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Varese vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Oct 2017
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 81-73
18-16 26-23 9-20 28-14
Position#8
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game72.8
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#13
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game78.0
ItalyLega ARound 5
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Varese v Pistoia
27 Oct 2024
VAR102
PIS95
04 Oct 2023
VAR83
PIS82
26 Dec 2019
VAR91
PIS60
05 May 2019
VAR98
PIS70
29 Oct 2017
VAR81
PIS73
27 Feb 2017
VAR75
PIS70
03 Apr 2016
VAR91
PIS78
04 Jan 2015
VAR67
PIS71
23 Mar 2014
VAR84
PIS73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Cantu
#14
W
85-72
85
72
+13
114avg 102
A02/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
68-73
68
73
-5
84avg 102
A09/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
83-80
83
80
+3
110avg 102
H15/04
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
81-87
81
87
-6
91avg 102
A23/04
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
78-75
78
75
+3
108avg 102
H30/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
76-89
76
89
-13
98avg 102
A07/05
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
62-80
62
80
-18
84avg 102
H01/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
73-74
73
74
-1
98avg 102
A08/10
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
95-64
95
64
+31
132avg 102
H16/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
67-73
67
73
-6
94avg 102
A23/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
20-20
23-14
16-14
7-18
21-20
17-20
23-15
20-18
16-28
18-11
29-23
23-29
24-22
20-11
14-25
28-20
17-15
17-20
16-20
18-23
20-24
19-17
19-25
17-20
16-24
13-23
16-13
15-20
19-19
18-17
21-18
20-16
28-19
22-10
25-19
13-17
14-28
17-17
23-11
153.5Avg total
76.8Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.272.8147.0+1.525%
Season at home (2)78.572.0150.5+6.550%
Season away (2)70.073.5143.5-3.50%
Last 10 (10)76.876.7153.5+0.140%
Last 5 (5)74.676.0150.6-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)73.981.6155.5-7.723%
vs Similar (17)77.075.7152.7+1.359%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#6
L
68-77
68
77
-9
93avg 103
A30/04
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
86-62
86
62
+24
119avg 103
H07/05
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
71-84
71
84
-13
97avg 103
A13/05
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
68-72
68
72
-4
99avg 103
A15/05
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
89-75
89
75
+14
121avg 103
H17/05
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
79-92
79
92
-13
no box
H19/05
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
73-57
73
57
+16
102avg 103
A05/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H09/10
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
77-92
77
92
-15
104avg 103
A15/10
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
71-86
71
86
-15
99avg 103
H22/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
23-25
20-15
11-16
22-17
23-18
17-10
24-17
18-22
12-17
22-24
19-21
28-22
4-14
19-17
17-19
22-24
19-10
19-19
29-22
23-28
24-23
19-25
13-16
27-14
10-17
24-13
12-13
26-16
20-18
21-15
16-28
18-31
22-16
20-25
17-20
19-14
10-26
20-26
22-20
153.9Avg total
76.5Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.078.0154.0-2.050%
Season at home (2)77.081.5158.5-4.550%
Season away (2)75.074.5149.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)76.577.4153.9-0.940%
Last 5 (5)76.680.8157.4-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)78.891.0169.8-12.220%
vs Similar (20)77.075.5152.6+1.550%
vs Weaker (5)76.871.4148.2+5.480%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
VaresePistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#14
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A02/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A09/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H15/04
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A23/04
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H30/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A07/05
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H01/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A08/10
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H16/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A23/10
Lega A
80.6Avg total
38.2Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.241.579.7-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.540.680.1-1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)36.942.579.4-5.520%-
Last 10 (10)38.242.480.6-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)36.042.078.0-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.244.080.2-7.88%-
vs Similar (17)39.839.679.4+0.153%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#6
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A30/04
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H07/05
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A13/05
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A15/05
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H17/05
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H19/05
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A05/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H09/10
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A15/10
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H22/10
Lega A
77.7Avg total
38.4Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.439.076.4-1.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.337.877.1+1.560%-
Last 30 away (15)35.540.275.7-4.733%-
Last 10 (10)38.439.377.7-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.840.680.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)38.848.086.8-9.220%-
vs Similar (20)37.638.075.7-0.445%-
vs Weaker (5)35.233.869.0+1.480%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.921.6
51.6%
51.6%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.16.8
30.8%
34.9%20.4
🏀 Free throws16.412.3
75.0%
73.0%12.3
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.421.7
47.8%
51.6%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.36.7
33.0%
34.9%20.1
🏀 Free throws16.512.5
75.8%
73.0%12.5
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LWLLLWLWLW
Pistoia
LLWWLWLLWL
#8
League position
#13
-0.7
Net rating
-1.5
105.3
Offensive rating
97.9
106.0
Defensive rating
99.4
49.7%
Effective FG%
48.3%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
17.5%
Turnover %
19.6%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.25
30.8%
3-point %
33.0%
47.5%
Assist %
57.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.3 · 97.9Defence106.0 · 99.4Shooting49.7% · 48.3%3-point %30.8% · 33.0%Ball care17.5% · 19.6%Off. rebounds32.4% · 27.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Varese   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Varese wins
4
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
27/02/17Varese v Pistoia75-70
30/10/16Pistoia v Varese97-64
03/04/16Varese v Pistoia91-78
13/12/15Pistoia v Varese67-65
03/05/15Pistoia v Varese87-103
04/01/15Varese v Pistoia67-71
23/03/14Varese v Pistoia84-73
08/12/13Pistoia v Varese89-76
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/17ABrescia67-73
16/10/17HCantu95-64
08/10/17AOlimpia Milano73-74
01/10/17HVenezia62-80
07/05/17ATorino76-89
30/04/17HCremona78-75
23/04/17AVenezia81-87
15/04/17HTrento83-80
09/04/17AReggiana68-73
02/04/17ACantu85-72
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/17HAvellino71-86
15/10/17ACremona77-92
09/10/17HBrindisi83-77
05/10/17ACapo d'Orlando73-57
19/05/17HVenezia79-92
17/05/17HVenezia89-75
15/05/17AVenezia68-72
13/05/17AVenezia71-84
07/05/17HBrescia86-62
30/04/17AReggiana68-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game74.278.570.0
Allowed / game72.872.073.5
Point differential+1.5+6.5-3.5
Avg total147.0150.5143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pistoia
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game76.077.075.0
Allowed / game78.081.574.5
Point differential-2.0-4.5+0.5
Avg total154.0158.5149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia440100%77.067.0+10.0
2 Venezia550100%83.276.4+6.8
3 Avellino54180%77.072.6+4.4
4 Olimpia Milano54180%76.071.6+4.4
5 Torino54180%78.676.0+2.6
6 Virtus Bologna53260%83.873.0+10.8
7 Sassari53260%85.080.4+4.6
8 Pistoia42250%76.078.0-2.0
9 Cremona52340%78.482.0-3.6
10 Cantu52340%80.087.0-7.0
11 Varese41325%74.272.8+1.5
12 Trento41325%73.076.8-3.8
13 Pesaro51420%78.883.2-4.4
14 Capo d'Orlando51420%63.274.2-11.0
15 Reggiana4040%73.280.0-6.8
16 Brindisi4040%72.881.2-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese182692881
Pistoia1623201473
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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