0.842%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)79.176.4155.5+2.740%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#5
W
83-82
83
82
+1
78avg 69
H07/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
82-89
82
89
-7
73avg 69
A13/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
90-96
90
96
-6
87avg 69
H21/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
105-80
105
80
+25
100avg 69
A28/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
78-96
78
96
-18
62avg 69
H05/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
70-79
70
79
-9
53avg 69
A12/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
75-97
75
97
-22
62avg 69
A14/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
77-98
77
98
-21
63avg 69
H17/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
88-82
88
82
+6
83avg 69
H29/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
68-84
68
84
-16
56avg 69
A06/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
24-19
30-18
13-20
16-29
24-21
24-22
18-17
25-27
24-24
26-15
15-30
24-20
31-22
21-26
29-12
19-26
23-28
15-23
21-19
12-23
16-25
27-13
15-18
19-30
15-16
17-25
24-26
13-31
17-28
25-16
22-23
29-24
27-19
10-20
22-19
19-32
20-19
10-17
19-16
169.9Avg total
81.6Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)78.083.0161.0-5.050%
Season at home (1)88.082.0170.0+6.0100%
Season away (1)68.084.0152.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)81.688.3169.9-6.730%
Last 5 (5)75.688.0163.6-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)79.185.5164.7-6.447%
vs Similar (14)82.685.1167.7-2.650%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -7.5-7.5Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.2-0.2
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -7.5-7.5Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.2-0.2
CremonaPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A17/03
Lega A
Venezia
#4
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H24/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A30/03
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H07/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A14/04
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H20/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A28/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H05/05
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A29/09
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H06/10
Lega A
80.5Avg total
41.0Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.438.076.4+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.735.977.7+5.873%-
Last 30 away (15)35.140.075.1-4.920%-
Last 10 (10)41.039.580.5+1.570%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.480.6+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.139.078.1+0.162%-
vs Similar (12)38.438.877.2-0.325%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)37.836.274.0+1.660%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#5
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H07/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A13/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H21/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A28/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H05/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A12/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A14/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
30-59
30
59
-29
H17/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H29/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A06/10
Lega A
90.1Avg total
41.3Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.145.684.8-6.527%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.943.782.6-4.829%-
Last 30 away (16)39.347.386.6-8.025%-
Last 10 (10)41.348.890.1-7.520%-
Last 5 (5)37.449.486.8-12.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.946.184.0-8.333%-
vs Similar (14)40.945.886.6-4.921%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.9
51.1%
52.9%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.7
38.5%
35.8%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.715.3
77.7%
76.8%15.3
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.221.8
52.9%
52.9%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.1
35.1%
35.8%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.014.9
74.5%
76.8%14.9
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
LLLLWLWLWL
Pistoia
LWLLLLWLLW
#13
League position
#16
-1.7
Net rating
-7.5
110.2
Offensive rating
109.4
112.0
Defensive rating
116.9
53.8%
Effective FG%
52.8%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
18.2%
Turnover %
13.0%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
19.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.5%
3-point %
35.1%
58.4%
Assist %
50.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 109.4Defence112.0 · 116.9Shooting53.8% · 52.8%3-point %38.5% · 35.1%Ball care18.2% · 13.0%Off. rebounds28.4% · 19.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Cremona   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Cremona wins
6
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
10/03/24Cremona v Pistoia67-74
07/01/24Pistoia v Cremona64-60
30/04/23Pistoia v Cremona73-68
08/04/23Cremona v Pistoia85-80
15/12/19Pistoia v Cremona84-71
10/03/19Cremona v Pistoia90-80
11/11/18Pistoia v Cremona73-90
04/02/18Pistoia v Cremona76-65
15/10/17Cremona v Pistoia92-77
22/01/17Pistoia v Cremona64-59
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/24HReggiana74-77 OT
29/09/24ATortona68-80
05/05/24HOlimpia Milano72-73
28/04/24APesaro86-91
20/04/24HBrescia84-77
14/04/24AVirtus Bologna85-93
07/04/24HScafati68-63
30/03/24ATortona76-87
24/03/24HVenezia92-90
17/03/24ATreviso71-78
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/24AVirtus Bologna68-84
29/09/24HBasket Napoli88-82
17/05/24HBrescia77-98
14/05/24ABrescia75-97
12/05/24ABrescia70-79
05/05/24HVarese78-96
28/04/24ATrento105-80
21/04/24HBrindisi90-96
13/04/24APesaro82-89
07/04/24HReggiana83-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game71.074.068.0
Allowed / game78.577.080.0
Point differential-7.5-3.0-12.0
Avg total149.5151.0148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %50%100%0%
Pistoia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game78.088.068.0
Allowed / game83.082.084.0
Point differential-5.0+6.0-16.0
Avg total161.0170.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento330100%93.382.0+11.3
2 Virtus Bologna330100%83.074.7+8.3
3 Trieste330100%87.081.0+6.0
4 Brescia32167%99.391.7+7.7
5 Olimpia Milano32167%88.781.3+7.3
6 Tortona32167%89.082.7+6.3
7 Reggiana32167%80.376.7+3.7
8 Trapani21150%87.580.0+7.5
9 Scafati21150%95.090.5+4.5
10 Pistoia21150%78.083.0-5.0
11 Sassari31233%85.091.0-6.0
12 Treviso31233%71.083.3-12.3
13 Cremona2020%71.078.5-7.5
14 Venezia3030%71.078.7-7.7
15 Basket Napoli3030%80.391.3-11.0
16 Varese3030%96.3109.7-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cremona1411202065
Pistoia1221161766
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