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Pistoia vs Tortona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 84-71
23-17 22-13 12-24 27-17
Position#10
Record9-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game83.2
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#9
Record10-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game78.3
ItalyLega ARound 21· PalaCarrara
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Pistoia v Tortona
22 Dec 2024
PIS89
TOR93
03 Mar 2024
PIS84
TOR71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tortona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#16
L
73-74
73
74
-1
70avg 66
H17/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
70-91
70
91
-21
59avg 66
H23/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
89-86
89
86
+3
86avg 66
A30/12
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
64-60
64
60
+4
58avg 66
H07/01
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
69-107
69
107
-38
57avg 66
A14/01
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
78-71
78
71
+7
73avg 66
H20/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
90-109
90
109
-19
78avg 66
A28/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
72-78
72
78
-6
62avg 66
H04/02
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
69-96
69
96
-27
56avg 66
A11/02
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
71-86
71
86
-15
4avg 66
A14/02
Italian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
15-30
14-17
21-10
16-28
12-23
20-16
22-24
23-19
21-23
21-18
24-26
14-17
20-15
13-20
17-8
12-32
16-30
14-27
27-18
10-21
21-22
20-11
27-17
13-27
32-29
26-18
19-35
24-21
9-20
23-16
16-21
12-27
10-24
21-27
26-18
16-19
18-17
16-25
21-25
160.3Avg total
74.5Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.983.2161.1-5.245%
Season at home (10)73.675.2148.8-1.650%
Season away (10)82.291.1173.3-8.940%
Last 10 (10)74.585.8160.3-11.330%
Last 5 (5)76.088.0164.0-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)78.785.9164.6-7.244%
vs Similar (20)74.876.0150.8-1.355%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
L
68-82
68
82
-14
56avg 70
H23/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
76-81
76
81
-5
65avg 70
A30/12
Lega A
Galatasaray
#20
L
70-71
70
71
-1
64avg 70
H03/01
Champions League
Scafati
#14
W
89-52
89
52
+37
89avg 70
H07/01
Lega A
Galatasaray
#20
L
89-95
89
95
-6
76avg 70
A09/01
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
82-83
82
83
-1
71avg 70
A14/01
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
75-69
75
69
+6
68avg 70
H21/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
93-64
93
64
+29
94avg 70
H28/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
86-77
86
77
+9
79avg 70
A04/02
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
79-62
79
62
+17
72avg 70
H10/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-14
25-19
16-24
14-25
15-16
20-16
18-31
23-18
22-20
11-17
17-12
20-22
19-9
21-14
30-18
19-11
14-26
20-20
22-26
33-23
18-20
17-22
21-16
26-25
22-12
19-19
16-19
18-19
26-4
20-15
20-17
27-28
16-18
26-21
21-11
23-27
22-25
15-12
22-13
20-12
154.3Avg total
80.7Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.278.3157.6+0.950%
Season at home (10)78.774.3153.0+4.460%
Season away (10)79.782.4162.1-2.740%
Last 10 (10)80.773.6154.3+7.150%
Last 5 (5)83.071.0154.0+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.485.4159.9-11.014%
vs Similar (15)80.277.1157.3+3.160%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)85.978.7164.6+7.171%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.5-6.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.3+1.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.5-6.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.3+1.3
PistoiaTortona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#16
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H17/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
28-51
28
51
-23
H23/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A30/12
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H07/01
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
28-62
28
62
-34
A14/01
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H20/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A28/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H04/02
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
22-51
22
51
-29
A11/02
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A14/02
Italian Cup
79.8Avg total
33.7Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.541.378.8-3.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.437.674.1-1.250%-
Last 30 away (16)38.444.582.9-6.138%-
Last 10 (10)33.746.179.8-12.420%-
Last 5 (5)33.045.478.4-12.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.745.181.8-8.433%-
vs Similar (20)38.039.977.8-1.950%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H23/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A30/12
Lega A
Galatasaray
#20
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H03/01
Champions League
Scafati
#14
W
40-23
40
23
+17
H07/01
Lega A
Galatasaray
#20
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A09/01
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A14/01
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H21/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
46-19
46
19
+27
H28/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A04/02
Lega A
Sassari
#8
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H10/02
Lega A
72.0Avg total
38.1Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.738.877.5-0.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.537.077.5+3.547%-
Last 30 away (15)36.940.777.5-3.833%-
Last 10 (10)38.133.972.0+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)40.233.673.8+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.041.978.9-4.914%-
vs Similar (15)38.236.875.0+1.447%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)43.139.382.4+3.957%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 71.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.315.4
49.2%
53.1%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.6
36.9%
35.7%31.8
🏀 Free throws13.29.3
70.5%
76.3%9.3
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.916.5
48.7%
53.1%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.810.9
35.4%
35.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws18.914.2
75.1%
76.3%14.2
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
LLLLWLWWLL
Tortona
WWWWLLWLLL
#10
League position
#9
-17.7
Net rating
+8.5
101.8
Offensive rating
108.0
119.4
Defensive rating
99.4
52.2%
Effective FG%
50.8%
57.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
18.2%
Turnover %
16.4%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.9%
3-point %
35.4%
57.7%
Assist %
65.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.8 · 108.0Defence119.4 · 99.4Shooting52.2% · 50.8%3-point %36.9% · 35.4%Ball care18.2% · 16.4%Off. rebounds24.0% · 29.2%Free throws0.22 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Pistoia   ■ Tortona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pistoia wins
0
Tortona wins
DateGameScore
09/12/23Tortona v Pistoia97-100
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/24AVenezia71-86
11/02/24AVenezia69-96
04/02/24HOlimpia Milano72-78
28/01/24ABrescia90-109
20/01/24HScafati78-71
14/01/24ASassari69-107
07/01/24HCremona64-60
30/12/23ATreviso89-86
23/12/23HVirtus Bologna70-91
17/12/23HPesaro73-74
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24HSassari79-62
04/02/24ABrindisi86-77
28/01/24HReggiana93-64
21/01/24HVenezia75-69
14/01/24AOlimpia Milano82-83
09/01/24AGalatasaray89-95
07/01/24HScafati89-52
03/01/24HGalatasaray70-71
30/12/23ABasket Napoli76-81
23/12/23HTreviso68-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL45%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%50%40%
Points / game77.973.682.2
Allowed / game83.275.291.1
Point differential-5.2-1.6-8.9
Avg total161.1148.8173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)60% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tortona
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW50%
HomeLWWWW60%
AwayLLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game79.278.779.7
Allowed / game78.374.382.4
Point differential+0.8+4.4-2.7
Avg total157.6153.0162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%30%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia2016480%88.375.3+13.1
2 Virtus Bologna2115671%88.676.4+12.2
3 Olimpia Milano2115671%79.572.4+7.1
4 Venezia2115671%82.776.4+6.3
5 Basket Napoli2112957%86.384.0+2.3
6 Reggiana2112957%80.681.6-1.0
7 Tortona20101050%79.278.3+0.8
8 Trento21101148%82.083.5-1.4
9 Scafati21101148%83.186.7-3.5
10 Pistoia2091145%77.983.2-5.2
11 Cremona2191243%81.279.2+2.0
12 Sassari2191243%76.581.9-5.4
13 Varese2181338%84.689.7-5.1
14 Treviso2161529%80.085.5-5.5
15 Pesaro2051525%78.386.2-7.9
16 Brindisi2151624%73.682.2-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia2322122784
Tortona1713241771
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