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Trento vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 99-91
30-21 31-22 16-31 22-17
Position#4
Record12-10
FormWWWWL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game72.0
Trento 🏆
Italy
vs
Pistoia
Italy
Position#7
Record10-12
FormWWLLL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game76.4
ItalyLega ARound 23
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Trento v Pistoia
16 Mar 2025
TRE87
PIS64
28 Apr 2024
TRE80
PIS105
25 Sep 2019
TRE88
PIS75
20 Apr 2019
TRE82
PIS73
22 Apr 2018
TRE85
PIS70
18 Mar 2017
TRE99
PIS91
18 Oct 2015
TRE54
PIS74
15 Nov 2014
TRE86
PIS72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Brescia
#11
W
80-74
80
74
+6
104avg 102
A27/12
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
68-77
68
77
-9
90avg 102
H02/01
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
69-79 OT
69
79
-10
no box
A08/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
84-48
84
48
+36
120avg 102
H22/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
78-59
78
59
+19
110avg 102
A29/01
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
65-57
65
57
+8
89avg 102
H05/02
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
71-63
71
63
+8
96avg 102
A12/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
87-75
87
75
+12
114avg 102
A26/02
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
76-66
76
66
+10
104avg 102
H04/03
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
67-76
67
76
-9
99avg 102
A13/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
20-20
18-11
24-18
16-21
14-23
19-12
19-21
18-13
14-17
13-14
20-21
25-12
15-13
24-9
20-14
21-9
17-15
17-22
23-13
14-11
17-14
16-13
18-19
17-15
20-18
18-16
16-14
17-25
23-19
19-10
28-21
23-13
17-19
12-22
24-12
16-22
21-19
13-15
17-20
141.9Avg total
74.5Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)75.272.0147.1+3.255%
Season at home (10)77.671.9149.5+5.760%
Season away (12)73.272.0145.2+1.250%
Last 10 (10)74.567.4141.9+7.170%
Last 5 (5)73.267.4140.6+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.775.7144.3-7.00%
vs Similar (11)71.370.4141.6+0.936%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)77.674.4152.0+3.162%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
59-57
59
57
+2
87avg 102
A27/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
85-71
85
71
+14
117avg 102
H02/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
79-97
79
97
-18
104avg 102
A08/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
64-59
64
59
+5
93avg 102
H22/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
85-86
85
86
-1
113avg 102
A29/01
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
67-59
67
59
+8
92avg 102
H05/02
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
77-64
77
64
+13
113avg 102
H13/02
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
70-75
70
75
-5
96avg 102
A27/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
75-81
75
81
-6
104avg 102
A04/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
71-78
71
78
-7
97avg 102
H12/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-7
13-16
16-19
17-15
20-20
26-18
17-12
22-21
20-21
16-18
22-31
21-27
9-19
15-13
20-12
20-15
20-23
25-14
19-26
21-23
14-22
13-13
16-6
24-18
29-22
11-18
18-11
19-13
11-15
14-20
22-21
23-19
12-21
30-19
10-18
23-23
17-19
24-17
17-28
13-14
145.9Avg total
73.2Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)74.976.4151.3-1.545%
Season at home (11)80.571.2151.6+9.382%
Season away (11)69.481.5150.9-12.29%
Last 10 (10)73.272.7145.9+0.550%
Last 5 (5)72.071.4143.4+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)78.090.0168.0-12.020%
vs Similar (23)74.774.8149.5-0.243%
vs Weaker (2)76.572.0148.5+4.5100%
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +1.5+1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +1.5+1.5
TrentoPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#11
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A27/12
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H02/01
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A08/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H22/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
38-24
38
24
+14
A29/01
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H05/02
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A12/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A26/02
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H04/03
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A13/03
Lega A
70.6Avg total
