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Pistoia vs Venezia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 64-77
18-20 14-14 17-24 15-19
Position#16
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Venezia 🏆
Italy
Position#8
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game78.7
ItalyLega ARound 4· PalaCarrara
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Pistoia v Venezia
20 Oct 2024
PIS64
VEN77
05 Nov 2023
PIS85
VEN77
01 Dec 2019
PIS89
VEN87
14 Oct 2018
PIS69
VEN97
25 Mar 2018
PIS93
VEN83
19 May 2017
PIS79
VEN92
17 May 2017
PIS89
VEN75
12 Mar 2017
PIS71
VEN78
23 Dec 2015
PIS70
VEN68
14 Mar 2015
PIS82
VEN90
22 Dec 2013
PIS81
VEN62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Venezia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#16
L
82-89
82
89
-7
73avg 69
A13/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
90-96
90
96
-6
87avg 69
H21/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
105-80
105
80
+25
100avg 69
A28/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
78-96
78
96
-18
62avg 69
H05/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
70-79
70
79
-9
53avg 69
A12/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
75-97
75
97
-22
62avg 69
A14/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
77-98
77
98
-21
63avg 69
H17/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
88-82
88
82
+6
83avg 69
H29/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
68-84
68
84
-16
56avg 69
A06/10
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
66-65
66
65
+1
63avg 69
A13/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-29
24-21
24-22
18-17
25-27
24-24
26-15
15-30
24-20
31-22
21-26
29-12
19-26
23-28
15-23
21-19
12-23
16-25
27-13
15-18
19-30
15-16
17-25
24-26
13-31
17-28
25-16
22-23
29-24
27-19
10-20
22-19
19-32
20-19
10-17
19-16
12-14
21-11
16-20
17-20
166.5Avg total
79.9Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.077.0151.0-3.067%
Season at home (1)88.082.0170.0+6.0100%
Season away (2)67.074.5141.5-7.550%
Last 10 (10)79.986.6166.5-6.730%
Last 5 (5)74.885.2160.0-10.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)78.384.2162.6-5.950%
vs Similar (13)82.684.4167.0-1.854%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
78-73
78
73
+5
72avg 76
H29/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
81-96
81
96
-15
68avg 76
H31/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
62-73
62
73
-11
50avg 76
A21/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Aris
#19
W
95-75
95
75
+20
93avg 76
H25/09
Eurocup
Treviso
#11
L
75-78
75
78
-3
59avg 76
H29/09
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
L
82-87
82
87
-5
78avg 76
A01/10
Eurocup
Trento
#4
L
70-82
70
82
-12
54avg 76
A05/10
Lega A
JL Bourg
#12
L
66-88
66
88
-22
59avg 76
H08/10
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
68-76
68
76
-8
61avg 76
H12/10
Lega A
Valencia
#1
L
83-105
83
105
-22
77avg 76
A17/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-29
22-20
21-10
19-14
27-23
18-34
21-13
15-26
12-20
12-19
16-20
22-14
30-22
17-19
22-16
26-18
23-24
15-21
16-19
21-14
17-21
27-18
17-21
21-27
21-17
20-22
15-25
14-18
17-17
19-27
17-32
13-12
14-22
17-21
23-17
14-16
22-24
16-28
16-25
29-28
159.3Avg total
76.0Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)71.078.7149.7-7.70%
Season at home (2)71.577.0148.5-5.50%
Season away (1)70.082.0152.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)76.083.3159.3-7.320%
Last 5 (5)73.887.6161.4-13.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.489.9167.3-12.510%
vs Similar (10)81.881.7163.5+0.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)86.875.9162.6+10.962%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.8-6.8Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.7+0.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.8-6.8Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.7+0.7
PistoiaVenezia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#16
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A13/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H21/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A28/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H05/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A12/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A14/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
30-59
30
59
-29
H17/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H29/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A06/10
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A13/10
Lega A
