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Tortona vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 97-100
25-28 23-27 23-21 26-24
Position#9
Record5-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game81.4
vs
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
Position#10
Record5-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game79.4
ItalyLega ARound 11· PalaFerraris
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Tortona v Pistoia
23 Mar 2025
TOR94
PIS68
09 Dec 2023
TOR97
PIS100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
75-79
75
79
-4
70avg 72
H22/10
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
94-74
94
74
+20
97avg 72
A28/10
Lega A
Tofas
#34
W
88-80
88
80
+8
88avg 72
A31/10
Champions League
Brescia
#3
L
59-87
59
87
-28
45avg 72
H05/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
92-96
92
96
-4
86avg 72
A12/11
Lega A
Igokea
#49
W
91-84
91
84
+7
86avg 72
H15/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#5
W
90-77
90
77
+13
83avg 72
A19/11
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
83-80 OT
83
80
+3
no box
H26/11
Lega A
Tofas
#34
W
91-85 OT
91
85
+6
79avg 72
H29/11
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
70-99
70
99
-29
57avg 72
A03/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
12-19
24-13
20-25
22-20
27-12
31-19
14-23
21-16
22-31
25-13
20-20
11-18
20-24
14-23
14-22
29-20
16-28
27-16
20-32
30-21
16-16
26-16
19-31
24-25
13-16
28-17
25-19
24-19
19-19
22-18
6-15
23-25
18-19
21-17
19-20
17-29
19-18
18-25
16-27
167.4Avg total
83.3Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.281.4158.6-4.250%
Season at home (4)71.578.5150.0-7.050%
Season away (6)81.083.3164.3-2.350%
Last 10 (10)83.384.1167.4-0.860%
Last 5 (5)85.085.0170.0+0.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.287.1159.4-14.912%
vs Similar (16)80.779.8160.5+0.969%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)79.882.4162.2-2.640%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
L
82-83
82
83
-1
74avg 70
A04/10
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
73-78
73
78
-5
58avg 70
H08/10
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
77-85
77
85
-8
64avg 70
A15/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
72-84
72
84
-12
65avg 70
H22/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
78-72
78
72
+6
68avg 70
A29/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
85-77
85
77
+8
79avg 70
H05/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
82-95
82
95
-13
75avg 70
A12/11
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
68-63
68
63
+5
64avg 70
H19/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
86-81
86
81
+5
71avg 70
A26/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
81-76
81
76
+5
77avg 70
H02/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
26-17
23-18
9-21
14-25
28-12
20-25
11-16
16-21
14-22
23-22
24-20
12-19
19-19
17-28
24-18
18-18
19-18
23-20
18-16
25-17
18-19
22-24
20-17
30-29
18-19
10-21
24-26
24-17
18-17
10-15
16-14
19-28
20-25
29-10
18-18
19-21
20-19
14-18
28-18
157.8Avg total
78.4Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.479.4157.8-1.050%
Season at home (5)75.875.6151.4+0.260%
Season away (5)81.083.2164.2-2.240%
Last 10 (10)78.479.4157.8-1.050%
Last 5 (5)80.478.4158.8+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)81.080.7161.7+0.367%
vs Similar (22)72.574.9147.4-2.450%
vs Weaker (5)86.078.8164.8+7.280%
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -6.1-6.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -6.1-6.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
TortonaPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H22/10
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A28/10
Lega A
Tofas
#34
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A31/10
Champions League
Brescia
#3
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H05/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A12/11
Lega A
Igokea
#49
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H15/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#5
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A19/11
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H26/11
Lega A
Tofas
#34
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H29/11
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A03/12
Lega A
81.9Avg total
40.2Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.341.080.3-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.139.680.8+1.543%-
Last 30 away (16)37.842.179.9-4.431%-
Last 10 (10)40.241.781.9-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)40.641.482.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.044.082.0-6.025%-
vs Similar (16)40.839.179.9+1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)39.241.480.6-2.220%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A04/10
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H08/10
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A15/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H22/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A29/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H05/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A12/11
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H19/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A26/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H02/12
Lega A
81.0Avg total
40.1Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.740.278.8-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.835.172.9+2.657%-
Last 30 away (16)39.444.684.0-5.125%-
Last 10 (10)40.140.981.0-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)42.242.284.4+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)37.742.380.0-4.733%-
vs Similar (22)38.238.877.0-0.645%-
vs Weaker (5)41.444.886.2-3.420%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.621.4
52.7%
53.1%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.9
33.5%
35.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.715.7
75.8%
76.3%15.7
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.917.7
49.3%
53.1%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.8
35.6%
35.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws17.912.6
70.4%
76.3%12.6
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
LWWWWLLWWL
Pistoia
WWWLWWLLLL
#9
League position
#10
-0.4
Net rating
-1.6
110.0
Offensive rating
104.5
110.4
Defensive rating
106.1
51.8%
Effective FG%
51.1%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
15.8%
Turnover %
15.5%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
23.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.5%
3-point %
35.6%
66.9%
Assist %
52.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 104.5Defence110.4 · 106.1Shooting51.8% · 51.1%3-point %33.5% · 35.6%Ball care15.8% · 15.5%Off. rebounds28.4% · 23.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Tortona   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tortona wins
0
Pistoia wins
No previous meetings.
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23AVirtus Bologna70-99
29/11/23HTofas91-85 OT
26/11/23HTrento83-80 OT
19/11/23AReggiana90-77
15/11/23HIgokea91-84
12/11/23APesaro92-96
05/11/23HBrescia59-87
31/10/23ATofas88-80
28/10/23ASassari94-74
22/10/23HOlimpia Milano75-79
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23HBasket Napoli81-76
26/11/23AOlimpia Milano86-81
19/11/23HSassari68-63
12/11/23AReggiana82-95
05/11/23HVenezia85-77
29/10/23ABrindisi78-72
22/10/23HBrescia72-84
15/10/23AScafati77-85
08/10/23HTrento73-78
04/10/23AVarese82-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game77.271.581.0
Allowed / game81.478.583.3
Point differential-4.2-7.0-2.3
Avg total158.6150.0164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %10%25%0%
Pistoia
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW50%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game78.475.881.0
Allowed / game79.475.683.2
Point differential-1.0+0.2-2.2
Avg total157.8151.4164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia108280%87.876.1+11.7
2 Virtus Bologna108280%89.077.4+11.6
3 Venezia118373%81.477.4+4.0
4 Basket Napoli107370%85.379.7+5.6
5 Trento107370%85.781.4+4.3
6 Reggiana106460%85.682.1+3.5
7 Olimpia Milano105550%80.877.1+3.7
8 Cremona105550%86.883.5+3.3
9 Pistoia105550%78.479.4-1.0
10 Tortona105550%77.281.4-4.2
11 Pesaro104640%82.287.6-5.4
12 Sassari104640%77.483.7-6.3
13 Scafati114736%85.588.0-2.5
14 Varese103730%83.892.4-8.6
15 Treviso101910%78.985.9-7.0
16 Brindisi101910%68.481.3-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tortona2523232697
Pistoia28272124100
← all games of the day
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