36.3Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.035.372.3+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.635.172.7+2.464%-
Last 30 away (16)36.635.471.9+1.250%-
Last 10 (10)36.334.370.6+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)37.035.072.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.037.373.3-1.333%-
vs Similar (11)34.231.165.3+3.164%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)39.237.876.9+1.456%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
26-23
26
23
+3
A27/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H02/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A08/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H22/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A29/01
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H05/02
Lega A
Caserta
#13
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H13/02
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A27/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A04/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H12/03
Lega A
70.7Avg total
35.2Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.238.875.0-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.437.574.9-0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)35.239.975.1-4.831%-
Last 10 (10)35.235.570.7-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)35.037.272.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)38.446.685.0-8.220%-
vs Similar (23)36.237.673.8-1.443%-
vs Weaker (2)31.033.064.0-2.050%-
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.119.7
49.1%
51.1%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.1
32.0%
35.7%24.3
🏀 Free throws17.711.9
67.2%
74.0%11.9
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.921.7
48.3%
51.1%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.06.4
30.5%
35.7%19.2
🏀 Free throws13.49.8
73.1%
74.0%9.8
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
LWWWWWWLLW
Pistoia
LLLWWLWLWW
#4
League position
#7
+13.6
Net rating
+0.8
103.8
Offensive rating
95.9
90.2
Defensive rating
95.1
48.7%
Effective FG%
47.5%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
16.5%
Turnover %
19.0%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.20
32.0%
3-point %
30.5%
52.9%
Assist %
59.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 95.9Defence90.2 · 95.1Shooting48.7% · 47.5%3-point %32.0% · 30.5%Ball care16.5% · 19.0%Off. rebounds32.7% · 28.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Trento   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Trento wins
3
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
20/11/16Pistoia v Trento84-78 OT
19/02/16Pistoia v Trento74-81
31/01/16Pistoia v Trento64-69
18/10/15Trento v Pistoia54-74
18/03/15Pistoia v Trento86-69
15/11/14Trento v Pistoia86-72
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/17ATorino67-76
04/03/17HCaserta76-66
26/02/17AReggiana87-75
12/02/17ACapo d'Orlando71-63
05/02/17HVenezia65-57
29/01/17ACremona78-59
22/01/17HBrindisi84-48
08/01/17AAvellino69-79 OT
02/01/17HCantu68-77
27/12/16ABrescia80-74
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/17HVenezia71-78
04/03/17ASassari75-81
27/02/17AVarese70-75
13/02/17HCaserta77-64
05/02/17HAvellino67-59
29/01/17ABrindisi85-86
22/01/17HCremona64-59
08/01/17ABrescia79-97
02/01/17HReggiana85-71
27/12/16APesaro59-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL55%
HomeWLWWW60%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %55%60%50%
Points / game75.277.673.2
Allowed / game72.071.972.0
Point differential+3.2+5.7+1.2
Avg total147.1149.5145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Pistoia
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL45%
HomeWWWWL82%
AwayWLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %45%82%9%
Points / game74.980.569.4
Allowed / game76.471.281.5
Point differential-1.5+9.3-12.2
Avg total151.3151.6150.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %9%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2219386%87.578.8+8.7
2 Avellino2214864%80.075.6+4.3
3 Venezia2214864%81.578.6+2.9
4 Capo d'Orlando2213959%78.377.6+0.6
5 Sassari22121055%77.173.6+3.5
6 Trento22121055%75.272.0+3.2
7 Brindisi22111150%84.082.7+1.3
8 Reggiana22111150%81.482.6-1.2
9 Torino22111150%81.584.5-2.9
10 Brescia22101245%80.380.1+0.1
11 Pistoia22101245%74.976.4-1.5
12 Cantu2291341%78.081.4-3.5
13 Caserta2291341%79.983.7-3.8
14 Varese2281436%76.780.7-4.0
15 Pesaro2271532%73.378.9-5.6
16 Cremona2261627%78.080.3-2.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trento3031162299
Pistoia2122311791
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