87.5Avg total
40.6Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.644.983.5-6.230%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.943.782.6-4.829%-
Last 30 away (16)38.445.984.2-7.531%-
Last 10 (10)40.646.987.5-6.330%-
Last 5 (5)38.444.883.2-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.644.882.4-7.238%-
vs Similar (13)40.345.685.9-5.323%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H29/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H31/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A21/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Aris
#19
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H25/09
Eurocup
Treviso
#11
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H29/09
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A01/10
Eurocup
Trento
#4
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A05/10
Lega A
JL Bourg
#12
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H08/10
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H12/10
Lega A
Valencia
#1
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A17/10
Eurocup
83.0Avg total
38.2Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.742.882.5-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.141.581.6-1.438%-
Last 30 away (14)39.244.483.6-5.136%-
Last 10 (10)38.244.883.0-6.630%-
Last 5 (5)38.043.481.4-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.450.286.6-13.80%-
vs Similar (10)41.840.282.0+1.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)43.638.582.1+5.150%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.322.2
51.3%
52.9%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.1
33.9%
35.8%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.815.2
76.8%
76.8%15.2
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.8
50.8%
52.9%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.36.8
28.0%
35.8%20.4
🏀 Free throws22.615.4
68.1%
76.8%15.4
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
WLWLLLLWLL
Venezia
LLLLLLWLLW
#16
League position
#8
-8.0
Net rating
-9.9
107.0
Offensive rating
100.6
115.0
Defensive rating
110.4
51.1%
Effective FG%
47.4%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
13.8%
Turnover %
17.2%
20.8%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.9%
3-point %
28.0%
47.9%
Assist %
61.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence107.0 · 100.6Defence115.0 · 110.4Shooting51.1% · 47.4%3-point %33.9% · 28.0%Ball care13.8% · 17.2%Off. rebounds20.8% · 29.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Pistoia   ■ Venezia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Pistoia wins
6
Venezia wins
DateGameScore
14/02/24Venezia v Pistoia86-71
11/02/24Venezia v Pistoia96-69
05/11/23Pistoia v Venezia85-77
01/12/19Pistoia v Venezia89-87
27/01/19Venezia v Pistoia95-72
14/10/18Pistoia v Venezia69-97
25/03/18Pistoia v Venezia93-83
18/11/17Venezia v Pistoia84-80
19/05/17Pistoia v Venezia79-92
17/05/17Pistoia v Venezia89-75
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/24ACremona66-65
06/10/24AVirtus Bologna68-84
29/09/24HBasket Napoli88-82
17/05/24HBrescia77-98
14/05/24ABrescia75-97
12/05/24ABrescia70-79
05/05/24HVarese78-96
28/04/24ATrento105-80
21/04/24HBrindisi90-96
13/04/24APesaro82-89
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/24AValencia83-105
12/10/24HVirtus Bologna68-76
08/10/24HJL Bourg66-88
05/10/24ATrento70-82
01/10/24ACedevita Olimpija82-87
29/09/24HTreviso75-78
25/09/24HAris95-75
21/09/24AOlimpia Milano62-73
31/05/24HVirtus Bologna81-96
29/05/24HVirtus Bologna78-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game74.088.067.0
Allowed / game77.082.074.5
Point differential-3.0+6.0-7.5
Avg total151.0170.0141.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Venezia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game71.071.570.0
Allowed / game78.777.082.0
Point differential-7.7-5.5-12.0
Avg total149.7148.5152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento330100%93.382.0+11.3
2 Virtus Bologna330100%83.074.7+8.3
3 Trieste330100%87.081.0+6.0
4 Trapani43175%96.286.8+9.5
5 Brescia43175%98.090.5+7.5
6 Olimpia Milano43175%87.280.5+6.8
7 Tortona32167%89.082.7+6.3
8 Reggiana32167%80.376.7+3.7
9 Pistoia32167%74.077.0-3.0
10 Treviso31233%71.083.3-12.3
11 Cremona41325%73.576.0-2.5
12 Scafati41325%88.891.2-2.5
13 Sassari41325%85.591.8-6.2
14 Venezia3030%71.078.7-7.7
15 Basket Napoli4040%80.590.2-9.8
16 Varese4040%97.2109.5-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia1814171564
Venezia2014241977
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