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Portugal vs Iceland Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 83-79
20-22 22-23 24-16 17-18
Position-
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position-
Record-
FormLLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFriendly International
Other2025
Meetings · Portugal v Iceland
15 Aug 2025
PORT83
ICEL79
07 Aug 2019
PORT80
ICEL79
16 Sep 2018
PORT80
ICEL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Portugal winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iceland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPortugal
Date
Competition
Bulgaria
#13
W
88-78
88
78
+10
no box
H10/11
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
W
92-62
92
62
+30
no box
H13/11
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
75-66
75
66
+9
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
82-90
82
90
-8
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
70-72
70
72
-2
no box
H22/02
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
W
79-77
79
77
+2
no box
A25/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
W
82-74
82
74
+8
78avg 65
H22/11
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
L
82-83
82
83
-1
73avg 65
A25/11
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
69avg 65
A21/02
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
L
60-88
60
88
-28
42avg 65
H24/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
23-32
23-12
21-14
27-14
27-27
18-10
20-11
21-9
17-27
26-22
11-8
19-19
21-24
18-27
24-20
19-19
17-19
17-18
17-16
26-16
21-16
15-27
17-18
22-10
27-14
15-24
18-26
17-24
32-20
19-22
14-17
18-18
14-29
21-18
25-19
17-24
15-17
18-30
10-17
156.2Avg total
78.8Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.877.4156.2+1.450%
Last 5 (5)76.281.2157.4-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)64.176.0140.1-11.925%
vs Similar (8)79.280.6159.9-1.438%
vs Weaker (14)78.968.5147.4+10.479%
IcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIceland
Date
Competition
Georgia
#32
L
85-88
85
88
-3
no box
H11/11
World Cup
Ukraine
#34
L
72-79
72
79
-7
no box
A14/11
World Cup
Spain
#7
L
61-80
61
80
-19
no box
H23/02
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
80-77
80
77
+3
no box
A26/02
World Cup
Hungary
#35
W
70-65
70
65
+5
no box
H22/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
L
75-76
75
76
-1
no box
A25/02
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
L
71-95
71
95
-24
65avg 75
H22/11
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
W
81-74
81
74
+7
80avg 75
A25/11
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
L
78-87
78
87
-9
74avg 75
A20/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
W
83-71
83
71
+12
80avg 75
H23/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
21-19
25-15
22-28
18-14
15-21
20-16
19-28
19-22
14-21
15-19
13-18
19-19
24-23
19-18
18-17
16-19
17-18
16-14
21-14
16-16
14-19
17-19
28-22
12-27
13-22
29-16
17-30
22-9
10-20
26-27
23-18
21-20
11-28
25-24
21-15
26-16
20-22
23-16
14-17
154.8Avg total
75.6Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.679.2154.8-3.640%
Last 5 (5)77.680.6158.2-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.184.3153.4-15.114%
vs Similar (11)85.885.3171.1+0.555%
vs Weaker (12)82.674.4157.0+8.283%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
PortugalIceland
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PortugalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bulgaria
#13
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H10/11
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H13/11
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A23/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A26/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H22/02
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A25/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H22/11
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A25/11
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A21/02
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H24/02
EuroBasket
81.9Avg total
42.1Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.836.876.6+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.635.976.5+4.760%-
Last 30 away (15)39.137.776.7+1.453%-
Last 10 (10)42.139.881.9+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.837.679.4+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.034.668.6-0.650%-
vs Similar (8)40.641.582.1-0.938%-
vs Weaker (14)42.735.378.0+7.471%-
IcelandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#32
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H11/11
World Cup
Ukraine
#34
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A14/11
World Cup
Spain
#7
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H23/02
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A26/02
World Cup
Hungary
#35
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H22/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A25/02
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
L
25-49
25
49
-24
H22/11
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A25/11
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A20/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H23/02
EuroBasket
74.6Avg total
34.5Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.940.077.9-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.038.376.3-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)37.741.779.4-3.940%-
Last 10 (10)34.540.174.6-5.630%-
Last 5 (5)33.039.872.8-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)30.742.072.7-11.329%-
vs Similar (11)40.540.881.3-0.436%-
vs Weaker (12)39.738.177.8+1.658%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Portugaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portugal: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 56.0 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.719.7
50.9%
55.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.47.9
29.9%
34.4%23.7
🏀 Free throws21.214.7
69.3%
74.1%14.7
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Icelandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iceland: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 56.0 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.316.5
52.7%
55.4%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.2
33.3%
34.4%27.5
🏀 Free throws19.514.8
76.1%
74.1%14.8
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/6 games with a box score before 15 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Portugal
LLLWWLLWWW
Iceland
WLWLLWWLLL
+1.6
Net rating
-2.4
104.7
Offensive rating
106.9
103.1
Defensive rating
109.2
48.5%
Effective FG%
51.4%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
19.7%
Turnover %
16.4%
36.9%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.33
29.9%
3-point %
33.3%
65.6%
Assist %
68.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.7 · 106.9Defence103.1 · 109.2Shooting48.5% · 51.4%3-point %29.9% · 33.3%Ball care19.7% · 16.4%Off. rebounds36.9% · 25.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Portugal   ■ Iceland
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Portugal wins
2
Iceland wins
DateGameScore
17/08/19Iceland v Portugal96-68
07/08/19Portugal v Iceland80-79
21/02/19Iceland v Portugal91-67
16/09/18Portugal v Iceland80-77
Portugallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/25HUkraine60-88
21/02/25AIsrael78-84
25/11/24ASlovenia82-83
22/11/24HSlovenia82-74
25/02/24AUkraine79-77
22/02/24HIsrael70-72
26/02/23ABulgaria82-90
23/02/23ACyprus75-66
13/11/22HRomania92-62
10/11/22HBulgaria88-78
Icelandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/25HTurkey83-71
20/02/25AHungary78-87
25/11/24AItaly81-74
22/11/24HItaly71-95
25/02/24ATurkey75-76
22/02/24HHungary70-65
26/02/23AGeorgia80-77
23/02/23HSpain61-80
14/11/22AUkraine72-79
11/11/22HGeorgia85-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Portugal
Friendly International 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Iceland
Friendly International 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Portugal2022241783
Iceland2223161879
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